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Hey gang, it's Monday, March 31st. Gajo, Henry and listeners, welcome to the Behind the Numbers show, an e-marketer video podcast made possible by Trax. I'm Marcus. Today we'll be discussing using AI at work. For the conversation, I'm joined by two folks. Let's meet them. We start with our senior analyst,
covering AI and all things technology based in New York, is Gajo Sevilla. Hey Marcus, this is exciting. Hello sir, thanks for being here. And we also have our SVP of Media Content and Strategy living in the land of the lighthouse, is Henry Powderly. Hey Marcus. Hey fella. Today's fact, why do we blow out candles on top of birthday cakes?
Here's why. So according to Lisa Levin's book, Cake, A Slice of History, great, great book. Historians credit the origin of birthday cakes with the ancient Greeks.
that it was a way to honour the birthday of Artemis, the goddess of the moon, and they would bake moon-shaped cakes decorated with candles to make them glow like the moon. The Greeks believed the candle smoke would rise to the heavens where Artemis, the daughter of Zeus, lived, since offerings to the gods were a common custom in ancient Greece. The
the reason we put the same number of candles on the cake as the person's age is because of our German friends. German Kinderfest or children's festival, basically kids' birthday, dates back to the middle ages. And the cake was topped with lighted candles, which were presented to the kid on the morning of their birthday. They used to have the candles just burn throughout the day until the cake was eaten after the evening meal, fire hazard. But
But then now it's obviously it's changed. They blow them out straight away. According to the Extraordinary Origin of Everyday Things, there's a book by Charles Panetti. The number of candles on the Kinderfest cake equal the kid's age plus an extra one representing the light of life, which makes blowing them out a little bit dark.
Pun. I like one for good luck better. Intended. Yeah, exactly. You always need a spare, right? I guess. I don't know. Spare candle. Yeah. Yeah. But at like five, what was the, like at five you stop putting on the same amount, right? As the person's age. When does that stop? Teenager? Depends on the size of the kick, I guess. Yeah. All your parents. My mom was like, we're done here. Okay. Six. She cut me off.
That's a joke. Kidding. Love you, mum. Anyway, today's real topic, using AI at work part one, employees' anxiety levels and how the technology is impacting jobs. All right, for this episode, it's the first episode of a two-part episode. The second episode will be on Friday, April 4th. Today, we're talking about how the technology is affecting people, affecting the workers and how it's impacting jobs as well. We'll start with the
the workers piece of this. So, um, it appears as though anxiety around AI in the workplace is getting worse. There's a recent Pew research study noting that more Americans are worried 52% than hopeful 36% about the future use of AI in the workplace, current and future use. Um, the gents are going to take differing, um,
for us. So these opinions don't necessarily reflect their personal views on the topic. But Henry has volunteered, I made him, to present the argument that folks will become less worried over time. So it seems like they're becoming more worried. But Henry, what's the argument that that actually will peak and end up going in the opposite direction?
Sure. And thanks for telling everybody that you made me do this. You know, as a caveat, I do think that there certainly are types of jobs, especially ones that are more automated, that I do think there's reason to worry in the future. But most of the jobs that we're talking about, especially in the market audience, are from the knowledge work universe. And I do think that there's reason to believe that the anxiety will lessen over time. And I think it really will boil down to two things. The first being, you know,
people actually finding help in their job using Gen AI tools. The more people use this stuff, the more they find efficiency, the more they are able to offload those low hanging fruit tasks that have kind of made the onerous part of the workday. The more that they find themselves have a thinking partner using Gen AI to validate their strategies, to check their copy. There's so many different examples
that we could talk about where AI could help someone in the workplace. But it's only when somebody actually feels that relief and feels like they've gotten that help and they're going to start...
feeling less anxious about it. And then the second side is on the organizational side. Like, you know, when people start to see that help in their work, are they met with more resources or more opportunities to grow in the organization? Do they feel like they're getting enough training that's enabling them to find that kind of, you know, relief and creativity that can be found through using Gen AI? I think it really will depend on organizations'
pushing in that direction and then how they react to people finding more efficiency in their work. Is it going to be a reaction that's downsizing or is it a reaction where investment is made so that we can use the time that people have bought back
by employing generative AI to perhaps, I don't know, explore new products, level up the products that they have, all the creativity that can come out by using the time that they've saved. That appears to be a huge concern, doesn't it? That if I use AI and I make my job more efficient, then I'll need less time to do it, which means that maybe...
they could get rid of me and have, you know, someone else do what's left of my job. There was some research on this actually. Few workers think AI use in the workplace will improve their job prospects in the long run. 32% of people expected to have fewer job opportunities, 6% expected
to have more. And interestingly, that was both AI users and non-AI users both appearing to be pessimistic. If you look to non-AI users, it was a six to one ratio in terms of people who think that they'll have fewer job prospects versus more. And if you look to AI users, it was three to one. So it's still concerning for both groups. You also mentioned that people maybe haven't realized the true potential of it yet.
it's not enough to just use it is it there has to be kind of that light bulb moment where like oh this is how it's going to help because which is
a lot further down the road, there's still a lot of people who aren't using this technology even, and people maybe not realizing its true potential because they just haven't used it. Pew study, 61% of people aren't using it much, if at all, and a further 17% haven't heard of workplace AI use. So this is still very new and we've just got to get more people, I guess, using the thing before they can be more comfortable with the thing, before they can realize how the thing can help them. For sure. And then how are companies going to help them? Yeah.
find the time to be exploring these texts. I think that's a real big part of it. Yeah. So, I mean, that leads me to another point here, which is the training piece. Folks aren't, it seems, being trained on its benefits. Of all workers, Pew study, 12% said they'd taken a class in the past year related to AI use.
just 12%. And there was a one Randstad study showing that about 35% of employees, so more, had received AI training in the past year. However, that's 35% trained on it, 75% of companies adopting it. So there's a big chasm between
people using it, people really understanding the benefits of it and having the time, I guess, being taught and being allocated time, the time to really understand how it could impact people's jobs. I think that's really the big issue because there's the initiative to adopt AI, but there's also the implementation piece, right? And part of that is not just subscribing to chatbots, it's also training.
And some companies are falling short on the training aspect while demanding that employees are up on the latest technology. But less than 40% of the workforce say they have access to Gen AI tools. And less than 60% of those employees engage with it daily. So I think access is a huge problem to solve there. And especially...
if you consider there are discrepancies, because according to Deloitte, 29% of AI-skilled workers are women. That's a small number, considering there are limitations to women.
What is available to them? Yeah. Yeah. One third of workers paying out of pocket for Gen AI tools because their employer doesn't provide the ones they want. Half of knowledge workers, basically desk and computer people, using personal AI tools at work. Some nervous survey that's from company software AG and half of executives saying employees currently are left on their own.
to figure out Gen AI as from a Gen AI platform writer. There's a huge security issue with that though, when people start bringing in their own AI tools and subscriptions, because if they're dealing with company IP, company data, I mean, what's the next step? Where are they putting that information? Where does that reside, right? We know AI is constantly training to different degrees and putting...
you know very critical information out there might improve their jobs but then also opens up a lot of possibilities that are you know less than great for the company at large so so guys what's the argument that people will become more worried i think the argument aside from maybe the lack of training and resources is that you know we're seeing a point in time where there's so many ai tools that it's becoming increasingly more difficult
to figure out which ones they need to be looking out for. And so there's that and at the same time, people who are using the tools are training the AI to handle their workflows. So do they feel that they're actually training the AI to replace them to some extent? What company can give a guarantee that no, that's not the case, you should see this?
as an assistant, as a tool, it's not going to replace you.
But, you know, if you look at the bottom line for a lot of companies, they're pushing towards automation to sort of speed up and scale certain jobs, right? Yeah. There are some numbers on that quickly. Workers noticing their jobs becoming more automated, 16% say at least some of their work is currently done with AI. A further 25% say whilst they're not using it much now, at least some of their work can be done with AI. Yeah. So, I mean, that...
You can't help but consider that they see that and they become anxious about it, right? Because they see their jobs changing and at the same time, they're seeing the AI get better at doing certain jobs. Yeah. So Henry, I mean, before we move on to the next part of this, which is how it's impacting jobs,
Gaj made a good point there, which is it's hard enough to know what tools to even be paying attention to, especially if you're not getting that direction from the company, let alone how to use those tools. And you're someone who is an early adopter of AI, you use it and you kind of understand it more than the average person. How do you pay attention to the right tools?
I mean, a lot of experimentation. I certainly play with a lot of tools personally that I don't use at work for the reasons that Gajo expressed. I think security concerns, especially when dealing with company data or company strategies, shouldn't just be put into random tools without thought. And we do have a good process internally here for vetting tools, but it doesn't mean that I don't play with things in my personal time to really explore what's out there. And then if I find something that
interesting that could perhaps help my team i bring it to the folks here and we go through a process embedding it we did that with a tool that we're using for copywriting right now in my team called spiral and i went through that process so you know i i do think that it's it's a catch-22 right because you want to be exploring the options that are out there right now and i think um
standing in the way of that kind of curiosity is going to slow down adoption. But at the same time, companies got to be smart about setting policy that are going to reduce the risk of data being ingested by these language models. So there's a balance there. Yeah. Let's move to the jobs piece of this. Henry, what's the argument that AI is already having a significant impact on jobs?
Well, I mean, I think we wouldn't be talking about it if we haven't seen this kind of impact already. What's really cool about eMarketer is that we are always getting data about how the market is changing. And I was just looking in our own chart library to see, and there was some interesting stuff there. I mean, there was a survey by Nextiva from January that showed that 40% of respondents were using GenAI for writing to customers. That is a big difference.
chunk of time. I saw physicians, you know, physicians, almost a third of physicians are using right now AI for things like translating or even diagnostic help.
And then, you know, there was another survey of retail CFOs by Raven Roberts Research from February that showed that 34% are using Gen AI for optimizing pricing strategies based on market dynamics. So I think the data is starting to come in to show that there's a lot of penetration with this tech. Mm-hmm.
And there's also, there's downsides too. I think there was a story in the Washington Post last week that showed that computer programmer employment driving to its lowest level since 1980. Now, that's one of the areas where I think we're starting to see the effects sooner because of how well these tools are at coding. Just the recent update to Claude already has just given us
Folks like me who don't really have a good coding background, the ability to create things and program things. And you have to imagine for folks who are actually embedded in the programming work, how these things are helping them. Yeah, Matteo Wong of The Atlantic wrote a really, really good piece. And he was saying that tech executives have kind of grown blunt about their hopes that AI will become good enough to do a human's work. In January, quoting Mark Zuckerberg, saying, 2025 will be the year when it becomes possible to build applications
an AI engineering agent that's as skilled as a good mid-level engineer. And Anthropic CEO Dario Amodi recently said AI will be writing 90% of code a few months from now with some human specifications, but still continuing to say we will eventually reach the point where AIs can do everything
that humans can in every industry. Obviously he's someone who is at the forefront of that and believes that and that would be good for him and his company but still the idea that people are openly talking about no like this thing will be able to do this person's job or this level of a person's job this year is quite surprising. It seems as though it's also being talked about
a lot in terms of not what your current job is but if you're going to find another job that is something that people are expecting you to have some kind of a grasp of and have some knowledge around AI experience starting to outrank job specific qualifications Christine Cruz Vergara Chief Education Strategy Officer at Entry Job Level Platform Handshake
says employees and HR folks said they're willing to take chances on otherwise less qualified candidates if they have AI experience. So that becoming even more and more important, more so than having experience in the actual field. Going back to the coding part, it's interesting that at Google, AI is coding 25% of their code right now. That was last year. I think that's probably going to increase.
And that goes hand in hand with a lot of the investments they're making, right? So they do have a 14% stake in Anthropic right now. And that's precisely because of Claude's advanced AI coding capability. So, you know, they're not just drinking the Kool-Aid. They're actually applying...
you know, that knowledge, those transformations into their own business. Yeah. And that should be interesting for anyone who's following how these companies are using AI internally. Yeah. So what's the argument, Gajo, that AI isn't already having a significant impact on jobs? Maybe we're exaggerating things. Maybe we're getting a bit ahead of ourselves. And it's a thing. We've been talking about it. But really, the impact isn't that seismic yet.
Yeah, so I took this argument as a devil's advocate, although I do believe the opposite to a greater extent. But that said, I tend to look at it not just that AI isn't having a significant impact on jobs, but in certain cases, it's having a negative impact in certain markets. So in the aspect, say, of AI image generation and video generation,
We're seeing a lot of AI slop, as I call it, which is basically just a lot of random AI-generated imagery that's being pushed as being official or being pushed as prime content, right? And I think that's the danger there. It's an overuse of AI. But at the...
at a super unregulated level where the quality just isn't there just to sort of stuff pages with, with content and images. Right. So that could have a negative impact and, and kind of, you know, make big consumers and, and anyone else kind of mistrust AI or mistrust what they're seeing. Yeah. So, you know,
In most cases, I think that's the danger. That's the extreme. And to get back to why it isn't having a significant impact in some areas or in some business models, it's possibly because it's not being strategically rolled out as a proper tool. And that's causing the lag in adoption, the mistrust. And maybe it's...
the inability to kind of focus on, you know, we need this particular tool to help you save hours or improve customer service. It's something that a lot of companies are addressing, which I mean to say it's going to change, for example, once Adobe's agentic AI
gets adopted at large, right? Because they have specific tools that cater to business use cases. Just things like understanding the age, you know, the audience that you're trying to attract, content production, you know, just speeding up the different steps towards that. Helping creatives be more creative and be less focused on production and
And also experimentation, right? And prototyping. Yeah, yeah.
So, but all that takes time to adopt. So maybe it's not that it's not having a significant impact, but it's just taking longer. Yeah. I'll give kind of both sides of this in one answer, which is that if you look at kind of the new jobs that are being posted, it seems like AI skills are being increasingly sought after. So nearly one in four US tech jobs posted recently.
so far this year was called newly listed, if you will, asking for employees to have some kind of AI skills. It's from UMD link up AI maps.
That shares even higher for specific categories, 40% for information related jobs, close to 30% for finance, professional services, retail education, et cetera. Even manufacturing was at like 20% and they're asking for some AI skills. However, that's newly listed. If you look at all jobs, AI related listings represent just a fraction of the overall, the old and the new, I think it's about 1% of all job listings. Yeah.
So it does feel like we're being hit with this tidal wave of AI jobs or AI being listed in the job description of every job that you see now. But in the grand scheme of things, it's not as big, as significant as maybe we think. All right. That's where we'll leave part one of today's episode. Thank you so much to my guests for today. Thank you to Henry. Thanks, Marcus.
Thank you to Gajo. Thanks again. Thanks to the whole editing crew, Victoria, John, Lance, and Danny. Thank you to Stuart who runs the team and Sophie does our social media. And thanks to everyone for listening into the Behind the Numbers show, a new marketing video podcast made possible by Trax. Sarah will be back Wednesday with the Reimagining Retail show. And me, Gajo, and Henry will be back Friday, part two of Using AI at Work, our two-part episode talking about how businesses are using it and some tips for using AI at work. ♪