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cover of episode Daniel McAdams on Downfall and Chaos in Syria

Daniel McAdams on Downfall and Chaos in Syria

2024/12/9
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David Gornoski

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Daniel McAdams
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David Gornoski
通过广播和播客,深入探讨社会、文化和宗教问题,并应用模仿理论解释人类行为。
Topics
David Gornoski: 叙利亚局势的快速变化令人震惊,尤其是在阿萨德离开之后。这一事件与美国和以色列的政策以及中东地区其他国家的利益密切相关。美国政府对叙利亚新政府的态度和即将提供的援助表明,美国对阿萨德下台的结果感到满意。美国是否应该对叙利亚的基督教徒和其他少数民族群体提供保护,以避免他们受到迫害? Daniel McAdams: 阿萨德离开叙利亚的速度和方式令人震惊,关于其原因存在许多相互矛盾的说法。以色列对大马士革的空袭以及叙利亚军队的迅速崩溃表明,力量对比发生了显著变化。叙利亚新政府首脑是前基地组织成员,美国考虑向其提供资金援助,这与美国过去打击基地组织的政策形成讽刺性对比。以色列和美国是阿萨德下台事件中的赢家,而伊朗和俄罗斯是输家。然而,土耳其和以色列也可能因为阿萨德下台而面临更糟糕的局面。俄罗斯不太可能与美国政府就乌克兰问题进行谈判,因为它目前处于优势地位。俄罗斯可能决定不再支持阿萨德,因为它已经厌倦了持续不断的冲突。 David Gornoski: 中东地区的权力重新洗牌似乎正朝着有利于美国和以色列的方向发展。以色列支持哈马斯对抗巴勒斯坦权力机构,因为它认为哈马斯更容易对抗。美国政府似乎正在迎合非干涉主义的公众舆论,其言论可能是一种策略,旨在以更温和的方式进行政权更迭。美国政府的言论可能反映了非干涉主义在美国民众中的日益流行。 Daniel McAdams: 一些自由主义者容易被精心设计的宣传所迷惑。真正的自由主义目标是自由,而不是将特定的意识形态强加于世界其他地区。美国不应干涉其他国家的内部事务。普遍主义的观点往往会导致杀戮。真正的“美国优先”意味着权力下放,而不是强加美国意识形态。美国不应继续资助叙利亚新政府,也不应继续资助乌克兰战争。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why did the Syrian army collapse so quickly during the recent conflict?

The Syrian army's collapse was due to a combination of factors, including the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, which cut off weapon supplies to Hezbollah, the atrophy of the Syrian Arab Army due to poor training and corruption, and the lack of support from Russia, Iran, and Iraqi militias, who had previously aided Assad.

What role did Israel play in the recent events in Syria?

Israel bombed Damascus and took out Syria's air defense systems and military equipment. This was likely a strategic move to weaken Syria's defensive capabilities and prevent Hezbollah from being re-outfitted with weapons, as Israel views Hezbollah as a significant threat.

Why did the West decide that Assad must go?

The West, particularly the U.S. and Israel, has long sought to remove Assad due to his alliances with Russia and Iran, which are seen as destabilizing forces in the region. Additionally, Assad's secular, Western-style governance was viewed as a barrier to the West's strategic interests in the Middle East.

What is the significance of the new leadership in Syria being led by a former al-Qaeda member?

The new leadership, led by Jolani, a former al-Qaeda member, represents a shift from secular governance to a more extremist, religiously oriented regime. This aligns with the West's historical strategy of promoting extremist groups to counter secular pan-Arabist movements, which were seen as a greater threat to Western and Israeli interests.

How has the recent conflict in Syria permanently changed the Middle East?

The conflict has led to a permanent realignment of power in the Middle East, with Israel and the U.S. emerging as dominant forces. The collapse of Assad's regime and the rise of extremist groups have created a volatile and unstable environment that will have long-lasting effects on the region's political and social landscape.

What is the Ron Paul Institute's mission in the context of recent global events?

The Ron Paul Institute aims to promote peace and non-interventionism by bringing together individuals who share these values. The institute organizes conferences, supports scholars, and advocates for a libertarian approach to foreign policy, emphasizing local governance and minimal state intervention in global affairs.

Chapters
The unexpected and rapid collapse of Assad's army in Syria has shocked experts and observers. Multiple competing narratives exist, making it difficult to determine the exact events. The situation has permanently altered the Middle East, with significant and potentially negative long-term consequences.
  • Assad's army collapsed rapidly and unexpectedly.
  • Competing narratives make it hard to determine what happened.
  • The Middle East has permanently changed.

Shownotes Transcript

David Gornoski sits down with Daniel McAdams, co-host of the Ron Paul Liberty Report, to talk about the collapse of Assad's army in Syria, why Israel is bombing Damascus, how the West decided that Assad must go, whether Putin made a deal, and more.

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