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cover of episode Israel-Iran attacks: economic impact

Israel-Iran attacks: economic impact

2025/6/13
logo of podcast World Business Report

World Business Report
AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
C
Chris Lowe
N
Nega Mortazavi
R
Richard Fettel
S
Sami Hamdi
S
Svi Ekstein
Topics
Nega Mortazavi: 多年来，伊朗经济一直受到经济制裁的影响，特别是针对石油等主要出口产业。尽管经济状况不佳，但目前伊朗的首要问题并非经济，而是保卫国土和建立威慑。我认为，对伊朗来说，目前的主要考虑不是战争的经济成本，而是保卫国土和通过报复来建立威慑，因为如果他们不采取行动，可能会遭受更沉重的打击。伊朗无法长期承受战争，因为它不像以色列那样获得美国的支持。由于制裁，伊朗不得不依靠国内生产武器，这限制了其武器库的现代化程度和作战能力。从长远来看，伊朗在经济上无法维持战争，但短期内经济成本不是主要问题。伊朗可以通过影响石油价格和扰乱航运来扰乱全球经济。伊朗是主要的石油生产国之一，可以通过扰乱石油生产或袭击邻国的油田来影响全球石油供应。阿拉伯国家不愿卷入冲突，因为担心这会影响它们的石油、经济、贸易前景和稳定。

Deep Dive

Chapters
This chapter analyzes Iran's economic vulnerabilities in the context of the recent attacks. It discusses the long-term unsustainability of war footing due to sanctions and limited external support, contrasting Iran's situation with Israel's substantial US backing.
  • Iranian economy is weak due to years of sanctions.
  • Iran lacks the financial and military support Israel receives from the US.
  • Relationships with China and Russia are not equivalent to Israel-US support

Shownotes Transcript

How could the Israel-Iran attacks impact the global economy? We speak to experts on the region.

What's happening with global shipping? We speak to a company which transports freight in Europe, North America, Asia and the Middle East.

Also, what about the health of the Israeli economy? We sepak to the former Deputy Governor of the Bank of Israel.