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cover of episode Bytes: Week in Review — How tariffs impact consumer gadgets, e-commerce and the AI boom

Bytes: Week in Review — How tariffs impact consumer gadgets, e-commerce and the AI boom

2025/4/11
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Paresh Dave: 我认为关税对消费电子产品的影响是显著的。许多设备的20%到50%的零部件仍然受到关税的影响,这使得一些公司开始评估并暂停销售某些产品。虽然我们还没有看到大量的价格上涨,但许多品牌仍在评估情况。 任天堂推迟了Switch 2在美国的预购,这反映出企业对关税政策不确定性的担忧。他们认为关税政策可能会有所缓解,因此选择推迟,避免在关税政策不明朗的情况下定价过低,之后不得不承担损失。 我认为任天堂的做法表明,他们认为关税是特朗普政府的谈判策略,他们希望观望谈判结果再做决定。 对中国商品征收高额关税将显著提高电商平台的商品价格,特别是那些依赖低成本中国商品的平台,例如Shein和Timu。这将使那些能够通过自身系统发货,并且不依赖邮政漏洞的零售商受益,例如亚马逊。 关税可能会导致商品缩水而非单纯涨价,例如减少商品颜色或尺寸选择。 我认为,像Shein和Timu这样的零售商可以通过调整销售的产品类型来应对关税的影响。 人工智能投资在很大程度上不受关税影响,因为软件和半导体不受关税影响。如果企业试图通过降低成本和维持利润率来应对关税冲击,人工智能将提供很多帮助。 微软暂停数据中心建设可能与AI需求和经济变化关系不大,更多的是与微软和OpenAI的关系变化有关。 大型科技公司提前大量采购,可以吸收部分关税成本。 如果欧盟等地区对服务业征收报复性关税,将对科技巨头造成重大冲击。

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This chapter explores the impact of tariffs on consumer electronics companies, using the Nintendo Switch 2 delay as a prime example of the uncertainty and disruption caused by tariffs in the industry. Companies are delaying product launches and evaluating pricing strategies due to the unpredictable nature of the tariffs.
  • Tariffs create uncertainty in the tech industry.
  • Nintendo delayed pre-orders of the Switch 2 due to tariffs.
  • Companies are unsure about the long-term impact of tariffs and are taking a wait-and-see approach.

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Can artificial intelligence outsmart tariffs? From American Public Media, this is Marketplace Tech. I'm Megan McCarty Carino.

The tariff roller coaster has created a lot of uncertainty in the tech industry. We're digging into how it's playing out for makers of consumer tech, e-commerce platforms, and AI in today's Marketplace Tech Bytes Week in Review. We're joined by Paresh Dave, senior writer at Wired, to help us dissect all this, starting with what it means for the device economy.

Some gadgets, 20, 40, 50% of the stuff inside is still subject to these tariffs. I mean, that's significant. So you're seeing companies start to say, we're evaluating what to do. A couple have even gone forward with, you know,

pausing things in terms of offering stuff for sale. I don't think we've seen a ton of price hikes yet, but Wired reached out, my colleagues, to over 70 brands and most of them said they were still evaluating things.

Well, we've been hearing a lot about Apple, of course, which is highly reliant on China, though it has diversified its supply chain a lot in recent years. But let's take a look at a different example, which kind of exemplifies what all this uncertainty is doing to consumer electronics. And that is the Nintendo Switch 2. We got a clip here. The Nintendo Switch 2 system can adapt to suit your situation.

So Nintendo was set to start taking pre-orders on these devices in the U.S. on April 9th, but the company delayed that in the wake of the kind of original tariff announcements last week. A good portion of these consoles are manufactured in Vietnam, some in China, some in Cambodia. The immediate pressure is, of course, off some of those countries. But, I mean, Paresh, what is...

this situation sort of show us about the kind of disruption and uncertainty that's affecting device makers? I think it shows that companies don't believe that these tariffs are around for good, that they believe things might ease off and go back to normal in a few months. Right. So by delaying bringing these devices into the U.S., by

by trying not to charge now. They're saying, we don't know where this is going. Maybe things will ease off. Maybe things will get worse and these tariffs will even go higher and you don't want to get stuck charging a lower price now and then having to eat the cost later.

I think in the case of Nintendo, they paused taking pre-orders and delayed that, but they have not delayed their launch window as of now. The expectation is still that the Switch will launch in June. They haven't said anything about that. But it just shows that they know this is sort of a negotiating tactic on Trump's part. Let's see how those negotiations go before we really try to push consumers to buy our stuff.

We'll be right back. You're listening to Marketplace Tech. I'm Megan McCarty Carino. We're back with Paresh Dave, senior writer at Wired.

Let's talk about some of the platforms that sell stuff, especially e-commerce platforms that are either totally or very highly reliant on these very low cost goods from China. They're now subject to these enormous tariffs. Shein, Timu, Amazon. How could tariffs on China affect these retailers? So the ability.

ability of these companies to send stuff to the U.S. is reliant on this sort of loophole in the postal code that allows them to send goods for really low shipping prices without sort of being subject to tariffs. Trump is taking that away, basically tripling the postal rates or subjecting them to sort of big

big tariffs. So, you know, your $2 shirt suddenly becomes maybe an $8 shirt, $12 shirt that's less interesting for people. And the expectation is that it's going to benefit retailers like Amazon.

that could ship goods through their own system aren't reliant on this sort of postal loophole. And there's a lot of retailers like Forever 21 that is happy that this loophole is closing, at least for now. We'll see if Trump changes it again.

Yeah, we've already seen Amazon kind of making some moves. Bloomberg reported that it had canceled a number of orders from manufacturers in China. Amazon kind of has the opportunity to go with manufacturers in other countries. But I mean, what about these retailers like Shein and Timu that are almost completely, you know, reliant on Chinese manufacturers on sending goods from China? I mean, what's going to happen to them?

I mean, I could also imagine that it's not just raising prices, but we could see shrink inflation, right? They sell clothes. You can't really shrink clothes, you know, sizes are sizes, but you could see less options. That's one thing that's, that there's an expectation that, you know, maybe,

there's not as many colors, maybe there's not as many sizes. In the case of actual goods, I notice every day my juice carton at the store gets smaller and smaller and the price stays the same. So you could see that with consumer goods too, even gadgets, right? Maybe the latest iPhone has the same amount of memory as last year's iPhone. And if you really want more memory, you have to pay a lot more for it. So

I think, you know, these retailers like Timu and Chien could survive by basically shifting what kind of products that they are selling. All right. Now let's move on to the technology that has been driving the whole industry, and that is AI. There's no tariffs on software, of course. There's no tariffs on semiconductors, which are essential to the AI industry. But are AI investments totally safe here, Paresh?

I would say in many ways they are, right? If companies are trying to survive this sort of tariff shock, if they are trying to find ways to cut costs and sort of maintain their profit margins, AI holds a lot of promise still. And I think as long as switching sort of

back office processes to AI, switching customer service to AI, as long as that saves more money than hiring more humans, I think we're going to see companies continue to be excited by AI. There's been a lot made of like Microsoft pausing data center construction in a couple places like Wisconsin and Ohio and elsewhere. You know, I'm not

so certain that that's about sort of tariffs and AI demand and the economy changing. I think it's, don't read too much into that, but I think it's more about Microsoft's relationship with open AI changing and, you know, Microsoft and open AI becoming more like frenemies and less like close partners. So, you know, I think there's a lot of reason to still be bullish on AI and, and,

the companies involved in it getting past the tariffs. Right. There's been a lot of questions about kind of the cost of building data centers with Microsoft maybe being, you know, exhibit A in that, although they announced that they were slowing down these building projects like well before the tariffs were announced. There are pretty much every hyperscale or, you know, company has these massive capital expenditures planned. I think it's like

nearly a trillion dollars committed to building data centers. Like anything else, you know, commercial building, residential building, I think the tariffs can affect raw materials here. But it sounds like, you know, from your point of view, it sounds like the demand is going to be so strong that it will kind of overcome any of those tariff speed bumps that we might see.

Absolutely. And companies buy so much in advance, especially companies like Google. They prepare in advance for this data center construction. There's been, since the pandemic, since the AI explosion, a lot of delays in getting parts. But you could imagine that they've put in a lot of orders at set pricing, probably discounted pricing. They can absorb some of these costs if tariffs hit semiconductors. They can absorb some of those costs.

What they can potentially absorb is if the EU or other places follow through with some of these discussions to put retaliatory tariffs on services. You said, you know, at the outside of your question, like there's no tariffs on services or software, but imagine if there was, that would release through these companies. And there has been talk of some sort of, you know, areas like the European Union potentially retaliating with that. And I think that would be a big scare for tech giants here.

That was Paresh Dave at Wired. You can find the full video of this episode of Marketplace Tech Bytes Week in Review on our YouTube channel, Marketplace APM. And subscribe if you haven't already to watch us every Friday. Jesus Alvarado produced this episode. Daniel Shin also produces our show. Gary O'Keefe and Jay Sebold are our engineers. Daisy Palacios is the senior producer. Kelly Silvera is our executive producer. I'm Megan McCarty Carino, and that's Marketplace Tech.

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