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cover of episode Your Cheat Sheet For Smarter Investing

Your Cheat Sheet For Smarter Investing

2019/4/28
logo of podcast Life Kit: Money

Life Kit: Money

AI Deep Dive AI Insights AI Chapters Transcript
People
B
Bridget Madrian
D
David Swenson
Topics
David Swenson: 我管理着耶鲁大学290多亿美元的捐赠基金,33年来取得了不错的成绩。我的核心观点是:长期来看,股票的回报率远高于债券或其他投资,但不要选择个股投资。即使是专业人士也很难挑选出能够跑赢大盘的个股,所以散户更不应该尝试。应该通过指数基金投资整个股市,以低成本的方式获得市场平均收益。投资中最大的错误是追涨杀跌。市场上涨时不要买入更多股票,市场下跌时不要卖出股票。因为损失带来的痛苦是收益的两倍,容易导致错误的投资决策。市场下跌时卖出股票会锁住损失,而持有股票则有机会在市场复苏时获得收益。 我建议的投资组合包括:30%的美国股票,15%的发达国家股票,5%的新兴市场股票,20%的美国房地产,15%的美国国债和15%的美国通胀保值债券。这个组合包含高风险高回报的资产和低风险低回报的资产,以达到平衡。 投资费用往往隐藏在细节中,容易被忽视,但会严重影响投资回报。即使是看起来很小的投资费用,也会显著降低投资回报率。投资费用总额不应超过年收益的0.15%。 应该选择被动管理的指数基金,而不是主动管理的基金。主动管理型基金很难跑赢市场,而且还要支付高昂的管理费。指数基金能够以低成本的方式投资整个市场。建议选择Vanguard等低成本指数基金公司。 定期对投资组合进行再平衡,以保持资产比例的合理性。至少每年对投资组合进行一次再平衡。建立投资组合后,除非需要再平衡,否则不要过多关注,避免情绪化决策。 Chris Arnold: 本期节目我们采访了投资大师David Swenson,他分享了关于投资的宝贵经验。他强调不要购买个股,而应该通过指数基金投资整个股市。市场下跌时不要恐慌性抛售,要坚持长期投资。应该构建一个多元化的投资组合,具体比例可以参考David Swenson书中提到的建议。投资费用是需要特别注意的,即使是看起来很小的费用,长期来看也会对投资回报产生很大的影响。被动管理的指数基金是更优的选择。定期再平衡投资组合,保持资产比例的合理性,至少每年一次。 Bridget Madrian: 损失带来的痛苦是收益的两倍,所以容易导致错误的投资决策。在市场下跌时,人们往往会因为恐慌而卖出股票,从而锁住损失,错过市场反弹的机会。因此,保持理性,避免情绪化投资非常重要。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why should investors avoid picking individual stocks?

Picking individual stocks is highly risky and often unsuccessful, even for professionals. 80-90% of mutual fund managers fail to outperform the overall market. For casual investors, attempting to pick stocks is essentially a fool's errand, as they lack the expertise and resources to compete with professionals.

What is the biggest mistake people make when investing?

The biggest mistake is performance chasing—buying investments that have recently gone up and selling those that have gone down. This strategy doesn't work mathematically and often leads to poor investment outcomes.

Why is it important to avoid selling stocks during a market crash?

Selling stocks during a market crash locks in losses and prevents recovery when the market rebounds. Historically, the market has always recovered, so staying invested allows you to benefit from the eventual upswing.

What is David Swenson's recommended portfolio allocation?

David Swenson recommends a diversified portfolio: 30% in U.S. stocks, 15% in developed international markets (e.g., Germany, France, Japan), 5% in emerging markets (e.g., China, India, Brazil), 20% in U.S. real estate, 15% in U.S. Treasury bonds, and 15% in U.S. Treasury inflation-protected securities.

Why are fees in investing so detrimental?

Fees can significantly erode investment returns. For example, a 1% fee on a 5% return eats up 20% of your earnings, while a 2% fee consumes 40%. Over time, high fees compound and drastically reduce the growth of your portfolio.

What is the advantage of investing in index funds over actively managed funds?

Index funds are passively managed and designed to mimic market returns at a low cost. They avoid the high fees and poor performance associated with actively managed funds, where 80-90% of managers fail to beat the market. Index funds provide broad market exposure and are a more reliable long-term investment strategy.

Why does David Swenson recommend Vanguard for investors?

Vanguard is structured as a nonprofit and focuses on providing low-cost index funds and advice in the customer's best interest. Its founder, Jack Bogle, pioneered the low-cost index fund revolution, making Vanguard a trusted choice for sensible, low-fee investing.

How often should investors rebalance their portfolios?

Investors should rebalance their portfolios at least once a year or after significant market movements. Rebalancing involves selling assets that have increased in value and buying those that have decreased, ensuring the portfolio stays aligned with its target allocation.

What mindset should investors adopt for long-term success?

Investors should compartmentalize their investments—set up a well-diversified portfolio, rebalance periodically, and avoid obsessing over short-term market fluctuations. Emotional decision-making often leads to counterproductive actions, so it's best to let the portfolio grow over time.

Chapters
This section covers the importance of stock market investment for long-term returns, but advises against picking individual stocks due to the difficulty of outperforming the market even for professionals. It introduces the concept of index funds as a better alternative.
  • Stocks offer better long-term returns than bonds or other investments.
  • Picking individual stocks is difficult and often unsuccessful, even for professionals.
  • Index funds provide a way to invest in the entire stock market.

Shownotes Transcript

Investing doesn't have to be hard. We explain how to grow a nice nest egg and avoid that four-letter word that starts with F ... fees. Here's what to remember:- Don't pick your own stocks. - Don't sell stocks if the market crashes.- Diversify your portfolio. - Don't pay too much in fees.- Invest in index funds, not actively managed funds.- Rebalance your portfolio every year — then leave it alone.Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices)NPR Privacy Policy)