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cover of episode TikTok and Musk and Xiaohongshu; Xi’s Speech To Top Leaders; New PLA Capabilities for Taiwan; Proposed AI Controls and Continued Hacking Concerns

TikTok and Musk and Xiaohongshu; Xi’s Speech To Top Leaders; New PLA Capabilities for Taiwan; Proposed AI Controls and Continued Hacking Concerns

2025/1/15
logo of podcast Sharp China with Bill Bishop

Sharp China with Bill Bishop

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Andrew Sharp:围绕着TikTok在美国的命运,以及中国政府可能扮演的角色,存在着许多不确定性。虽然TikTok否认了中国政府考虑将其出售给马斯克的报道,但来自多个可靠消息来源的报道表明,中国官员正在探索各种方案,以应对美国可能实施的禁令。这突显出中美关系的复杂性和不确定性,以及美国政治体系中权力运作方式的挑战。 此外,大量TikTok用户转向小红书的现象,可能并非自发行为,而是小红书公司精心策划的营销策略。这种现象也反映出中美两国在数字领域竞争的加剧。 最后,美国政府对联网汽车和人工智能技术的出口限制,以及中国对美国关键基础设施的网络攻击,都加剧了中美之间的紧张关系,并对两国未来的合作与竞争带来不确定性。 Bill Bishop:中国政府对TikTok的态度表明,在他们看来,没有一家公司是真正独立的私营企业。如果中国政府认为某种解决方案可行,那么字节跳动公司就必须遵守。这反映出中国政府对公司和技术的控制程度。 关于小红书,虽然它为中美用户之间提供了交流的平台,但这可能很快就会成为一个审查问题。小红书公司已经开始采取措施,以应对由此带来的风险。 习近平的新年讲话强调了中国现代化道路的独立性和奋斗精神,并对西方现代化提出了批评。这反映出中国政府对自身发展道路和国际关系的立场。 中国正在建造新型驳船,这可能预示着解放军未来在台湾登陆能力的提升。虽然中国可能并不希望入侵台湾,但正在为迫使台湾接受政治解决方案做好军事准备。 美国对中国技术进步的限制,以及中国对美国关键基础设施的网络攻击,都加剧了中美之间的紧张关系。这些措施可能面临来自企业和国会的阻力,实施效果存在不确定性。

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Get all episodes of Sharp China, Sharp Tech, Stratechery Updates and Interviews, Greatest of All Talk and the Dithering Podcast as part of Stratechery Plus) for $15/month or $150/year.

Bill Bishop is the author of Sinocism)

On today’s show Bill and Andrew begin with multiple reports that Chinese officials have considered working with Elon Musk to find a resolution for TikTok in the U.S., while TikTok‘s users have flocked to Xiaohongshu and inspired a few more questions for the future. Then: Parsing Xi Jinping’s speech in the first 2025 issue of Qiushi, why both the substance of his message and his audience heighten concerns, and reactions to a new fleet of barges in Guangzhou that could factor into the PRC’s plans for Taiwan. At the end: U.S.-China updates, including a final rule from the U.S. on connected vehicles, proposed rules on AI chips, more alarms being sounded on PRC hacking, looming tech bro fissures, and the emissary from the PRC who may attend next week’s presidential inauguration.

To email the show: [email protected])

@SharpTechPodcast Channel — YouTube)

@Stratechery Channel — YouTube)

RMB signaling; Trade surplus; New US AI export rules; TikTok to become XTok? — Sinocism)

Xi chats with European Council President Antonio Costa; US rule on connected vehicles; RMB talk; Supply chain binding; TikTok — Sinocism)

China Weighs Sale of TikTok US to Musk as a Possible Option — Bloomberg)

China discussing using Elon Musk as broker in TikTok deal — Financial Times)

China Officials Discuss Option of TikTok Sale to Elon Musk — Wall Street Journal)

US netizens calling themselves ‘TikTok refugees’ migrate to Chinese social media app ahead of US Supreme Court ruling — Global Times)

TikTok crisis builds unlikely ‘cyberspace bridge’ between US and China — Semafor)

Xi in Qiushi - Comprehensively Advancing the Building of a Strong Country and the Great Cause of National Rejuvenation Through Chinese Modernization — Sinocism)

China’s Trade Surplus Reaches a Record of Nearly $1 Trillion — New York Times)

China Suddenly Building Fleet Of Special Barges Suitable For Taiwan Landings — Naval News)

Post by John Culver — John Culver on X)

Commerce Finalizes Rule to Secure Connected Vehicle Supply Chains from Foreign Adversary Threats — BIS)

U.S. Targets China With New AI Curbs, Overriding Nvidia’s Objections — Wall Street Journal)

Former FBI Director Chris Way on 60 Minutes — Face the Nation on X)

How Chinese Hackers Graduated From Clumsy Corporate Thieves to Military Weapons — WSJ)

Jan. 6, 2025: Giant Pandas Bao Li and Qing Bao Play In The Snow — YouTube)