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cover of episode “The Game Board has been Flipped: Now is a good time to rethink what you’re doing” by Alex Lintz

“The Game Board has been Flipped: Now is a good time to rethink what you’re doing” by Alex Lintz

2025/1/29
logo of podcast LessWrong (30+ Karma)

LessWrong (30+ Karma)

Shownotes Transcript

Cross-posted on the EA Forum here

** Introduction** Several developments over the past few months should cause you to re-evaluate what you are doing. These include:

Updates toward short timelines The Trump presidency The o1 (inference-time compute scaling) paradigm Deepseek Stargate/AI datacenter spending Increased internal deployment Absence of AI x-risk/safety considerations in mainstream AI discourse

Taken together, these are enough to render many existing AI governance strategies obsolete (and probably some technical safety strategies too). There's a good chance we're entering crunch time and that should absolutely affect your theory of change and what you plan to work on. In this piece I try to give a quick summary of these developments and think through the broader implications these have for AI safety. At the end of the piece I give some quick initial thoughts on how these developments affect what safety-concerned folks should be prioritizing. These are [...]


Outline:

(00:11) Introduction

(01:24) Implications of recent developments

(01:29) Updates toward short timelines

(04:29) The Trump Presidency

(07:37) The o1 paradigm

(09:27) Deepseek

(12:11) Stargate/AI data center spending

(13:15) Increased internal deployment

(15:47) Absence of AI x-risk/safety considerations in mainstream AI discourse

(17:17) Implications for strategic priorities

(17:21) Broader implications for US-China competition

(19:36) What seems less likely to work?

(20:59) What should people concerned about AI safety do now?

(24:04) Acknowledgements

The original text contained 6 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.


First published: January 28th, 2025

Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ynsjJWTAMhTogLHm6/the-game-board-has-been-flipped-now-is-a-good-time-to)

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO).