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What's In, What's Out At The Pentagon
2025/5/23
Aviation Week's Check 6 Podcast
Steve Trimble：作为一名国防编辑，我认为“金色穹顶”代表着一种全新的国土防御战略，它不再仅仅依赖于传统的威慑和报复手段。我们现在追求的是一种能够主动击败敌方第一次打击的能力，无论是洲际弹道导弹、高超音速滑翔飞行器还是超音速巡航导弹，我们都力求实现近乎100%的拦截成功率，然后再进行反击。当然，这个计划的复杂性和所需的技术投入是巨大的，我们能否在白宫设定的两到三年内完成，以及最终的成本是否会远超预估，这些都还是未知数。目前最大的挑战在于如何整合各个部门，建立统一的指挥和控制系统，确保能够有效地应对来自任何方向的导弹攻击。
Brian Everstine：作为五角大楼的编辑，我对特朗普政府选择由空间部队来主导“金色穹顶”项目感到有些意外，因为我原本预期导弹防御局会承担更多责任。此外，考虑到空间部队目前面临的人员和预算压力，我对他们是否有足够的能力来承担这项任务表示担忧。当然，这个项目蕴含着巨大的商业机会，吸引了众多公司的参与，但目前整个计划还处于早期阶段，许多细节尚未明确，这使得整个项目显得有些混乱。我个人认为，目前最关键的问题是如何将现有的防御系统，如SM3和THAAD，整合到“金色穹顶”的整体架构中，而不仅仅是关注天基拦截部分。
Deep Dive
This chapter dives into the Golden Dome air and missile defense system, a new initiative announced by President Trump. It discusses the system's space-based layer, its ambitious timeline and cost, and the immense technological challenges involved in creating a near 100% effective defense system against various missile threats.
- Golden Dome will include a space-based layer of interceptors and sensors.
- The program is estimated to cost $175 billion, with a planned completion within 2.5-3 years.
- The system aims to defeat first strikes, including ICBMs and hypersonic weapons, before retaliation.
- Significant organizational and technological hurdles remain, including the integration of multiple existing systems and the development of new command and control capabilities.
Shownotes Transcript