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cover of episode China Has 18 Months to Invade Taiwan

China Has 18 Months to Invade Taiwan

2025/6/25
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China Unscripted

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Kyle Bass: 我认为,特朗普总统希望与中国达成贸易协议,但他同时也在采取措施对抗中国的军事扩张和战略意图。我个人更倾向于与中国彻底脱钩,因为我们与中国政府在价值观上存在根本冲突,这种冲突迟早会爆发。中国已经展示了其宏伟战略,我们必须在贸易和军事上同时反击。虽然特朗普政府内部存在对华政策的分歧,但他正在采取措施加强出口管制,并在量子计算和人工智能等关键领域与中国竞争。我认为,中国对台湾的潜在行动是我们面临的重大风险,我们需要大约18个月的时间来弥补我们在军事和工业上的漏洞,以应对这一威胁。目前美国在精确弹药生产和战略物资储备方面存在严重不足,需要尽快解决。

Deep Dive

Chapters
This chapter explores the complexities of a potential trade deal between the US and China, considering the constant lies and broken promises from China. It questions the feasibility of a deal and the potential for a more confrontational approach.
  • Trade war 2.0 is impacting the Chinese economy.
  • President Trump desires a trade deal but distrust of China is a major obstacle.
  • The possibility of a global settlement with measurable and enforceable terms is discussed.

Shownotes Transcript

Watch the full podcast here! https://chinauncensored.tv/programs/podcast-300 Xi Jinping has made it is life's goal to conquer Taiwan. But if he's going to act, the Chinese invasion of Taiwan will have to happen soon. Joining us today is Kyle Bass. He is the Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Hayman Capital Management. And check out our other channel, China Uncensored: https://www.youtube.com/ChinaUncensored Our social media: X: https://www.x.com/ChinaUncensored Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/ChinaUncensored Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ChinaUncensored #China