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cover of episode Inside the Secret World of Prop Traders | Noel Smith of Convex Asset Management

Inside the Secret World of Prop Traders | Noel Smith of Convex Asset Management

2024/12/17
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Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

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Noel Smith: 本访谈的核心围绕着专有交易与对冲基金管理的对比展开。Smith 拥有丰富的专有交易经验,他解释了专有交易与传统基金管理的不同之处,在于其资金来源和策略的灵活性。他详细描述了自己的专有交易生涯,从个人交易到为其他交易员提供资金支持,并扩展到各种金融产品和交易场所。他阐述了专有交易中的资金分配、风险管理和收益分成机制,以及如何评估交易员的风险承受能力。Smith 还讨论了小型专有交易策略的优势,即其灵活性能够捕捉大型机构难以利用的市场机会。他解释了从专有交易转向对冲基金管理的原因,包括对规模化交易的兴趣以及对自身能力的信心。他坦诚地谈到了募集资金的难度,以及不同类型的投资者对他的策略的理解程度,指出募集资金更像一场受欢迎程度的竞赛,建立良好的人际关系比单纯的业绩表现更重要。Smith 还深入探讨了Convex 的核心策略,包括波动率套利(Vol ARB)和波动率风险溢价(Vol Risk Premium),并解释了为什么Convex不能简单地归类为波动率基金。他认为期权市场的信息质量优于分析师的预测,因为期权价格反映了市场参与者的集体智慧和对未来走势的预期。他还讨论了alpha衰减的问题,以及如何通过创新和迭代来保持竞争优势。Smith 还分享了他对投资者关系管理的经验,以及如何平衡短期业绩与长期愿景。他强调了透明和诚实的重要性,并解释了为什么他选择不将2020年疫情期间的极端高回报纳入业绩数据中。最后,Smith 阐述了他对Convex 的长期愿景,包括规模化目标以及如何平衡规模与alpha收益。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why is the prop trading world often a black box in terms of strategies and performance?

Prop traders generally don't raise outside money, which means they have no need to disclose their strategies or performance to the public. This lack of transparency keeps their methods and high returns hidden from the broader investment community.

Why did Noel Smith decide to move from prop trading to managing a hedge fund?

Noel Smith saw the potential for greater scalability and impact by managing a hedge fund. He believed that making a percentage of much larger sums of money could be more rewarding than keeping all the profits from smaller, prop-level trades. He also wanted to be more transparent and publicly accountable.

Why is capital raising for a hedge fund more challenging than Noel Smith anticipated?

Capital raising is incredibly difficult and often more about relationships and likability than pure performance. Unlike prop trading, where returns speak for themselves, hedge funds require building trust and rapport with potential investors, many of whom have different criteria and may prefer established names or smoother performance records.

How does Convex Asset Management differentiate itself from traditional hedge funds?

Convex Asset Management brings best practices from prop trading into a hedge fund format, offering unique strategies that are not commonly seen in the hedge fund world. This differentiation is both a strength and a challenge, as it can be difficult for investors to understand but offers the potential for higher returns.

Why does Noel Smith rank relationships and likability higher than performance when it comes to hedge fund success?

In the hedge fund world, the gestation period for building trust and getting allocations can take years. Relationships and likability are crucial because they help in building the necessary rapport with potential investors who often prefer to work with people they know and trust, rather than just looking at performance numbers.

What is the average sales cycle for getting a significant investment in Convex Asset Management?

The sales cycle for significant investments, especially from institutional investors, can take no less than a year, and often more like two. This is because institutional investors need to go through multiple layers of decision-making and due diligence processes.

Why did Convex Asset Management exclude March and April 2020 from their track record?

Convex excluded March and April 2020 to avoid misleading investors. The returns during that period were exceptionally high due to the unique circumstances of the COVID-19 pandemic, and they believed that including these outliers would not be representative of their typical performance and could set unrealistic expectations for the future.

What is the long-term vision for Convex Asset Management?

The long-term vision for Convex is to build a successful, scalable hedge fund that can manage a few hundred million in actual invested capital before seeing significant alpha degradation. Noel Smith also aims to develop a holistic business that touches various aspects of the investment and trading landscape, leveraging his extensive experience and network.

Shownotes Transcript

Noel Smith, founder of Convex Asset Management has spent most of his career outside of the world of managing other people’s money. Instead, he traded his own capital as a proprietary trader. Prop traders are famed for generating staggering rates of return, but because they have no interest in raising money, their secrets and strategies generally remain behind closed doors. However, he has decided to bring these strategies to the hedge fund world at Convex Asset Management and while they don’t scale to produce the same level of returns their lack of availability outside the prop world gives him differentiation in the product marketplace. In this interview, Smith explains why props can make so much more money, how much harder capital raising is than he anticipated, and why he ranks relationships and likability higher than performance when it comes to hedge fund success.

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Timestamps:

00:00 Intro

01:16 What is Prop Trading?

10:51 Moving to the Hedge Fund World

16:36 The Hedge Fund Popularity Contest

23:04 Volatility Trading Strategies

27:27 Extracting Information From The Options Market

32:09 Scaling Prop Strategies

34:44 Alpha Degradation

39:31 Being Good Is Not Enough

48:03 Dealing With Extreme Performance

53:28 Long-term Vision For Convex Asset Management