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cover of episode BTC217: MicroStrategy 2025 w/ Jeff Walton (Bitcoin Podcast)

BTC217: MicroStrategy 2025 w/ Jeff Walton (Bitcoin Podcast)

2025/1/15
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We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network

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J
Jeff Booth
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Jeff Walton
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Michael Saylor
领导微策略公司大规模投资比特币,推动公司股票表现突出。
P
Preston Pysh
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Preston Pysh: 我认为MicroStrategy在2024年的策略,即通过发行股票和债券来购买更多比特币,是正确的方向。虽然股价暂时没有上涨,但这增加了每股比特币的持有量,从长远来看对股东有利。 我特别关注每股比特币的持有量,而不是公司总共持有的比特币数量,因为这才是对个体股东真正有意义的指标。 MicroStrategy利用了股票价格和比特币价格之间的价差,通过发行股票筹集资金购买比特币,从而以低于市场价格购买比特币。这种策略被称为“捕捉价差”。 虽然MicroStrategy的股票波动性很大,甚至超过比特币本身,但这正是其策略的核心,通过利用波动性来获利。 对于想要投资MicroStrategy的投资者,我建议谨慎行事,因为这是一种高风险高回报的投资,需要对公司策略和比特币市场有深入的了解。 Jeff Walton: MicroStrategy在2024年宣布的420亿美元资本计划是历史上规模最大的,其在短短50天内筹集了179亿美元,并将所有资金都用于购买比特币。 MicroStrategy通过发行股票和可转换债券来筹集资金,这两种方式都有其优势。股票发行降低了公司的杠杆率,而可转换债券则将比特币价格波动风险转移给了债券持有者,并将多余的波动性转移给了股票持有者。 MicroStrategy发行的可转换债券是私募的,未经评级,这限制了投资者的范围,但未来可能会发行评级债券以吸引更多资金。2025年将实施的公允价值会计准则以及潜在的标普500指数纳入,将提高MicroStrategy的信用评级,使其能够发行评级债券。 MicroStrategy的可转换债券对保险公司等机构具有吸引力,因为它们可以获得比特币敞口,并利用其进行杠杆投资。 MicroStrategy股票的波动性很大,但其交易量很高,这表明市场参与者正在利用其波动性进行交易。投资者可以通过持有MicroStrategy股票并利用期权市场来产生收益。 对于初次接触MicroStrategy的投资者,建议采取长期持有策略,避免参与杠杆产品或期权交易。 Michael Saylor: MicroStrategy已经成功地利用比特币价格波动性,通过发行股票和债券,吸引了大量交易员参与,并创造了巨大的交易量。 我们通过发行股票和债券来筹集资金,并用这些资金购买比特币。这创造了巨大的市场波动性,吸引了大量的投机者,并最终增加了我们持有的比特币数量。 我们的目标是成为一家比特币资产管理公司,并帮助世界重新以比特币为基础进行资本化。

Deep Dive

Shownotes Transcript

Join us as Jeff Walton unpacks MicroStrategy's innovative financial strategies, including leveraging Bitcoin volatility, issuing convertible bonds, and building a balance sheet of permanent capital. We dive into valuations, ETF dynamics, accretive dilution, and what it means to be the "bank of the future."

IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:

00:00 - Intro

01:49 - What "capturing the spread" means in MicroStrategy's strategy.

02:32 - The difference between issuing convertible notes and common stock.

06:26 - An explanation of accretive dilution and its role in corporate strategy.

09:44 - How MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holdings position it as a "bank of the future."

20:52 - Insights into constructing a leveraged balance sheet with permanent capital.

23:04 - Why MicroStrategy issued two consecutive convertible bonds.

28:49 - How Michael Saylor's "Bitcoin nuclear reactor" concept reshapes volatility.

39:47 - The impact of entering the NASDAQ and index weighting on stock performance.

48:33 - Metrics to consider when starting a position in MicroStrategy or Bitcoin.

Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.

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