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cover of episode California Health Programs At Risk Under Trump 2.0

California Health Programs At Risk Under Trump 2.0

2025/1/13
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Angela Hart
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Mark Peterson
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Mia Bonta
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Mia Bonta: 我认为对加州居民健康的最大威胁是《平价医疗法案》补贴的取消,这将导致数百万人面临更高的医疗保险保费。对加州医疗补助计划Medi-Cal的威胁更大,因为联邦政府资助其大部分经费,任何改变都将严重影响加州的医疗保障能力。加州已经采取措施保护堕胎权,并将继续这样做,但特朗普政府可能会通过限制资金等方式来削弱堕胎服务。加州将继续保护堕胎权,并通过立法来确保获得堕胎服务。我认为特朗普政府最有可能首先限制与堕胎相关的资金。预防性医疗比干预性医疗更经济有效,也更符合加州的价值观。加州的医疗体系很复杂,需要在不同人群的医疗保障水平之间做出权衡,老年人的医疗保障问题尤其突出。加州已经开始解决非裔女性孕产妇健康状况不佳的问题,并计划推出更多相关立法。跨性别医疗保健面临来自特朗普政府的严重威胁,加州需要继续为跨性别群体提供医疗保障。 Angela Hart: 对医疗补助计划的威胁不仅仅是削减经费,还包括对加州利用医疗补助计划解决无家可归、精神健康和住房等问题的各种倡议的威胁。对医疗补助计划的威胁还包括对为无证移民提供医疗保障的扩展的威胁,这将导致移民社区的恐惧和不愿使用该计划。加州许多创新性医疗项目依赖于联邦政府的豁免,而特朗普政府可能会取消这些豁免。如果特朗普政府试图利用医疗补助计划来施压加州改变与联邦政策不同的政策,加州将面临失去这些豁免的风险。加州为无证移民提供医疗保障的决定是基于成本效益分析和人道主义考虑。为无证移民提供医疗保障不仅是经济上的考量,也是加州价值观和移民在经济中作用的体现。加州的医疗保障体系面临不确定性,人们应该为未来可能出现的困难做好准备,并积极争取所需的医疗服务。退伍军人的医疗福利可能面临风险,但退伍军人团体可能会积极维护其福利。 Mark Peterson: 共和党长期以来一直试图将医疗补助计划从按需拨款的权利转变为年度拨款的计划,这将导致医疗支出大幅减少。共和党的论点是医疗补助计划效率低下,应该给予各州更多创新空间,并减少对不需要的人的医疗保障。大量研究表明,关注社会决定因素可以预防疾病,降低医疗成本。加州的CalAIM豁免即将到期,特朗普政府不太可能续签,这将导致加州医疗项目面临重大损失。加州利用医疗补助计划支付住房等费用是针对性的,旨在解决影响医疗保健的社会因素。加州单一支付医疗计划的实施面临诸多障碍,包括联邦政府的豁免和《雇员退休收入保障法案》。特朗普政府的某些被提名人可能会对医疗政策产生重大影响,特别是对医疗补助计划和医疗保险计划的管理。加州可以利用其强大的经济实力和社会政治承诺来减轻联邦政府削减资金带来的影响。特朗普政府可能会削减对医疗研究的资助,特别是对与性别认同和多元化、公平与包容相关的研究。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

What are the potential impacts of Trump administration policies on California's Medicaid program, Medi-Cal?

The Trump administration's potential changes to Medicaid could severely impact California's Medi-Cal program, which serves 14 million low-income residents. The federal government currently funds about 75% of Medi-Cal, and any reduction in federal support would limit California's ability to provide healthcare to vulnerable populations, including children, elders, and people with disabilities. Proposed GOP reforms, such as converting Medicaid into a block grant system, would reduce funding and flexibility, potentially leading to cuts in services.

Why is California's expansion of Medi-Cal to undocumented immigrants significant?

California's expansion of Medi-Cal to undocumented immigrants is significant because it addresses both public health and economic concerns. Undocumented immigrants contribute to the tax base and often rely on emergency care, which is more costly than preventative care. By providing Medi-Cal coverage, the state reduces overall healthcare costs and ensures better health outcomes. Additionally, it aligns with California's values of compassion and inclusivity, recognizing the essential role immigrants play in the state's economy.

How could the Trump administration's policies affect abortion access in California?

The Trump administration could limit abortion access in California by restricting federal funding for organizations like Planned Parenthood, which provides the majority of family care services in the state. While California has enshrined abortion rights in its constitution and passed numerous laws to protect access, federal funding cuts could still undermine the state's ability to provide comprehensive reproductive healthcare. The administration's stance on abortion, as outlined in Project 2025, poses a significant threat to these services.

What is the CalAIM initiative, and why is it at risk under the Trump administration?

CalAIM is a $12 billion initiative aimed at transforming Medi-Cal to address the social determinants of health, such as homelessness, food insecurity, and mental health. It includes innovative programs like providing medically supportive meals and housing assistance. However, CalAIM relies on federal waivers, which are set to expire in 2025-2026. Under the Trump administration, the likelihood of renewing these waivers is low, jeopardizing the program's future and the health outcomes of millions of Californians.

What are the social determinants of health, and how does California address them through Medi-Cal?

Social determinants of health are factors like housing, nutrition, and transportation that influence health outcomes. California uses Medi-Cal to address these issues through programs like CalAIM, which provides housing assistance, medically supportive meals, and asthma-related home improvements. By focusing on prevention and addressing root causes of health disparities, the state aims to reduce healthcare costs and improve overall well-being. However, these efforts depend on federal waivers, which are at risk under the Trump administration.

How might the Trump administration's policies impact maternal health outcomes for Black women in California?

The Trump administration's potential cuts to Medicaid and other health programs could exacerbate poor maternal health outcomes for Black women in California. The state has implemented measures to address disparities, such as requiring hospitals to review negative incidents and increasing culturally concordant care. However, federal funding reductions could undermine these efforts, making it harder to provide adequate care and support for Black mothers, who already face higher rates of maternal morbidity and mortality.

What is the potential impact of the Trump administration on California's efforts to address homelessness through healthcare programs?

California has used Medi-Cal to fund innovative programs addressing homelessness, such as rental assistance and housing support. These initiatives are part of the CalAIM program, which relies on federal waivers. Under the Trump administration, the renewal of these waivers is unlikely, threatening the state's ability to continue these efforts. This could lead to increased homelessness and worse health outcomes for vulnerable populations.

Why is the Trump administration's stance on transgender healthcare a concern for California?

The Trump administration has expressed opposition to gender-affirming care and transgender healthcare, which could lead to federal funding cuts for related programs. California has been a leader in providing inclusive healthcare for the transgender community, but federal policies could undermine these efforts. The administration's focus on cultural wars rather than evidence-based healthcare poses a significant threat to the state's ability to support transgender residents.

What are the potential consequences of the Trump administration's policies on California's single-payer healthcare efforts?

California's efforts to implement a single-payer healthcare system would require federal waivers for Medicare and Medi-Cal funding, as well as a workaround for employer-sponsored insurance under ERISA. The Trump administration is unlikely to support these waivers, making single-payer healthcare unfeasible during its tenure. This limits California's ability to achieve universal coverage and equitable access to healthcare.

How could the Trump administration's policies affect veterans' healthcare in California?

The Trump administration's potential push to privatize veterans' healthcare could lead to cuts in benefits and services for veterans in California. Programs like Medi-Cal and Veterans Administration benefits, which many veterans rely on, could be at risk. While the veteran community has been vocal about preserving and expanding benefits, the administration's policies may still result in reduced access to care for this population.

Chapters
The Trump administration's potential overhauls to Medicaid and the Affordable Care Act pose significant threats to California's health programs. Millions of Californians could face higher premiums and reduced access to care. Republicans argue for increased efficiency and state innovation within the Medicaid program, while critics point to potential cuts in healthcare for low-income individuals.
  • Potential loss of Affordable Care Act subsidies affecting 2.37 million Californians.
  • Threat to Medicaid (Medi-Cal) funding, with the federal government covering 3/4 of the costs.
  • Republican plans to transform Medicaid from an entitlement to a block grant system.

Shownotes Transcript

California could lose billions of dollars in health funding if the Trump administration follows through on GOP plans to overhaul Medicaid, which provides healthcare for low-income people. Trump policies could also have major implications for Covered California, the state’s health insurance marketplace, and for health care programs addressing homelessness and reproductive health . We’ll talk with state assembly health committee chair Mia Bonta and others about what services are most vulnerable, and how California officials are preparing.

Guests:

**Mia Bonta, **state assemblymember representing the 18th assembly district in the East Bay and chair of the assembly health committee

**Angela Hart, **senior correspondent covering health care politics and policy in California and the West, KFF Health News

**Mark Peterson, **professor of public policy, political science, health policy and management, and law, UCLA; senior fellow at the UCLA Center for Health Policy Research