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cover of episode 288. Putin's No-Show at Peace Talks

288. Putin's No-Show at Peace Talks

2025/5/16
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Battleground
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People
D
Dave
活跃的房地产投资者和分析师，专注于房地产市场预测和投资策略。
J
James Hodgson
P
Patrick Bishop
S
Steve (in Berlin)
Z
Zalman (in Zambia)
Topics
Patrick Bishop: 普京缺席俄乌会谈，导致泽连斯基和特朗普也未出席，使整个事件变成一场外交闹剧。俄方派出低级别代表团，表明俄方不愿做出实质性让步。我认为普京的缺席反映了他不希望结束战争的真实意图，因为战争的结束会威胁到他的地位。我观察到，泽连斯基是普京想成为的那种人，一个有行动力和魅力的人。 James Hodgson: 尽管普京缺席，但这次会谈仍然重要，因为它推动了局势发展。我认为普京主动提出直接对话，泽连斯基巧妙地将其解读为两人之间的面对面会谈。我认为俄罗斯拖延进程越久，华盛顿就越有可能认清普京的真实意图。我注意到特朗普渴望获得诺贝尔和平奖，这可能会影响他的决策。我认为特朗普最终可能会对俄罗斯失去耐心，转而采取更强硬的手段。普京需要不断前进，就像鲨鱼一样，否则他的目的将不复存在。只有当双方都看不到军事胜利的希望时，谈判才会真正开始。

Deep Dive

Chapters
This chapter analyzes Vladimir Putin's absence from the first face-to-face talks between Russia and Ukraine in over three years. The no-show, alongside President Zelensky's and Donald Trump's absences, raises questions about the prospects for peace and the seriousness of Russia's commitment to negotiations.
  • Putin's failure to appear at the face-to-face talks.
  • Zelensky's and Trump's subsequent absences.
  • Low-level delegations with limited authority handle the talks.
  • Uncertainty about the outcome of the talks.

Shownotes Transcript

Welcome to a special edition of Battleground Ukraine. With Saul and Roger absent, producer James Hodgson joins Patrick to dissect the significant non-event of the week: Vladimir Putin's failure to appear at the first face-to-face talks between Russia and Ukraine in over three years – talks ironically initiated by Putin himself.

What does Putin's no-show, and subsequently President Zelensky's absence, alongside a potential visit that never materialised from Donald Trump, tell us about the prospects for peace? While low-level delegations convene with limited authority, is this still a crucial moment in the ongoing conflict?

If you have any thoughts or questions, you can send them to - [email protected]

Producer: James Hodgson

X: @PodBattleground

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