The three most significant AI essays of 2024 are Sam Altman's op-ed in the Washington Post titled 'Who Will Control the Future of AI?', Dario Amodei's 'Machines of Loving Grace', and Sam Altman's 'The Intelligence Age'.
The AI safety movement took a backseat in 2024 due to a shift in focus towards competition for AI leadership and national security concerns, particularly the U.S. maintaining its lead in AI. The urgency around AI safety diminished as progress stalled around GPT-4 level capabilities.
Sam Altman recommended four key actions: 1) The AI industry must secure its secrets to prevent theft. 2) The U.S. needs to build out infrastructure to support AI development, including power plants. 3) A coherent commercial diplomacy policy for AI, including export controls and foreign investment rules. 4) Creative new models for global AI norms, focusing on safety and inclusion of the global south.
Dario Amodei envisions a future where AI significantly improves biology and physical health, neuroscience and mental health, economic development and poverty, peace and governance, and work and meaning. He believes powerful AI, smarter than a Nobel Prize winner across most fields, could emerge as early as 2026 and autonomously handle complex tasks.
In 'The Intelligence Age', Sam Altman argues that AI will accelerate human progress, enabling people to solve hard problems and achieve prosperity unimaginable today. He emphasizes the need for abundant compute and energy to make AI accessible to all, warning that under-resourcing could limit its benefits to the wealthy.
Safe Superintelligence, founded by Ilya Sutskever, aims to build safe superintelligence as its sole focus. The company avoids distractions from management overhead or product cycles, ensuring safety, security, and progress are insulated from short-term commercial pressures.
Sam Altman describes AI as a catalyst for massive prosperity, enabling achievements like fixing the climate, establishing space colonies, and discovering all of physics. He believes AI will amplify human abilities, leading to shared prosperity and unimaginable improvements in quality of life.
In a defining year for GenAI, three essays helped explain the state of the industry.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/07/25/sam-altman-ai-democracy-authoritarianism-future/
https://darioamodei.com/machines-of-loving-grace
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