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cover of episode TIP692: Reading the Signals: How To Identify Winning Investments w/ Andrew Martin

TIP692: Reading the Signals: How To Identify Winning Investments w/ Andrew Martin

2025/1/19
logo of podcast We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network

We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network

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A
Andrew Martin
K
Kyle Grieve
投资分析师和播客主持人,专注于高质量股票分析和投资策略讨论。
Topics
Kyle Grieve: 本期节目讨论了 Andrew Martin 如何利用其物理学博士学位进行投资,他寻找的优秀投资的典型特征,以及提高思维过程的有价值的心智模型。我们还讨论了他对小盘股的偏好,他如何利用拐点策略来战胜市场,以及他从基于资产的投资者转变为现在的投资者的过程。此外,我们还讨论了技术如何扰乱低技术产业以及更多内容。 Andrew Martin: 我利用我的物理学背景来提高我的技术能力和分析能力。我寻找被市场低估且具有技术或机器学习增长潜力的公司。我使用一个基于地震的心智模型来识别市场可能忽视的隐藏基本面和催化剂。我专注于市值低于 10 亿美元的小盘股,因为大部分有吸引力的投资机会都集中在这个领域。我通常持有 10 到 20 个核心仓位,并根据市场情况进行调整。我从基于资产的价值投资者转变为注重合理价格增长的投资者。我发现技术正在扰乱低技术产业,并快速改变商业模式。我通过整体管理投资组合的流动性来应对完全投资带来的挑战,包括限制单个投资者的规模和管理投资组合的整体流动性。我利用价格作为尽职调查的一种手段,并通过多种指标对投资组合进行交叉比较,以确保投资组合的平衡。我专注于具有确定性高、风险低的拐点型企业。我通过概率方法来评估投资机会,并根据不同的情景分配概率权重。我努力保持耐心,避免冲动决策,并通过建立缓冲来应对市场波动。我投资全球企业,这使我能够在市场之间进行资本轮换。我通过互联网、人工智能翻译工具以及对不同国家的业务相似性的理解来克服在非英语国家投资的挑战。 Kyle Grieve: 本期节目讨论了 Andrew Martin 如何利用其物理学博士学位进行投资,他寻找的优秀投资的典型特征,以及提高思维过程的有价值的心智模型。我们还讨论了他对小盘股的偏好,他如何利用拐点策略来战胜市场,以及他从基于资产的投资者转变为现在的投资者的过程。此外,我们还讨论了技术如何扰乱低技术产业以及更多内容。

Deep Dive

Chapters
Andrew Martin, with a PhD in astrophysics, has achieved outstanding investment returns since 2019, significantly outperforming the S&P 500. This episode explores his unique investing strategies and insights.
  • Andrew Martin's fund, Fairlight Capital, has compounded at 38% per annum since 2019.
  • His success in investing in Asian businesses is highlighted.
  • The episode will cover his unique investment strategies and mental models.

Shownotes Transcript

In today's episode, Kyle Grieve chats with Andrew Martin about how he utilized his PhD in investing, the typical traits Andrew looks for in great investments, valuable physics-related mental models to improve your thinking processes, why Andrew is attracted to smallcap stocks, how Andrew utilizes his inflection point strategy to beat the market, how he evolved from an asset-based investor to where he is today, how to think about technological disruption in low-tech industries and much more!

Andrew Martin is the CEO of Fairlight Capital. Andrew has decades of experience working for large global insurance companies and asset managers managing billions of dollars. He has worked with companies such as Accenture and AIG. Andrew graduated with a B.Sc. in Theoretical Physics from the University of York and a doctorate in Astrophysics from the University of Oxford.

IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:

00:00 - Intro

05:06 - The physical cue that Andrew looks out for to help him subconsciously identify fantastic investing opportunities.

The traits that Andrew searches for in potential investments.

10:53 - How to combat biases in investing to avoid making big mistakes.

12:56 - How to utilize a natural contrarian nature to your advantage in investing.

16:59 - A valuable earthquake mental model to help you find hidden fundamentals that the market can overlook.

28:09 - Why Andrew settled on investing in small-caps.

33:24 - Why Andrew has a few concentrated positions while maintaining a few more minor positions.

38:35 - Andrew's evolution from an asset-based value investor to a growth at a reasonable price investor.

01:02:04 - How technology is disrupting low-tech industries and rapidly transforming business models.

And so much more!

Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.

BOOKS AND RESOURCES

  • Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community)** **to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members.

  • Read Andrew’s investor letters here).

  • Follow Kyle on Twitter) and LinkedIn).

  • Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here).

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