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cover of episode TIP710: Common Stocks and Common Sense w/ Kyle Grieve

TIP710: Common Stocks and Common Sense w/ Kyle Grieve

2025/3/30
logo of podcast We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network

We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network

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Kyle Grieve
投资分析师和播客主持人,专注于高质量股票分析和投资策略讨论。
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Kyle Grieve: 本期节目讨论了Ed Walkenheim的投资理念,他强调了普通股投资的简单性和常识性,以及逆向思维和周期分析的重要性。他认为,投资的关键在于避免行为性错误,关注企业的基本面,并根据新信息调整投资策略。他还分享了他在IBM、Interstate Bakeries、US Home、Centex、Lowe's、Whirlpool、Boeing、Southwest Airlines和General Motors等公司的投资案例,这些案例都体现了他的投资理念。 Ed Walkenheim: 我认为投资的关键在于常识,避免复杂的投资理论和模型。要关注那些被市场低估的企业,并对自己的判断充满信心。在投资过程中,要保持理性,避免情绪化的决策。要善于学习和总结经验教训,不断提高自己的投资能力。 Ed Walkenheim: 我在书中分享了我在不同行业的投资案例,这些案例都体现了我的投资理念。例如,我在IBM的投资中,看到了企业通过精简组织结构来提高利润的潜力;在Interstate Bakeries的投资中,我看到了优秀的管理团队能够提升低质量企业的价值;在US Home的投资中,我看到了低估行业的股票可能难以获得合理估值;在Centex的投资中,我看到了对周期性行业的深入了解能够在周期转向时获得成功;在Lowe's和Whirlpool的投资中,我看到了对行业的深入了解能够帮助我们识别被低估的企业;在Boeing和Southwest Airlines的投资中,我看到了即使在糟糕的行业中也能找到优秀的企业;在General Motors的投资中,我看到了在市场恐慌时低价买入股票的重要性。

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Shownotes Transcript

On today’s episode, Kyle Grieve explores how common stocks, paired with contrarian thinking and an understanding of cycles, can generate strong returns. We’ll cover lessons Ed shares from his journey—like allowing for imprecise valuations and learning from disappointing investments. We’ll also look at the value of investing alongside great investors and acting decisively during market panics.

IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:

00:00 - Intro

04:00 - Why common stocks offer more than just solid returns.

06:14 - One mindset shift to sharpen your contrarian investing edge.

07:43 - Three questions that clarify any tough investing decision.

12:54 - How averaging up became Ed’s unfair advantage.

16:14 - The shortcut Ed uses to spot great investments.

18:08 - Earnings, multiples, and perception: the formula behind significant returns.

24:35 - A turnaround playbook for deep value opportunities.

29:36 - Cyclicality decoded: spotting hidden patterns before the crowd.

49:23 - When bad investments still make you a better investor.

59:25 - Ed’s surprising win in a sector everyone hates.

And so much more!

Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.

BOOKS AND RESOURCES

  • Join Clay and a select group of passionate value investors for a retreat in Big Sky, Montana. Learn more here).

  • Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community) to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members.

  • Read Common Stocks and Common Sense here).

  • Follow Kyle on X) and LinkedIn).

  • Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here).

  • Enjoy ad-free episodes when you subscribe to our Premium Feed).

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