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cover of episode What Happens Inside A Top-Secret U.S. Nuclear Facility?

What Happens Inside A Top-Secret U.S. Nuclear Facility?

2025/2/11
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David Funk
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Geoff Brumfiel
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Hans Christensen
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Jamie Kwong
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Regina Barber
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Terry Quinn
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Tim Beller
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Geoff Brumfiel: 我认为美国在1992年停止了核试验,转而依赖科学模拟来验证核武器的有效性。尽管官方否认,但美国或他国重启核试验的担忧日益增加。目前,地面核试验已停止,转为地下试验,以减少放射性尘埃的影响。现在我参观了劳伦斯利弗莫尔国家实验室,看到了他们使用超级计算机进行核试验模拟,并亲身探访了内华达州的地下试验场,那里正在进行亚临界实验。虽然目前没有技术上的需求进行核试验,但政治因素可能导致美国再次进行核试验,这将可能引发新一轮的核军备竞赛。 Regina Barber: 我对美国上次进行核武器试验的时间感到好奇,并想了解目前核试验的替代方案。 Hans Christensen: 我认为停止核试验的主要原因是政治意愿和超级计算机的技术进步,超级计算机能够模拟核试验,确保现有核武器的有效性。 Terry Quinn: 我介绍了El Capitan超级计算机,它使用先进的处理器,能够快速进行核武器爆炸的模拟计算。 David Funk: 我介绍了内华达地下试验场的亚临界实验,这些实验旨在模拟核武器内部条件,同时确保环境安全。 Tim Beller: 我负责的Knob Hill实验旨在模拟核爆炸,但会严格控制在亚临界状态下,确保不发生失控的核链式反应。 Jamie Kwong: 我认为地下核试验可能对环境和人道主义产生影响,尤其是在边缘化社区进行试验时。美国在暂停核试验方面具有技术优势,但如果全球试验恢复,其他国家可能会更快地从中获益。

Deep Dive

Chapters
This section explores the history of nuclear testing, explaining the shift from above-ground tests to underground tests due to radioactive fallout and the 1963 treaty signed by the world's nuclear powers.
  • Above-ground nuclear tests were primarily conducted in the 1950s.
  • Radioactive fallout led to the 1963 treaty, prompting a shift to underground testing.
  • The end of the Cold War in the late 1980s and early 1990s also played a role in the cessation of nuclear testing.

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You're listening to Shortwave from NPR. Hey, Gina. Hey, NPR science correspondent Jeff Brumfield. Why are you darkening my doorstep? To talk about one of my all-time favorite topics, nuclear weapons testing. And I got a question for you. Okay. When do you think is the last time the U.S. tested a nuclear weapon? I'm going to say possibly in the late 70s.

They actually stopped a lot later than that. They stopped in 1992. Wow. And they've been pursuing a very different program based on science. Okay. And recently I got a very, very unusual look at that program and all its facets and sort of how the U.S. continues to verify its nuclear weapons work.

without having to set any of them off. Are they thinking about testing again? I would say the official answer is no, but there is more concern that the U.S. or another country might soon test another nuclear weapon. So today on the show, Jeff takes us on a rare trip to tunnels deep under the Nevada desert, where America does science instead of nuclear testing. I'm Regina Barber, and you're listening to Shortwave, the science podcast from NPR.

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Okay, so let's start with like a little history on nuclear testing. Like,

How did we get to where we are today, where we're not doing it anymore? You know, you think a nuclear test and it's like a mushroom cloud over the desert. But that was actually just a very brief period that those above ground tests were happening. It was mostly in the 1950s and it stopped because of radioactive fallout. The wind was carrying radioactive material much further than expected. And it started showing up on fishing boats, in milk and baby teeth, places nobody wanted it.

So in 1963, the world's nuclear power signed a treaty to move testing deep underground. And it kept going that way all the way until the end of the Cold War. Which was what, like the late 1980s, early 1990s? That's when the Soviet Union collapsed. Right, right. So why did nuclear testing stop then? I spoke to Hans Christensen with the Federation of American Scientists. He tracks nuclear weapons all over the world. And he says there were two big reasons. The first was political.

It was very much an attempt to look around and see what can we do that makes it clear that we're not just talking about the end of the Cold War. We're serious about it. We're willing to do some things. But the second reason they could stop testing was actually technical. It was this growing power of supercomputers. They could now take these supercomputers and simulate nuclear testing in silicon. You didn't need to do nuclear tests to do what you needed to do for the foreseeable future, which is...

to make sure that the nuclear weapons you have work, and if there's a problem,

a glitch, you can fix it. So you could still run tests. They were just on computers, not like an actual detonation of a nuke. Yeah, and that actually takes us to the first stop on this whole nuclear testing road trip. Okay. I traveled out to Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in California, and I got to see their newest computer where they do what they call the button-to-boom calculations. The button-to-boom. It's inside a secure vault.

The computer is called El Capitan. We named it after Yosemite. There's a very prominent granite there, and it's in California. Terry Quinn oversees high-performance computing at Livermore, and she showed us around. Now, this machine uses advanced processors, similar to those used for generative AI, actually.

LCAP can do more than two quintillion calculations per second. Wow. That's two exaflops for those in the supercomputing game. And its only job is to calculate, you know, a nuclear weapon's detonation. It used to be it might take them a week to do a calculation on how a weapon would detonate. Now they can get it back by the end of the day or within hours. I mean, that is game-changing, especially in this world where we have to move faster than...

And this is what nuclear testing looks like today. Making sure the weapons we do have work, but using supercomputers, right? Like problem solve, like no more real world tests.

Not quite. Okay. Okay. As you know, Gina, any good computer model still needs some real-world data to make sure it's grounded in reality. Okay. And so, you know, nuclear weapons scientists have continued to collect data. They're doing experiments in the same tunnels underground where they used to set up their nuclear weapons tests. Okay. Now, this is not a place many journalists get to go.

But I asked and asked and asked very nicely. And eventually, I and a few other journalists made it to Nevada, where they do this testing. We stepped onto an old mining elevator. And the elevator just drops into pitch blackness, nearly 1,000 feet underground. Here's what it was like at the bottom. Already it sounds scary. Boom!

There's a long corridor that's been carved out of an ancient lake bed. Pipes along the walls carry air, water, and power. Workers in hard hats are everywhere. David Funk, who oversees work underground, leads us in. How long have we had tunnels then? Oh, so the tunnels were dug in the 80s.

So this would have been a test shaft, potentially? Yeah, this was designed to be a nuclear test location originally, and now we do only subcritical experiments in this location. Subcritical experiments. That means experiments that simulate conditions inside a nuclear weapon without triggering a nuclear chain reaction. That runaway chain reaction is what gives a nuke its incredible power.

These tunnels were originally built to contain nuclear explosions. Then, in 1992, the U.S. officially stopped all testing. The Cold War had ended and the thinking was nuclear testing could end too. It would make the world safer.

But fast forward to today and nuclear weapons are back on the front pages. Same goes for nuclear testing. China, Russia, and America are all upgrading their test sites. And that's why we're here, to see what U.S. scientists are up to underground. Speaking of which, why do they still work down here?

We do this because it is secure, right, so we can control the environment. And we also are concerned about a potential breach of the vessel. And so we want to do it in an environment that's controlled and we don't lose any of the plutonium into the environment. If something goes wrong. If something goes wrong, yeah. We arrive at our first stop, a long, empty corridor that's just been dug out for a new experiment.

So this is where the Scorpius machine is going to reside. The Scorpius machine. It kind of feels like you're in a James Bond movie.

Funk explains it's actually a giant x-ray machine. You guys are familiar with chest x-rays, right? Scorpius is going to work in the same way. It'll create extremely high-powered x-rays. And the reason is we need higher energy x-rays to be able to look through plutonium. Plutonium from America's nuclear weapons. Much of it was made decades ago, and it's getting old. The x-rays are used to take a look inside to see how well the plutonium would work if detonated.

Scorpius will cost $2 billion to build down here. We walk deeper into the tunnel network. Some of the floors are still rocky. They've just been dug. Next stop, an experiment that simulates a nuclear weapon. It's called Cygnus, and it's arguably the most secretive scientific project in the U.S. government. As a reminder, the air we're going into, no cell phones.

Any Bluetooth devices, smart watches, smart rigs, if you have them, they need to go in the locker over here. Cygnus is a smaller version of Scorpius. It fires x-rays of plutonium that's inside a spherical steel container about the size of a mini-fridge. Watch your step, Henry. Tim Beller is directing the next test, codenamed Knob Hill. So that is the Knob Hill vessel.

That's the actual vessel that we will use. That's a three-footer. In a few months inside this vessel, scientists will blow up a tiny quantity of plutonium using chemical explosives. It's designed to simulate a nuclear detonation. But again, this test will be subcritical. The U.S. government says there will not be a runaway nuclear chain reaction. Whatever rules they set, I ensure they happen here in Nevada.

Okay, so Jeff, this gives like a real sense of what it was like to visit those tunnels. And like Tim Beller said, is that the U.S. is following these rules, right? But you mentioned there might be like a return to testing. Is that because scientists need to do like another test they couldn't do with these supercomputers? No, actually it isn't. In fact, you know, I heard again and again from nuclear weapons scientists on this trip that

There is no technical need to test right now. OK, so if it's not scientific, it's not technical. Why would America test again? We'd start testing again for exactly the same reason we stopped testing. And that's politics. Nuclear weapons have a new role in the world. You know, Russia is developing some wild new nuclear weapons designs. China is expanding its nuclear arsenal again.

And into all of this comes the Trump administration. Now, Project 2025, which is sort of a conservative blueprint for the government, it says the U.S. should be ready to test another nuclear weapon if it needs to. Trump's former national security advisor has gone further. He's written that the U.S. should test another nuclear weapon.

Okay, so if the U.S. did resume underground testing, what would be the consequences of that? First things first, we should say underground testing is safer than atmospheric testing, but that doesn't mean it's totally safe. Here's Jamie Kwong with the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Underground tests can also have environmental and humanitarian impacts. You know, they're obviously not as severe as the atmospheric impacts, but they're still possible.

And historically, at least, testing's been done in some pretty marginalized communities, places in rural Nevada, rural Mississippi, the Aleutian Islands. These are communities where the population just doesn't have that much political power.

But there's also another way in which the resumption of nuclear testing could hurt the U.S. strategically. The U.S. has a technical advantage locked in by this moratorium on nuclear testing. Because it undertook so many more tests during this Cold War period, it has loads of historical legacy data. The U.S. has more than a thousand nuclear tests under its belt. Now,

Now, China only has 45. Oh, wow. So if global testing resumes, China's going to learn a lot more from test 46 than the U.S. will from its next test.

But I should say, like, you know, this isn't all up to Trump and the Trump administration in America. China or Russia could decide it was time to do an underground test. And if they did, the U.S. would be under a lot of pressure to test as well. OK, so, Jeff, I can see now that we could be at this precipice of a return to nuclear testing situation.

Because we're at this like very unstable moment right now in the world. Nobody, like no country wants to go first. But if one country tests, the other countries are likely to follow, right? That's exactly it. And, you know, if testing happens, arms control experts worry it's going to spark new kinds of research into other nuclear weapons. And those weapons will get built and we'll be right back in the middle of a nuclear arms race. Jeff Brumfield, thank you so much for bringing us this story.

You're welcome, Gina. Pleasure to be here. This episode was produced by Rachel Carlson and edited by Burleigh McCoy. Jeff Brumfield and Tyler Jones checked the facts. Jimmy Keeley was the audio engineer. Beth Donovan is our senior director and Colin Campbell is our senior vice president of podcasting strategy. I'm Regina Barber. Thank you for listening to Shortwave, the science podcast from NPR.

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