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Category 6

2024/6/18
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99% Invisible

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Eric J. Dolan
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Hugh Willoughby
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Richard Olson
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Robbie Berg
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Roman Mars
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Roman Mars 报道了佛罗里达州极端事件研究所的研究,以及他们如何利用“风墙”实验室来测试建筑材料和方法的抗飓风能力。他还讨论了萨菲尔-辛普森飓风等级表的历史和局限性,以及气候变化对飓风强度的影响。 Eric J. Dolan 讲述了飓风预报的历史,从塔伊诺人的传统知识到贝尼托·维涅斯神父在古巴的天文台进行的开创性研究,以及美国早期飓风预报系统的不足。他还描述了“飓风猎人”的出现以及爱德华·R·默罗的报道如何提高了公众对飓风的认识。 Hugh Willoughby 详细解释了萨菲尔-辛普森飓风等级表的运作方式,以及它如何通过简单的数字(1-5)来传达飓风的破坏程度。他认为,该等级表简洁明了,易于公众理解,但同时也承认其局限性。 Richard Olson 讨论了气候变化对飓风强度的影响,以及是否需要增加6级飓风来反映更强烈的风暴。他认为,需要进一步研究以了解5级飓风以上的破坏程度,并建造一个更大的实验室来模拟更强烈的飓风。 Robbie Berg 代表国家飓风中心,对增加6级飓风持谨慎态度。他认为,增加类别可能会使公众难以理解,并且4级和5级飓风已经足够描述灾难性的破坏程度。他还强调了媒体对风速的关注,以及这如何导致公众忽视风暴潮等其他风险。

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After Hurricane Camille caused widespread death and destruction along the US Gulf Coast in 1969, two scientists created the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale as a way to quickly warn the public when dangerous storms were on the way. Today, we’re still using the scale and its system of ranking storms as Categories 1 to 5. But in the 55 years since the scale was created, hurricanes have become more frequent, and they have gotten bigger, faster, more devastating. There's now debate among meteorologists about whether the scale is obsolete, and it may be time for something new.

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