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cover of episode Redfin is “Under Contract”

Redfin is “Under Contract”

2025/3/10
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Motley Fool Money

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A
Anthony Schiavone
M
Mary Long
主持金融播客,讨论伯克希尔哈撒韦、TGI Fridays 和 Uber 等公司的最新动态。
T
Tim Beyers
高级分析师和领先顾问,专注于软件和技术行业的投资分析。
Topics
Tim Beyers: 我对Rocket公司收购Redfin感到惊讶,但也有些惋惜,因为Redfin的CEO Glenn Kelman是我非常欣赏的CEO。如果Kelman愿意促成这笔交易,他一定非常相信这笔交易的价值,这让我对这笔交易更有信心。Rocket公司擅长发放和销售贷款,特别是抵押贷款;Redfin则擅长买卖房屋和经纪业务,两家公司强强联手,可以更好地掌控购房和卖房的全生命周期。Redfin收购案表明Redfin承认自己无法独自完成所有业务,而Rocket公司在这方面做得更好,因此两家公司决定强强联手。Redfin拥有近5000万月活跃用户,这将有助于Rocket Mortgage及其产品套件,为潜在购房者提供高质量的潜在客户。Redfin希望能够掌控购房的每一个环节,从租房到买房再到贷款,以减少客户的麻烦并降低成本。Redfin希望通过整合所有环节,减少客户的麻烦,并可能实现成本协同效应。在房地产市场中,能够控制交易过程中大部分环节的公司更有可能获胜,而此次收购将使Redfin拥有更大的获胜机会。Rocket公司收购Redfin的交易是以全股票形式进行的,初始价格为每股12.5美元,比上周股价高出100%以上,但由于Rocket公司股价下跌,实际溢价有所降低。Redfin股东需要Rocket公司股价上涨才能获得更好的回报,因为交易是以Rocket公司股票支付的。Rocket公司将调整其公司结构,并支付特别现金股息,但这笔股息主要惠及Rocket公司股东,而非Redfin股东。Rocket公司股价下跌15%,这可能与宏观经济因素有关,例如住房供应不足和裁员等。住房供应不足和宏观经济环境是影响Rocket公司股价的重要因素。虽然可能存在对Redfin的一些怀疑,但我认为更多的是宏观因素在影响此次收购。 Dylan Lewis: 对Rocket公司收购Redfin交易的分析和讨论,包括交易条款、市场反应以及宏观经济因素的影响。

Deep Dive

Chapters
This chapter discusses Rocket Companies' all-stock acquisition of Redfin, analyzing the rationale behind the deal, its potential benefits and drawbacks for investors, and the market's reaction to the news. The all-stock nature of the deal and the subsequent dip in Rocket Companies' share price are also examined.
  • Rocket Companies to acquire Redfin in an all-stock deal initially valued at $1.75 billion.
  • Deal represents vertical integration, combining Rocket's mortgage expertise with Redfin's real estate platform.
  • All-stock nature of the deal creates volatility for Redfin shareholders, whose returns depend on Rocket's share price performance.
  • Market reaction includes a significant drop in Rocket Companies' stock price, raising questions about investor sentiment.

Shownotes Transcript

Deals are back! Rocket Companies sees a fixer upper with Redfin and ServiceNow steps into the agentic AI era with Moveworks.

(00:21) Tim Beyers and Dylan Lewis discuss:

  • Rocket Company’s plans to own even more of the homebuying process with its all-stock purchase of Redfin.

  • ServiceNow’s step into agentic AI and Salesforce’s turf with its $2.8B purchase of Moveworks.

(17:03) Vail Resorts kicked off the winter season with some rough conditions despite having snowy slopes. Motley Fool analyst Anthony Schiavone joins Mary Long to check in on the ski resort owner before the company’s quarterly report after the bell today.

Companies discussed: RDFN, RKT, NOW, MTN

Host: Dylan Lewis

Guests: Tim Beyers, Anthony Schiavone, Mary Long

Engineers: Tim Sparks, Dan Boyd

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