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cover of episode Betting coins on the conclave

Betting coins on the conclave

2025/5/6
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Marketplace All-in-One

AI Deep Dive Transcript
People
E
Elizabeth Troval
J
Jennifer Pak
N
Nova Safo
Topics
Nova Safo: OpenAI作为一家原本致力于造福人类的非营利性人工智能公司,为了获得数十亿美元的投资,不得不面临转型为营利性公司的挑战。这一转型之路并非一帆风顺,甚至引发了与早期投资者,例如埃隆·马斯克的冲突。最终,OpenAI计划将负责投资者资金和ChatGPT运营的部分,设立为一个具有公共利益属性的子公司,以平衡公益和盈利目标。这是一个复杂的转型过程,反映了人工智能发展与商业利益之间的张力。 我深入研究了OpenAI的财务状况和公司治理结构,分析了其转型过程中面临的法律和伦理挑战。我采访了OpenAI的管理层、投资者和专家,了解他们对OpenAI未来发展方向的看法。 我发现,OpenAI的转型之路并非易事,它需要在追求商业利益的同时,兼顾其最初的公益使命。这需要OpenAI在公司治理、技术发展和社会责任方面做出权衡和取舍。 Elizabeth Troval: 全球范围内,人们对即将到来的教宗选举结果投注金额巨大,这与科技进步和信息传播速度加快息息相关。虽然美国体育博彩不允许对教宗选举进行投注,但许多美国人通过金融交易所和预测市场参与其中。这些预测市场通常能够较好地预测选举结果,但同时也存在一些无法预测的因素,例如“圣灵”的作用,这使得预测结果存在不确定性。 为了更全面地了解教宗选举博彩市场的现状,我采访了博彩公司、预测市场专家和宗教人士,了解他们对这一现象的看法。我分析了历届教宗选举的结果,以及博彩市场对选举结果的预测准确性。 我发现,教宗选举博彩市场反映了人们对宗教和政治的关注,同时也体现了科技进步对传统文化的影响。 Jennifer Pak: 中国面临着人口出生率下降的严峻挑战,这不仅会影响经济发展,还会对社会保障体系造成压力。为了鼓励生育,中国政府出台了一系列政策,包括提供现金补贴和延长产假。然而,这些政策的效果并不显著,许多女性仍然不愿生育更多孩子,因为她们担心生育会影响自己的工作和经济状况。 为了深入了解中国鼓励生育政策的现状和效果,我走访了中国的多个城市,采访了不同阶层的女性,了解她们对生育政策的看法和感受。我分析了中国人口结构的变化,以及生育率下降的原因。 我发现,中国鼓励生育政策面临着诸多挑战,包括女性就业歧视、高昂的养育成本以及传统观念的影响。要有效提高生育率,需要政府、企业和社会共同努力,创造一个更加有利于女性生育和养育孩子的环境。

Deep Dive

Shownotes Transcript

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中文

Introducing Instagram teen accounts.

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UVA Darden, not business school as usual. Artificial intelligence for humanity, for profit, or something else. I'm David Brancaccio in Los Angeles. One of the biggest firms in artificial intelligence has hit a roadblock in its campaign to become a for-profit company. OpenAI, maker of ChatGPT, has hit the hurdle. Marketplace's Nova Safo explains.

OpenAI's nonprofit board is a vestige of when it was created a decade ago to build artificial intelligence to, quote, benefit humanity. But OpenAI has needed tens of billions of dollars in investments to get there, and the investors who footed the bill have wanted to secure a stake in future profits and to have more of a say in OpenAI's governance.

So in December, CEO Sam Altman said the chat GPT maker would convert itself into a for-profit corporation with its original non-profit board becoming a shareholder. That prompted a lawsuit from Elon Musk, who was among OpenAI's early backers and its current rival with his own AI company. Now a new plan. The non-profit board will remain in charge of

The part of OpenEI that takes in investor money and runs ChatGPT is to become a subsidiary structured as a public benefit corporation. Those are certified to have a mission to do a public good while also making a profit for shareholders.

I'm Novosafo for Marketplace. The key stock index in Frankfurt, Germany, is down 1.1 percent right now after a political thunderbolt today from Berlin. The leader of the conservative party there, Friedrich Merz, was not elected the leader of the country in a first round of voting by members of parliament. Merz needed to cobble together a coalition, but no. It's a first for Germany since the Second World War and an embarrassment for Merz, but he could still become chancellor in subsequent rounds.

The bond market is steady here now as the Federal Reserve meets today and tomorrow to consider what to do about tariffs that can be both inflationary and recessionary at the same time. Our coverage will be in the Marketplace Morning podcast. S&P futures are down six-tenths of a percent now.

133 Catholic cardinals are expected in the Sistine Chapel tomorrow to start choosing the next pope, and people around the world are placing millions of dollars in bets over who they think will get the two-thirds majority required to be the Catholic Church's next leader. Marketplace's Elizabeth Troval has more on the papal betting markets. People have been betting on who becomes the next pope for centuries, says John Holden with Indiana University. But...

We've seen a much bigger expansion of betting on the Pope globally as technology has gotten better and allowed word to spread quickly. Though people bets are not allowed in U.S. sportsbooks, many Americans are on Kalshi, a financial exchange and prediction market. Cardinal Pietro Parolin is the frontrunner there, which Victor Matheson with College of the Holy Cross says could be a good predictor.

Betting markets and prediction markets actually do a pretty good job at estimating what's going to happen. Though there's one thing markets can't account for, says Father Tom Daley with the St. Charles Borromeo Seminary. A really big factor that no one talks about because it's hard to talk about and you certainly can't bet on is the role that the Holy Spirit plays. Because, he says, cardinals are meant to elect the person God wants to be the successor.

I'm Elizabeth Troval for Marketplace. There's even a kind of fantasy football thing getting lots of global interest. Fanta Papa. If you go to the site, it reads, Chi sarà il prossimo pontifice? Who will be the next pontiff? It goes on in Italian, Take up the challenge to bring out the Vatican expert within you.

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Thank you.

One thing in common with U.S. and China, slowing birth rates. That may stress the environment less, but that's fewer people working and paying taxes to pay for populations getting older. China is offering cash and more parental leave to encourage people to have more kids there. Marketplace's China correspondent Jennifer Pak has been spending time with families in southern China's Dongguan City. It's a hot afternoon at a public square in Dongguan.

This toddler and his mom, Mo Guilan, are taking a stroll. I won't consider a second child for health and financial reasons. China used to have a one-child policy. Now up to three are allowed. But Mo Guilan says even with one child, her family's already taken a financial hit. There was nobody to help me take care of the baby after maternity leave, so I had to quit my factory job.

A lot of women worry about being able to keep their jobs after giving birth. Human Resources Executive Ai-Ring Yang says when she gave birth back in 2011, she was nervous about taking the three months maternity leave that she was entitled to. Once I took that long maternity leave, my work was given to another person and I worried that I could be replaced.

To make sure she didn't miss out on too much, she would go to the office during her maternity leave. Now she's in a senior HR role and a proud mom of a teenager. After having one child, I didn't want more. It's like mission accomplished. Oh!

Because employers bear the cost of benefits like maternity leave, women can be discriminated against in the hiring process, says mom of one Peng Lu. At interviews, employers would ask my age, if I'm married yet, and if I have any children. China's government officially bans such lines of questioning, but it still happens. Mom, I'm here!

Luckily, Peng Lu landed a job in the public sector, where women's rights are better protected. But even with that, she decided to quit after having her son and move back closer to her family so she wouldn't have to pay for expensive child care. Now she's planning a second child. Some cities are offering thousands of dollars in subsidies to anyone having three children.

Does that tempt Peng Lu? Probably not, she says. Ex-factory worker Mo Guilan feels the same. I won't give birth to a child just for a few thousand dollars. Raising kids, she says, costs way more than that.

In Dongguan City, I'm Jennifer Pak for Marketplace. With the Federal Reserve starting its two-day meeting on interest rates today concluding tomorrow, listen to the half-hour edition of Marketplace with my colleague Kai Risdahl on many public radio stations, of course, later today, or streamable from our homepage, marketplace.org. In Los Angeles, I'm David Brancaccio with the Marketplace Morning Report from APM American Public Media.

Marketplace is for public good, not for profit. We count on you, our listeners, to help cover the cost of the reporting you rely on every morning. We're going to remain free and accessible to everyone. That's part of our mission. But if you're in a position to donate, we're counting on you. Give what you can right now at marketplace.org slash donate or click the link in show notes.