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cover of episode U.S. Weighs Role It Should Play in Escalating Israel-Iran Conflict

U.S. Weighs Role It Should Play in Escalating Israel-Iran Conflict

2025/6/20
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Robin Wright
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Trita Parsi
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Robin Wright: 自从10月7日以哈冲突爆发以来，以色列的行动可以被解读为利用伊朗及其盟友在该地区相对较弱的时期。以色列认为，通过打击伊朗在黎巴嫩、伊拉克和也门的盟友，伊朗的力量受到了削弱。此外，以色列还试图通过先发制人的袭击来阻止美国与伊朗之间的外交谈判，从而复杂化了旨在限制伊朗核计划的任何协议。 Trita Parsi: 以色列对伊朗的行动构成侵略战争，因为在没有任何伊朗挑衅的情况下，以色列主动发起了袭击。以色列的目标是全面战争和彻底击败伊朗，袭击不仅针对军事目标，还包括伊朗的核科学家和工程师，试图破坏伊朗的指挥和控制系统。虽然以色列最初的袭击取得了一些成功，但伊朗迅速恢复了控制并做出了回应。重要的是，特朗普政府在此事件中可能存在欺骗行为，他们一方面声称愿意进行谈判，另一方面却默许甚至支持以色列的军事行动。

Deep Dive

Chapters
This chapter analyzes the timing of Israel's missile attacks on Iran, exploring the strategic calculations behind the decision. It examines events since October 7th, the role of American diplomacy, and the potential impact on ongoing nuclear negotiations.
  • Israel's attack came after five rounds of US-Iran diplomacy and was seen as preemptive.
  • Israel assessed Iran's weakness following the war between Israel and Gaza.
  • The attack complicated diplomatic efforts to address Iran's nuclear program.
  • Israel's stated goals evolved from targeting nuclear facilities to broader strategic sites.
  • The possibility of regime change in Iran is discussed as a possible goal for Israel.

Shownotes Transcript

President Trump announced on Thursday that in the next two weeks, he would make a decision about the role the U.S. will take in the escalating Israel-Iran conflict. As Israel and Iran traded fire for a seventh day, fissures emerged among Republicans about whether military action is warranted, while some Democrats are urging passage of a bill that would require Trump to get congressional approval before committing American troops and resources. We’ll talk to experts about the escalating conflict.

Guests:

**Trita Parsi, **co-founder and executive vice president, Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft; former president of the National Iranian American Council - his books include "Treacherous Alliance - the Secret Dealings of Israel, Iran and the US" and two other books on US-Iran-Israel relations

**Robin Wright, **contributing writer, New Yorker - her most recent piece for the magazine is "What is Israel's Endgame with Iran?" Wright is also the author of "Dreams and Shadows: The Future of the Middle East," among other books

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