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cover of episode Global growth set for decline, as ballooning government debts take hold

Global growth set for decline, as ballooning government debts take hold

2025/6/3
logo of podcast Marketplace All-in-One

Marketplace All-in-One
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A
Alvaro Pereira
F
Faisal Islam
K
Katie Silver
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Alvaro Pereira: 作为OECD的首席经济学家，我认为全球经济正面临挑战，几乎所有国家都面临经济增长的下调。贸易不确定性显著增加，商业和消费者信心有所下降。尽管如此，我们预测全球经济仍将保持韧性，预计今年的增长率约为2.9%。避免进一步的贸易分裂至关重要，同时应优先考虑重振投资。目前全球债务水平已达到80年来的最高点，各国应努力达成贸易协议，以促进就业和繁荣。 Katie Silver: 我观察到特朗普总统对中国商品征收的关税，以及对海外零售商运输到美国的小包裹征收的关税，已经对一些企业的商业模式造成了重大影响。例如，像Timu和Shein这样的公司，由于关税的增加，它们的商业模式受到了威胁。为了应对这些压力，Temu正在削减广告支出，并计划将生产转移到美国。

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From the BBC World Service: The global economy is losing steam, according to the OECD, which now forecasts growth to fall to just 2.9% this year and next. The Paris-based Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development — which represents most of the world’s advanced economies — issued its warning as trade tensions between the U.S. and China continue to grow.