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cover of episode Somaliland’s Strategic Gamble: Betting on Trump, Backing Taiwan, Defying China

Somaliland’s Strategic Gamble: Betting on Trump, Backing Taiwan, Defying China

2025/5/16
logo of podcast The China in Africa Podcast

The China in Africa Podcast

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Eric Olander
专注于分析中国在全球南方的技术创新和影响的媒体人物和分析师。
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Kevin Roberts
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Kobus Van Staden
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Moustafa Ahmad
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Sacad Muhumed
Topics
Eric Olander: 本期节目讨论索马里兰与美国和台湾结盟对抗中国的战略,以及这种战略的风险和收益。美国对非洲政策的转变,以及美国与肯尼亚关系的紧张,也构成了本期节目的背景。 Kobus Van Staden: 美国暂停与南非主办的G20会议合作,以及美国对肯尼亚与中国关系的担忧,都表明美国对非洲政策的转变。美国对非洲的关注点转向商业和贸易,这与中国的策略相似。 Moustafa Ahmad: 索马里兰寻求美国外交承认,以获得基础设施、外交支持和双边关系。与美国建立关系可以获得支持,因为美国在世界上的地位和政治资本。 Sacad Muhumed: 索马里兰寻求国际承认的原因包括历史、法律和人道主义方面。索马里兰认为与索马里的联合在政治上被边缘化,并且索马里的安全和政治现实并不乐观。 Kevin Roberts: 美国应该与索马里兰建立密切关系,因为索马里兰具有战略地位,亲美,并且几乎在非洲是唯一一个对北京的提议和威胁免疫的国家。索马里兰与台湾建立了联系,台湾是另一个美国应该支持的未被承认的民主政体。

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The tiny breakaway nation of Somaliland is making a bold geopolitical wager: deepening ties with Taiwan, courting conservative power brokers in Washington, and positioning itself as a rare pro-U.S. ally in a region where China holds significant sway.

But this strategy comes at a cost. By crossing Beijing’s red line on Taiwan, Somaliland has likely closed the door on Chinese investment and guaranteed opposition in global forums where China holds veto power.

Somaliland foreign policy researchers Moustafa Ahmad and Sacad Muhumed join Eric & Cobus from Hargeisa to discuss the government's high-stakes gamble of playing the big powers off one another to secure formal diplomatic recognition.

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