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cover of episode House Speaker Mike Johnson Talks  Big Beautiful Bill

House Speaker Mike Johnson Talks Big Beautiful Bill

2025/6/5
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Mike Johnson: 我认为我和马斯克关系很好,经常交流。我需要确保他明白,我们现在讨论的不是一个支出法案,而是一个预算协调法案,是为了实现特朗普总统和共和党派的优先事项,兑现我们对美国人民的承诺。为了绕过参议院60票的门槛,我们必须使用预算协调程序,因为民主党人不会帮助我们。这项法案不仅包括历史性的减税,还包括历史性的节省,预计将节省1.6万亿美元,这是历史上政府节省最多的法案。虽然这还不够,但这是解决联邦债务问题的一大步,也是我们控制债务的一系列措施中的第一步。我认为人们对这项立法有很多误解和错误信息,这项法案将使减税永久化,并注入一系列促进增长的政策,这将使经济再次运转。如果我们不完成这项法案,每个美国人都将面临美国历史上最大的增税,这将对经济造成毁灭性打击。我们将减少浪费性支出、减少税收和减少法规,这将使能源部门和其他行业的就业创造者重新开始。 Mike Johnson: 我需要217票才能让这项法案通过,所以我鼓励参议院的朋友们尽可能少地修改它。我正在一根牙线上穿越大峡谷,我们达成的平衡花费了相当长的时间才达到现在的状态。如果你削减我们经过一年多精心谈判的盐上限,我将很难获得必要的票数。我们都在作为一个团队共同努力,参众两院团结一致。我们已经为4万美元的SALT扣除额上限支付了费用,我希望他们能够容忍它,以便我们能够保持我们的投票数。国会预算办公室不会为此提供任何信用,但关税收入是真实的。我们相信我们将再次带来蓬勃发展的经济,这不是基于猜测或毫无根据的乐观情绪,而是基于历史。在特朗普政府的前两年,我们通过了《减税和就业法案》,我们减少了税收,减少了法规,经济蓬勃发展。我们将实施同样的政策,实施同样的理念,但这一次,正如我所说,会更有力。 Mike Johnson: 总统的策略正在奏效,已有超过75个国家正在重新谈判他们的贸易协议,这对美国来说会更好,因为它会更公平。自由和公平的贸易,这种差距必须得到解决,而且已经解决了。我们认为,当关税谈判和新的贸易协议尘埃落定时,这对美国和世界都有好处。我认为这项条款对我们来说是好的政策,现在是投资美国的好时机,因为美国经济即将再次腾飞,这对你和世界都有好处。一个强大的美国对整个世界都有好处,这就是我们将通过这些健全的政策和促进增长的举措来实现的。如果这项法案在7月4日之前没有完成,那么提高债务上限将会非常困难,因为这需要一项两党措施。财政部长耶伦表示,我们必须在独立日之前完成这项工作。我们需要尽快为美国人民提供税收减免,并在新的蓬勃发展的经济中,这对每个人来说都是一件好事。我们有中期选举,如果我们在今年夏天尽快完成这项工作,那么每个人都会在他们再次投票之前感受到这些影响。我们希望保持众议院的多数席位,并保持特朗普总统四年的执政,如果不这样做,众议院民主党人肯定会试图弹劾总统,一切都会变得混乱。时间表非常重要,这就是为什么我把它放在一个非常积极的时间表上。我曾说过,我们将在阵亡将士纪念日之前通过众议院的大美法案,人们嘲笑我,但我们提前了四天。众议院和参议院的共和党人将采取行动,以某种方式处理我们的事务。最明智和最有效的方法是按计划进行,并为人民服务。通过这项历史性立法对于很多原因来说都至关重要,其中最重要的是国会可以向债券市场、股票市场和所有投资者发出一个非常重要的信号,表明我们非常重视这一点。我们有一个多步骤的策略,将在未来一两年三年内解决这个问题,我们将使美国经济恢复稳健。我们是财政责任党,你会日复一日地看到这一点。

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House Speaker Mike Johnson clarifies that the Big Beautiful Bill is a budget reconciliation bill focused on delivering the America First agenda, using the reconciliation process to bypass the Senate's 60-vote threshold. He discusses his communication with Elon Musk regarding the bill and emphasizes its historic tax cuts and savings.
  • Big Beautiful Bill is a budget reconciliation bill, not a spending bill
  • Aims to deliver President Trump's agenda and Republican priorities
  • Seeks to save $1.6 trillion
  • First in a series of steps to control the debt

Shownotes Transcript

Translations:
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This is an iHeart Podcast.

Bloomberg Audio Studios. Podcasts, radio, news. House Speaker Mike Johnson joins us now. Thank you so much for your time this morning. We'd love to begin there. Have you received a call back from Mr. Musk? Yes, Elon. Look, Elon's a good friend. We texted late last night. We're going to talk this morning. I just want to make sure that he understands what I think everybody on Capitol Hill understands. This is not a spending bill, my friends. This is a budget reconciliation bill.

and what we're doing here is delivering the america first agenda this is all the president's priorities and all the priorities of the republican party everything we promise the american people that is what we are delivering with this piece of legislation and the reason we're using the reconciliation process

is because that is the only way to get around the 60-vote threshold in the Senate. Everybody probably recognizes Chuck Schumer and the Democrats are in no mood and not going to be helpful in delivering President Trump's agenda for the people. We have to do it this way. We can do it with 51 votes in the Senate only, and that's the urgency of the hour. And we have to do it quickly for all the reasons we can discuss this morning. So did you get a sense from Elon Musk in those text exchanges that he was going to stop his insistence on this bill

that he thinks needs to be killed? He seems pretty dug in right now and I can't quite understand the motivation behind it but I will tell you that what we're delivering in this bill is not only historic tax cuts but historic savings as well. He seems to miss that. I mean, the projection is that this legislation is going to save us 1.6 trillion dollars with a T. Now there's never been a piece of legislation ever delivered in the history of government on the face of the earth

that saves that much money. So this is truly historic. Now, is it enough? No, because all three of us understand that we have a large federal debt, we've had deficits for some time, and it's a serious concern. In fact, it's the number one threat to our national security. But this is the biggest step in addressing that problem that Congress has ever delivered, and we must do it. And I will hasten to say this. I've told Elon and tell everyone.

This is the first of a series of steps that we will take to bring that debt under control. But you can't turn it on a dime. It took us decades to get into this situation, so we have to do it incrementally. And this is a huge step forward in that endeavor. What's the driving force behind Elon Musk's problems with this bill? Has he asked you directly to potentially keep the electric vehicle benefits we saw under the Inflation Reduction Act of the Biden era into the bill?

Look, I'll let everybody draw their own conclusions about Elon's motivations. I'll tell you that, I mean, obviously the EV mandate going away is, I'm sure, a concern for, you know, the leader of Tesla and other things as well. But...

I think there's a lot of confusion out there about what the legislation is. There's certainly a lot of misinformation. I mean, the Democrats have been engaged in this effort, this strategy for many, many weeks and many months. But remember, it took us over a year to develop this piece of legislation. We have 11 different committees in the House, all their areas of jurisdiction, that worked on the reconciliation effort to reconcile the budget. And what we're going to deliver here, again, is historic tax relief evidence.

and savings at the same time. If we do not get this bill done, the tax cuts of 2017, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, will expire at the end of December. Every American will receive the largest tax increase in U.S. history all at once. It will be devastating for the economy. So we've addressed that here. We've made the tax cuts permanent, and we've

we've infused it with a pro-growth series of policies that will get the economy going again. It will be jet fuel to the economy because we're going to reduce wasteful spending, we're going to reduce taxes, and we're going to reduce regulations as well. And that is what will allow job creators in the energy sector and everyone else to get going again. And your version of the bill, of course, increases the SALT deduction cap, which yesterday Senate Majority Leader John Thune said, quote, there isn't a single Republican senator who cares much about the SALT issue. You and I both know.

you cannot pass this bill without increasing the SALT deduction cap. How do you envision that deduction changing given the fact that no senator, Republican senator, wants to vote for this? Well, I appreciate that they don't. They all come from red states, right? As do I. And we have very different perspective on SALT than our colleagues in the blue states, for example, in California and in New York and New Jersey.

But that is the reality in the House, remembering, and they have to remember, my Senate friends and colleagues have to remember, I have to deliver 217 votes to get that thing across the line if they modify it. So I had lunch with my Senate friends Tuesday last, two weeks ago, before we passed the bill in the House on that Thursday.

And I encourage them to modify it as little as possible, right? Because I gave a metaphor. I said, my friends, I am crossing the Grand Canyon on a piece of dental floss, okay? The equilibrium that we reached here took quite a bit of time to get to where we are.

And you can't load me up on either side. And if you go and slash the salt cap that we negotiated carefully for over a year, it's going to make it very difficult for me to deliver the necessary number of votes. Remembering I can only lose three in the House. They can only lose three in the Senate to get this done. So we're all working together as one team, House and Senate together, united in this effort.

They understand that, and I think they understand certainly Leader Thune and the leaders over there understand the complexity of what we're having to deal with here. Speaker Johnson, just to sort of put a bow on it, so $40,000 is still likely to remain the cap? That's what we negotiated here, and I'm certainly trying to hold to that number. Look, we've paid for it. I think we've got it worked out in all the math and the legislation, and I think it's something that I know they're not in love with it, but I certainly hope they'll tolerate it so we can maintain our vote tally over here.

Speaker Johnson, as you walk that piece of dental floss over the Grand Canyon, there is this question of how the bill is currently being used, whether it's for budget negotiations and budget reconciliation over the next decade or whether it's to negotiate trade agreements. There is $2.8 trillion of

of revenue that is being penciled in by the Congressional Budget Office from tariffs that might be used as a negotiating tactic, might not be. How do you understand the way that tariffs are looked at as part of this budget balancing act?

Well, it hasn't been included in the calculations and that's because groups like the CBO, the Congressional Budget Office, as you noted, won't give us any credit for that. But it is very real. I mean, the revenue is real and it is realized. And it's not included in the calculation that we've made or they've made, but

Obviously, it's a big factor. We believe that we're going to bring about a roaring economy again. And it's not based on conjecture or groundless optimism. I mean, this is based on the history. We did this in 2017. After the first two years of the Trump administration, when we passed the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act,

We reduced taxes. We reduced regulations. And the economy was roaring. I mean, you all remember before COVID, we had the greatest economy in the history of the world. I mean, everybody was doing better. Every demographic. Wages were up. The job participation numbers were at record highs. Inflation was down and manageable. Things were going great. And then COVID hit. So we're going to do that same series of policies, implement that same philosophy, but this time, as I say, on steroids.

And it's going to make a major difference in everybody's lives. Speaker Johnson, a lot of people in markets are concerned about a number of provisions here and actually don't think they will spur growth. One of them being Section 899, which talks about taxing foreign investment in the United States from specific countries.

that have non-tariff barriers like the VAT tax and other things that have been contentious during negotiations of trade deals. How much do you see that dampening? I mean, is that a concern for you? Because right now, around the world, there are people wondering whether they can still invest in the United States without getting penalized for it. Yes, look.

There's a complexity to the tariff negotiations. I mean, we tip our hat to the White House, and the President's strategy is working. As you know, there's more than 75 countries renegotiating their trade agreements right now, finalizing that even as we speak. That's going to be better for America because it will be more fair. You know, I'm always liking myself to be a Reagan Republican, and free trade is one of our core principles that we've all, you know,

And every time I would say that over the last several years to President Trump, he would say, yes, free and fair trade. And he's right. I mean, this is a disparity that must have needed to be addressed, and it has been. So we think in total this is going to be good when all the dust settles on the tariff negotiations and the new trade agreements. It's going to be good for America and good for the world.

And so we're factoring that in. We're working in tandem with the White House, and it's part of the thought and calculation. Speaker Johnson, just to be clear, that provision will stay in. That is important to you. Look, I think it is. I mean, obviously the bill is still a live instrument that's being worked on in the Senate, so we'll see if they modify those provisions. But I think for now, I think that's good policy for us. And I want to say to foreign investors, you're in good stead to invest in America. This is the time to do it.

because the American economy is about to take off again and it's going to be good for you and good for the world. We're the largest trading partner for most other nations. They need America. And a strong America is good for the whole world. And that is what we are going to bring about with these sound policies and pro-growth initiatives.

Speaker Johnson, you and your colleagues have a self-imposed July 4th deadline. Partially that is because you have to raise the debt ceiling. Are you considering raising the debt limit if this deal isn't finished by July 4th with a different measure?

Well, it would be very difficult to do it. I mean, it would require a bipartisan measure in that regard, and I would like to believe that Chuck Schumer and the Democrats in the Senate would do the right thing, but I wouldn't count on that. That debt cliff, as we're regarding it, is coming soon, and that's why Secretary Besson has said we've got to get this done by Independence Day. And I think it would be a great celebration for all of us. But it's not just because of the debt ceiling.

uh... it's also because we need to get tax relief and uh... in in this new roaring economy to the american people as quickly as possible their old and this is going to be a great thing for everyone in you know i have to also think about the politics of it right we have a midterm election coming up in twenty twenty six if we get this done soon quickly this summer

uh... then then everyone will feel those effects before they have to go vote again and uh... in that midterm election we want to keep the house majority and keep this going for four years for president trump and not to and if we lost the majority there's no doubt that the house democrats would try to impeach the president and and everything would be

truly chaotic for investors and job creators and consumers. So we have to keep this going, keep the momentum going. The timeline is very important and that's why I put this on a very aggressive schedule. I said back in the early part of this year that we would pass the big beautiful bill out of the House

before Memorial Day. People laughed. They mocked me when I said that, but we beat it by four days. We're going to stay on track and we're going to deliver for the American people. Well, you have exactly 29 days to hit that deadline. Are you saying there's no plan B for raising the debt ceiling if this bill is not done between House Republicans and House Senators?

Look, Republicans in the House and Senate will deliver and will take care of our business one way or the other. But I'm just telling you that the smartest and most efficacious way to do this is to stay on the schedule and deliver for the people. And that's what we're doggedly determined to do. We're laser focused on it.

If we take our focus off of that, then the strategy doesn't work. So I'm telling you that we are working on that regard. Leader Thune and I are in constant communication. He understands that deadline as well. The Secretary of the Treasury and the NEC and all the leaders in the White House and the administration understand that. So we're going to get it done. Speaker Johnson, how closely are you watching the bond markets right now, given the fact that we've seen a real sense of concern, particularly in longer-duration U.S. treasuries?

We watch it closely. Look, I really do believe that delivering this historic legislation is going to be critically important for a lot of reasons, not the least of which is that Congress can send a very important signal to the bond markets, to the stock market, to investors everywhere, that we're very serious about this, not only in getting the U.S. economy roaring again, but

but also in addressing the long-term debt. And I think that's an important thing for everyone to understand. We have a strategy that's a multiple steps, as I said, multiple steps strategy to address this over the next year, two years, three years. And we're going to get the U.S. economy back on sound footing. We're the party of fiscal responsibility. And you'll see that demonstrated day after day here. House Speaker Mike Johnson, thank you so much for being with us.

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