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cover of episode #108 — Defending the Experts

#108 — Defending the Experts

2017/12/14
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Making Sense with Sam Harris

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Tom Harris
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Tom Nichols
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Sam Harris: 探讨了达克效应,即能力不足的人往往高估自己的能力,并分析了其在社会和政治领域的影响。同时,也探讨了在信息时代,人们对专家的信任度下降,以及如何应对专家知识的失败。 Tom Nichols: 详细解释了达克效应的含义和成因,并指出其被滥用的现象。他还分析了知识增长过程中对权威的质疑和挑战,以及专业化带来的依赖权威的现象。此外,他还探讨了在医学领域,信息过载可能对患者有害,以及如何正确地看待和处理医学信息。 Sam Harris: 探讨了在政治领域,人们对专家的态度与在医学领域截然不同,以及如何应对政治领域的专家知识的失败。 Tom Nichols: 分析了政治领域中“反精英主义”思潮兴起的原因,追溯到克林顿时代“真实性”的政治策略。他还指出,对专家的攻击,部分原因是那些有知识的人在利用民粹主义情绪,以及人们对精英阶层的怨恨,以及对简单答案的渴望。此外,他还分析了阴谋论的兴起,以及人们对复杂现实的逃避。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why did Tom Nichols write 'The Death of Expertise'?

Nichols started writing the book three years before the Trump presidency, initially as a blog rant that evolved into an article. He included discussions on the election and Brexit, highlighting the growing distrust and repudiation of expertise in various fields.

What is the Dunning-Kruger effect?

The Dunning-Kruger effect is a cognitive bias where individuals with low competence in a particular area overestimate their competence. This effect is named after social psychologists Dunning and Kruger, who found that less competent individuals are less likely to recognize their incompetence.

How does the Dunning-Kruger effect relate to expertise?

The Dunning-Kruger effect illustrates how those who lack expertise in a field are often the least aware of their own incompetence, leading to overconfidence and a failure to recognize the value of true experts.

Why is skepticism important in the advancement of knowledge?

Skepticism is crucial for the advancement of knowledge because it challenges existing expert opinions and allows for the discovery of new truths. However, this skepticism should be informed and conducted by other experts within the same field.

How does specialization affect our reliance on authority?

Specialization means that there is too much knowledge for any one person to master all fields. Therefore, even highly educated individuals must rely on the authority of experts in areas outside their own expertise.

Why do people distrust experts in politics?

People distrust experts in politics because of a shift towards valuing authenticity and relatability over competence and expertise. This trend began with the 1992 election of Bill Clinton and has continued with figures like Sarah Palin and Donald Trump.

What role does resentment play in the current political climate?

Resentment plays a significant role in the current political climate as people who feel left behind by the rapid changes of the information age seek to undermine the perceived advantages of the 'elite' and 'experts' they believe are conspiring against them.

How does the internet contribute to the spread of conspiracy theories?

The internet provides a platform for conspiracy theories to spread rapidly, offering a comforting narrative to those who feel bewildered and angry about the complexities of the modern world, reinforcing their distrust of established knowledge and expertise.

Chapters
The Dunning-Kruger effect describes how less competent individuals overestimate their abilities, a phenomenon that has significant implications for understanding expertise and incompetence.
  • The Dunning-Kruger effect is the tendency for less competent individuals to overestimate their abilities.
  • This effect is due to a lack of metacognition, the ability to evaluate one's own competence.
  • The spread of the Dunning-Kruger effect as a meme has led to its misuse, often as a synonym for stupidity.

Shownotes Transcript

Sam Harris speaks with Tom Nichols about his book The Death of Expertise. They discuss the “Dunning-Kruger Effect,” the growth of knowledge and reliance on authority, when experts fail, the repudiation of expertise in politics, conspiracy thinking, North Korea, Trump, and other topics.

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