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cover of episode Time for a national debt history lesson

Time for a national debt history lesson

2025/7/1
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Marketplace All-in-One
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People
A
Amol Shah
A
Anvithi Bahuguna
C
Christine Mackey
E
Eric Schneider
J
Justin Wolfers
K
Kathleen Day
K
Kevin Howell
L
Lou Chen
M
Macrina Wilkins
M
Melissa Ehrman
M
Michael Baker
M
Michael Brown
R
Robert Dietz
R
Rohit Chopra
S
Seth Basham
S
Stacey Lang
T
Tamika Hunter
T
Thomas Champeau
Topics
Robert Dietz: 我认为近期建筑支出放缓是前几年建筑热潮的滞后反应。2024年公寓开工量大幅下降，主要是因为融资成本高昂。虽然房屋建筑商协会预测，未被满足的需求将促使开发商今年开始建造更多的公寓，但目前住房市场因负担能力和建造成本的限制而放缓。 Lou Chen: 我观察到超过一半的主要都市区空置率高于正常水平，特别是在阳光地带城市，较高的空置率抑制了建筑业的发展，但对租房者来说是个好消息，因为这也抑制了租金的增长。 Macrina Wilkins: 我认为承包商对关税、税率和劳动力供应等问题存在很多不确定性，这使得他们对承担新项目更加犹豫。建筑材料的成本在未来几个月内难以预测，这使得他们对承担新项目更加犹豫。

Deep Dive

Chapters
Construction spending has declined for five consecutive months, raising concerns about the economy. Higher interest rates and high vacancy rates in many cities are contributing factors, along with uncertainty surrounding tariffs and tax rates. Despite this, the National Association of Home Builders predicts that unmet demand will lead to increased apartment construction later in the year.
  • Five consecutive monthly declines in construction spending.
  • High vacancy rates in many major metro areas.
  • Uncertainty surrounding tariffs and tax rates impacting contractor decisions.
  • 25% decline in apartment construction starts in 2024.
  • Prediction of increased apartment construction due to unmet demand.

Shownotes Transcript

The Senate just narrowly passed the latest version of the GOP tax and spending bill, and the House will vote on it tomorrow. Nonpartisan experts at the Congressional Budget Office say the bill will add more than $3 trillion to the national debt, which is already a whopping $36.2 trillion. In this episode, a few economic historians tell us how we got here. Plus: Construction spending falls again, Home Depot goes after large-scale pros and the stock market rallies.

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