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cover of episode Beyond the 4% Rule: Smarter Strategies for Financial Independence with Karsten Jeske

Beyond the 4% Rule: Smarter Strategies for Financial Independence with Karsten Jeske

2024/8/21
logo of podcast All the Hacks with Chris Hutchins

All the Hacks with Chris Hutchins

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Karsten Jeske:4%法则只是一个经验法则,并非适用于所有人。实际的提款率应根据个人的年龄、预期寿命、其他收入来源(如社保、养老金)、风险承受能力以及市场状况等因素进行个性化调整。他还强调了序列回报风险的重要性,即投资回报的顺序会显著影响退休资金的持续时间。他建议在退休初期采取更保守的投资策略,并在退休后期逐渐增加股票比例(逆向滑行路径)。此外,他还讨论了通货膨胀、年金、税收优化、投资组合配置(包括国际多元化)以及杠杆等对退休规划的影响。他提供了一个免费的DIY提款率工具箱,帮助人们进行个性化的退休规划。 Karsten Jeske还建议,在积累阶段,应积极投资,即使市场波动较大也不必过于担心,因为长期来看,市场会向上波动。他提倡“隐形节俭”,即在必要时节俭,但不要过度节俭,以免影响生活质量。在退休后,人们的支出可能会增加,因为他们有更多时间进行旅行、娱乐等活动。 Chris Hutchins:主要就提早退休的可能性、4%法则的局限性、以及如何根据市场状况调整提款率等问题与Karsten Jeske进行了探讨。他表达了对4%法则的疑问,并希望了解如何更准确地计算个人合适的提款率。

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Karsten Jeske discusses the concept of early retirement and its attainability for different individuals, emphasizing the opportunity cost of continuing to work.

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#189: Learn to master retirement market risks and safe withdrawal rates with finance expert Karsten Jeske. We explore key strategies like the 4% rule, sequence of return risk, and delve into roles of taxes, annuities, inflation protection, portfolio allocation, and even the psychological aspects of retirement planning.

Karsten Jeske) is the founder of Early Retirement Now), a blog where he shares his expertise in retirement planning, safe withdrawal rates, and financial independence. He has a PhD in economics and is a Chartered Financial Analyst.

Link to Full Show Notes: https://chrishutchins.com/how-to-retire-early-karsten-jeske)

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Resources Mentioned

Karsten Jeske: Blog) | X) | LinkedIn)

Safe Withdrawal Rate Series)

- Part 14) & Part 15): Sequence of Return Risk

- Part 28): Free DIY Withdrawal Rate Toolbox)

- Part 35): Asset Location

- Part 43): Pre-Retirement Glidepaths

- Part 61): Safety First

Blog Post: Stealth Frugality)

Shiller CAPE Ratio)

Alpha Architect 1-3 Month Box ETF: BOXX)

Blog For Tax Optimization: Go Curry Cracker)

ATH Podcast:

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Full Show Notes

(00:00) Introduction

(02:00) Should Everyone Retire Early?

(05:09) The Rule of 4% as a Guideline

(09:46) The Role of Longevity in the 4% Rule

(12:46) Using Historical Data for Retirement Simulations

(19:11) Sequence of Return Risk: What It Means & What to Do About It

(23:51) Strategies to Mitigate the Sequence of Return Risk

(30:41) The Flexibility of Safe Withdrawal Rates

(37:49) How to Adjust Withdrawal Rates Based on Current Market Conditions

(45:53) The Reverse Glide Path Strategy

(49:30) The Impact of Inflation on Retirement Planning

(57:03) Evaluating Annuities

(59:40) Ways to Consider Tax Optimization Strategies

(1:04:29) How to Think About Portfolio Allocation During Accumulation

(1:12:25) The Role of International Diversification in Equity Allocation

(1:16:57) Karsten's View on Tax Loss Harvesting

(1:20:34) Asset Location

(1:22:35) Is Adding Leverage to Your Equity Worth It?

(1:26:41) Advice for Someone Early in the Accumulation Phase

(1:28:27) Stealth Frugality

(1:29:39) How Do People Spend During Retirement?

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