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cover of episode Micron Plunges On Weakness, Musk's Political Power

Micron Plunges On Weakness, Musk's Political Power

2024/12/19
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Bloomberg Technology

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People
A
Alexandra Levine
C
Caroline Hyde
J
Jake Silverman
K
Kim Forrest
M
Mark Benioff
M
Mark Gurman
M
Mike Shepard
O
Olivia Carvel
S
Shirin Ghaffari
S
Simeon Dukac
S
Steve Wesley
Topics
Caroline Hyde: 本节目讨论了美光科技股价暴跌的原因,以及Elon Musk对美国政府潜在停摆的影响,并报道了苹果公司取消硬件订阅计划的新闻。 Jake Silverman: 美光科技业绩不及预期,主要原因是智能手机、PC和汽车芯片需求疲软,尽管AI相关产品的需求增长强劲,但其收入贡献仍然有限。下半年市场可能出现反弹,但仍存在不确定性。 Kim Forrest: Micron及其同类存储公司存在周期性的繁荣-萧条循环,当前的市场低迷可能是一个买入机会,因为Micron拥有巨大的增长潜力,行业内竞争对手较少,并且AI市场需求强劲,短期内不太可能停止增长。但投资者需要意识到,建设AI数据中心不会持续进行,未来某个时刻将出现暂停,企业需要开始收获投资回报。大型科技公司拥有足够的资金用于建设数据中心,宏观政策和政府更迭对Micron的影响有限。 Mike Shepard: Elon Musk利用其社交媒体平台影响力,成功阻止了一项临时拨款法案,导致美国政府面临关门风险。他正在组建一个团队,致力于提高政府效率,减少政府开支和规模,并正在招聘软件工程师和人工智能专家。 Steve Wesley: 全球电动汽车市场持续增长,但关税可能对美国和中国之间的汽车贸易产生影响,美国需要谨慎应对。特斯拉股价自年初以来大幅上涨,但其汽车销量增长乏力,未来增长面临挑战,需要推出更低价位的车型来保持增长。劳动力成本上升是电动汽车行业面临的一个挑战,工会化问题对特斯拉等公司来说是一个重要因素。 Mark Gurman: 苹果公司取消了iPhone硬件订阅服务计划。欧盟委员会要求苹果公司进一步开放其iPhone操作系统,而苹果公司则希望保持其封闭的生态系统。苹果公司为获得印度尼西亚市场准入,承诺投资10亿美元建设AirTag生产设施,并计划于明年年中发布新款AirTag。 Alexandra Levine: 美国最高法院同意审理TikTok对禁令的挑战,TikTok获得一丝希望。TikTok面临的不仅仅是禁令,还可能面临剥离资产的风险,但潜在的美国买家正在排队。 Simeon Dukac: 放宽H-1B签证政策将有助于吸引更多移民人才,促进创业,简化签证流程将鼓励更多毕业生在美国创业。移民在美国创办了大部分高价值公司,其创业成功的因素在于其毅力、远见和适应能力,以及能够利用海外资源降低成本。 Shirin Ghaffari: Perplexity公司最新一轮融资使其估值达到90亿美元,这表明投资者对人工智能市场的需求依然强劲。Perplexity公司用户数量和搜索量持续增长,并正在推出更多定制化搜索工具。 Mark Benioff: 《时代》杂志将特朗普评为年度人物。他认为人工智能技术可以提高政府效率,实现预算平衡,并表示Salesforce愿意协助政府提高效率,但由于自身媒体所有者的身份,难以直接参与政府工作。他否认了出售《时代》杂志的传闻。 Olivia Carvel: 一项诉讼指控Snapchat帮助毒贩销售致命的假药,这可能改变互联网格局。Snapchat采取了多种措施打击平台上的毒品交易,包括使用人工智能技术检测相关内容,并加强了用户连接功能的安全措施。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why did Micron's stock plummet by more than 17%?

Micron's stock plummeted due to a weak outlook for smartphone, PC, and auto chip demand, missing expectations by 12%. Despite excitement around AI applications, consumer demand for devices like smartphones and PCs remained low, leading to a significant inventory correction.

What role does AI play in Micron's current challenges?

While Micron has seen 400% growth in AI-related demand, products like high bandwidth memory for AI applications are still nascent and not generating significant revenue yet. The company’s growth is still driven by traditional compute products, which are moderating in demand.

How did Elon Musk influence the potential US government shutdown?

Elon Musk used his platform, X, to amplify opposition to a stopgap funding bill, urging lawmakers and President-elect Trump to risk a government shutdown. His influence led to the bill being scrapped, showcasing his political clout.

What is the significance of the Biden administration's deal with SK Hynix?

The Biden administration granted SK Hynix $460 million in grants and $500 million in loans to support a chip packaging facility in Indiana. This deal is part of US efforts to build a domestic semiconductor supply chain and reduce reliance on foreign chip production.

Why did Apple halt its iPhone hardware subscription service?

Apple halted its iPhone hardware subscription service project and reassigned the team to other initiatives. The service aimed to allow consumers to pay monthly fees for a new iPhone each year, but the company decided to discontinue the plan.

What is the EU pushing Apple to do regarding its iOS system?

The European Commission is pushing Apple to make iOS more compatible with rival devices like smartwatches, earbuds, and headsets. This includes opening up features like AirDrop, AirPlay, and underlying Wi-Fi protocols to third-party devices.

How is TikTok responding to the potential US ban?

TikTok is challenging the US ban in the Supreme Court, which has agreed to hear the case. The app argues that the ban would be unprecedented and is exploring options, including potential divestiture, though ByteDance has stated it will not sell its prized asset.

What is the impact of the H-1B visa overhaul on immigrant entrepreneurs?

The H-1B visa overhaul expands eligibility and provides clarity, making it easier for immigrant entrepreneurs to start companies in the US. This is particularly beneficial for students who complete their education in the US and want to build businesses without visa-related hurdles.

Why is Snapchat being singled out in lawsuits related to drug sales?

Snapchat is being singled out because its platform is built on disappearing messages, which drug dealers exploit to avoid leaving evidence. The platform has removed 2.2 million pieces of drug-related content and locked over 700,000 dealer accounts in 2023 alone.

What is the significance of Perplexity's $9 billion valuation?

Perplexity's valuation tripled to $9 billion, reflecting strong investor demand in the AI market. The startup, which focuses on real-time information and summaries, has seen significant growth in user queries and is rolling out customized search tools for financial and sports data.

Shownotes Transcript

Bloomberg's Caroline Hyde discusses Micron's big stock move lower as the company reports a weak chips outlook. And, Elon Musk wields political power, influencing a potential US government shutdown. Plus, Apple scraps its hardware subscription plans.

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