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cover of episode Why is Tesla looking for new CEO?

Why is Tesla looking for new CEO?

2025/5/4
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Elon Musk Podcast

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主持著名true crime播客《Crime Junkie》的播音员和创始人。
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播音员:特斯拉的股价在2025年前四个月下跌了近25%,投资者担心公司在埃隆·马斯克离任或继续损害公司的情况下是否有应对方案。华尔街日报报道称,特斯拉董事会已联系多家猎头公司,开始为潜在继任者制定候选名单。报道称,至少一些特斯拉董事对寻找马斯克的替代者表示兴奋。 特斯拉董事会正在探索如何取代埃隆·马斯克,这引发了人们长期以来一直存在的疑问:没有埃隆·马斯克的特斯拉会是什么样子? 特斯拉董事会主席否认了董事会联系猎头公司寻找CEO继任者的报道,称该报道错误地声称特斯拉董事会已联系招聘人员进行CEO搜索。然而,她的声明存在模糊之处,既否认了董事会的行动,也没有排除个别董事可能私下联系猎头公司。这种模棱两可之处加剧了人们的担忧。 埃隆·马斯克是特斯拉最大的资产,也是最不可预测的负债。他的个人行为正给公司带来风险。马斯克的政治立场转变疏远了特斯拉的潜在买家,即那些关注气候变化的自由派消费者。他的政治行为损害了特斯拉的业绩,导致汽车销量下降,投资者担忧,品牌形象受损。 特斯拉的股票估值过高,主要是因为埃隆·马斯克的个人魅力和对公司未来愿景的塑造。特斯拉股票的表现一直以来都更依赖于马斯克的个人魅力而非公司基本面。马斯克的争议行为会影响特斯拉的股价,公众对他的信任度并非一成不变。 特斯拉董事会面临两难境地:如果挑战马斯克,可能会导致股价暴跌;如果放任不管,则会带来更大的风险。特斯拉董事会不愿挑战马斯克,但马斯克的个人行为也引发了对其领导能力的质疑。马斯克的健康状况和行为举止令人担忧,这对于一家市值数十亿美元的公司来说是不稳定的基础。 特斯拉股票的增长掩盖了其波动性,市场对马斯克的容忍度并非无限的。特斯拉在政府监管方面可能面临风险,政治环境的变化可能影响公司的未来。政府可能对特斯拉展开调查,这使得董事会需要考虑继任计划。马斯克最终会离开特斯拉,公司需要制定相应的继任计划。 寻找新的CEO需要考虑候选人的个人魅力和对市场的影响力,而非仅仅是商业头脑和领导能力。特斯拉需要一位能够制造话题、吸引投资者、像表演者一样运作市场的新CEO,而非传统的企业高管。即使是像Cat Turd这样的社交媒体网红,也可能比福特汽车的资深人士更适合特斯拉。 特斯拉的估值依赖于马斯克的不可预测性,为他的离职做计划如同规划一场野火一样困难。如果马斯克继续疏远一部分人,政府开始审查他的行为,或者市场对其态度发生转变,特斯拉将面临更大的风险。 特斯拉的困境不仅影响股东,还会波及整个电动汽车行业和相关产业链。特斯拉的财务问题可能会导致大量失业,并对依赖特斯拉的社区和供应商造成打击。特斯拉董事会缺乏透明度,这不仅是公司内部问题,也存在潜在的经济风险。特斯拉的未来不能依赖于一个人的个人魅力,董事会应该为马斯克离开做好准备。

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Hey, everyone. Welcome back to the Elon Musk podcast. I'm thrilled to share some exciting news with you. Over the next two weeks, we're evolving. We'll be broadening our focus to cover all the tech titans shaping our world. You'll still get the latest insights on Elon Musk, plus so much more. So stay tuned for our official relaunch coming soon. Now let's get into this episode.

Tesla's stock price fell nearly 25% in the first four months of 2025. Investors watching the slide wonder whether the company has a plan if its CEO Elon Musk leaves or if he stays and keeps doing damage. Last Wednesday, the Wall Street Journal reported that Tesla's board had reached out to multiple executive search firms to start building a shortlist of potential successors. And according to the story, at least some Tesla directors were excited

we're exploring how to replace Elon Musk. And that revelation lit a match under a question that's been quietly simmering for years. What is Tesla without Elon Musk?

Now, the report created immediate tension inside Tesla's leadership. Hours after publication, Tesla board chair Robin Dunham posted a denial on X. She said the journal was erroneously claiming that Tesla's board had contacted recruiters for a CEO search. They said, this is absolutely false.

Denholm added that this clarification had been sent to the press before the story even ran, but her statement left room for interpretation. She denied action from the Tesla board, but not that any individual directors may have reached out on their own. Now, this ambiguity fuels an already pressing concern.

If Tesla's leadership hasn't begun considering what life looks like after Musk, they're running blind into a critical future. Elon Musk is both Tesla's greatest asset and its most unpredictable liability. The stock's performance is still buoying, but his presence is known. But increasingly, his personal behavior is dragging the company into vital territory.

Now, Musk has shifted from tech mogul to political combatant. He's become a loud voice for far-right causes, openly supporting Donald Trump, publicly criticizing the federal government, and antagonizing Democratic officials. The shift has turned off many of Tesla's most likely buyers, liberal, climate-focused consumers who prefer clean energy and efficient transport to libertarian rhetoric. Now, these political stunts have cost Tesla more than just goodwill, though.

they've hit the bottom line. Car sales are slowing, investors are getting nervous, and the people more responsible for maintaining faith in Tesla's brand is too often making headlines for everything but the business. And at a time when EV market is tightening and competition is getting tougher and all the tariffs that are happening, Tesla is still trading at a stock valuation wildly out of sync with its actual sales performance.

And the core problem for Tesla's board is that Elon Musk is the reason the company's stock trades at levels other automakers could only dream of. Now, as of this week, Tesla's price to earnings ratio hovers around 167. That's more than 20 times what General Motors trades at. Now, Musk has managed to sell the idea that Tesla isn't just a carmaker. It's an avatar for the future.

The illusion keeps the stock inflated, and that illusion depends entirely on Musk continuing to project a vision people believe in.

It's not new, though. Four years ago, a business school professor described Tesla to us as the mother of all meme stocks. The stock's performance has always relied more on Musk's cult of personality than the company's fundamentals. Tesla often behaves more like a social media phenomenon than a stable manufacturing business. And retail investors treat Musk like a prophet, not just a CEO. As long as he stays loud and provocative, a portion of the market stays loyal.

But that loyalty has its limits. When Musk bought Twitter in 2022 and turned it into a political and cultural way to speak his mind, Tesla's shares took a hit. When he launched his Department of Government Efficiency, the stock dropped again. Public trust in Musk isn't constant. It wobbles depending on how extreme his latest move is. When those wobbles turn into sharp downturns, Tesla pays the price and so do its shareholders.

The dynamic has created a dangerous loop for the board, though. Musk does something outrageous. Tesla suffers. But if they push back, the situation could have given worse. They fire him. The stock would completely crater. And if they try to rein him in, he might walk away or retaliate.

No one on the board seems eager to challenge the one person who makes their company worth what it is. And at the same time, Musk's personal behavior raises serious questions about his capacity to continue leading the company for some people.

His physical health is unclear. He rarely sleeps and he has openly admitted to recreational drug use. He has claimed without evidence that he is the second most targeted individual for assassination after Donald Trump. And at public events, he has appeared distracted or disoriented. It's not a stable foundation for a multi-billion dollar enterprise.

Now, Tesla's financials tell one story, but Musk's antics tell another. Over the last year, Tesla stock has generally trended upward. That might seem like vindication, but the growth masks erratic dips. The kind of instability that Musk brings to the brand can't be priced in forever. At some point, the market may stop giving him the benefit of the doubt. That can happen if his political entanglements grow more toxic or if the public gets tired of his acts.

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Toyota, let's go places. Now, there's also the matter of government oversight. When a Trump went house in power, Musk has enjoyed a regulatory leniency. For instance, the administration recently rolled back crash reporting requirements for autonomous vehicles, a move that directly benefits Tesla. But this favorable treatment might not last. If Democrats take back the House or win the presidency in 2028,

They could just decide to start investigating Tesla's safety record or Musk's use of political power for private gain. Now, that possibility alone should be enough for the board to consider succession planning.

It's not just politics that make a transition plan necessary. Eventually, Musk will leave. One way or another, he might get bored and he might move on and take all of his money with him. And if Tesla doesn't have a plan in place for that moment, it could face a crisis far more damaging than any single stock drop. Now, the question, of course, is who could replace Elon Musk?

Finding a new CEO isn't just about business acumen or leadership skills. It's about charisma. It's about who you are and how you act. Tesla doesn't need a traditional executive. It needs someone who can keep that idea alive. Someone who can maintain investor enthusiasm even when car sales are flat or when profit margins sink. Now, this put the board in a difficult situation. Standard executive search firms may not be useful here. Traditional CEO candidates are measured

experience, and discipline. That's not actually what keeps Tesla's stock inflated. The next leader has to be able to generate buzz, to sell belief, to play the markets like a showman. They need to be more like a YouTube personality than a Fortune 500 veteran. The board might be better off looking at figures like Ryan Cohen, who led GameStop's meme stock frenzy, or Adam Aaron of AMC, who once appeared in a viral video in his underwear to drive up investor morale.

Now, as absurd as that sounds, it might actually be closer to what Tesla needs to survive in its current form. Even social media provocateurs like Cat Turd, which is a right-wing influencer, might make more sense in this weird stock market reality than a veteran from Ford.

Now that's the real challenge. Tesla has created a structure that depends on a person who resists structure. Musk's unpredictability is the foundation of the company's valuation. Planning for his departure is like trying to blueprint a wildfire. That paradox has led the board to accommodate nearly every whim he's had over the years. They've absorbed the risk because the reward has always come.

But the math might change if Musk continues to alienate one side. If the government starts scrutinizing his moves, if the market turns on him more permanently, the company could be left with no margin for error. And without someone ready to step in, Tesla may find itself stumbling in the dark.

Now, Tesla isn't just a company, isn't this Ford or Chevy or whatever? It's one of the most visible American manufacturers the past decade. Help define the electric vehicle movement and inspired a wave of competitors. Now, if Tesla falters, the effects won't be limited to shareholders, though. A weakened Tesla could shift public perception of EVs themselves, delaying broader adaptation.

And it also affects workers, both at Tesla and across its supply chains. Thousands of jobs depend on the company's continued success. If Musk's behavior starts triggering bigger financial shocks, those jobs could disappear. Communities that rely on Tesla's factories would feel the blow, and suppliers would lose business. Now the damage wouldn't stay contained.

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That's why the board's refusal to be transparent about succession planning isn't just a question about corporate drama. It's a potential economic risk. Tesla's too large and too central to the EV market to be led by someone who refuses to share the wheel.

The board owes it to everyone involved to take that seriously and to look around. Tessa's future depends on more than one man's charisma, and the board has a responsibility to prepare for the day when that charisma no longer holds.

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