Prop traders generally don't raise outside money, which means they have no need to disclose their strategies or performance to the public. This lack of transparency keeps their methods and high returns hidden from the broader investment community.
Noel Smith saw the potential for greater scalability and impact by managing a hedge fund. He believed that making a percentage of much larger sums of money could be more rewarding than keeping all the profits from smaller, prop-level trades. He also wanted to be more transparent and publicly accountable.
Capital raising is incredibly difficult and often more about relationships and likability than pure performance. Unlike prop trading, where returns speak for themselves, hedge funds require building trust and rapport with potential investors, many of whom have different criteria and may prefer established names or smoother performance records.
Convex Asset Management brings best practices from prop trading into a hedge fund format, offering unique strategies that are not commonly seen in the hedge fund world. This differentiation is both a strength and a challenge, as it can be difficult for investors to understand but offers the potential for higher returns.
In the hedge fund world, the gestation period for building trust and getting allocations can take years. Relationships and likability are crucial because they help in building the necessary rapport with potential investors who often prefer to work with people they know and trust, rather than just looking at performance numbers.
The sales cycle for significant investments, especially from institutional investors, can take no less than a year, and often more like two. This is because institutional investors need to go through multiple layers of decision-making and due diligence processes.
Convex excluded March and April 2020 to avoid misleading investors. The returns during that period were exceptionally high due to the unique circumstances of the COVID-19 pandemic, and they believed that including these outliers would not be representative of their typical performance and could set unrealistic expectations for the future.
The long-term vision for Convex is to build a successful, scalable hedge fund that can manage a few hundred million in actual invested capital before seeing significant alpha degradation. Noel Smith also aims to develop a holistic business that touches various aspects of the investment and trading landscape, leveraging his extensive experience and network.
Noel Smith, founder of Convex Asset Management has spent most of his career outside of the world of managing other people’s money. Instead, he traded his own capital as a proprietary trader. Prop traders are famed for generating staggering rates of return, but because they have no interest in raising money, their secrets and strategies generally remain behind closed doors. However, he has decided to bring these strategies to the hedge fund world at Convex Asset Management and while they don’t scale to produce the same level of returns their lack of availability outside the prop world gives him differentiation in the product marketplace. In this interview, Smith explains why props can make so much more money, how much harder capital raising is than he anticipated, and why he ranks relationships and likability higher than performance when it comes to hedge fund success.
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Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
01:16 What is Prop Trading?
10:51 Moving to the Hedge Fund World
16:36 The Hedge Fund Popularity Contest
23:04 Volatility Trading Strategies
27:27 Extracting Information From The Options Market
32:09 Scaling Prop Strategies
34:44 Alpha Degradation
39:31 Being Good Is Not Enough
48:03 Dealing With Extreme Performance
53:28 Long-term Vision For Convex Asset Management