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cover of episode Reconciling Reconciliation

Reconciling Reconciliation

2025/6/10
logo of podcast Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

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Justin Begley
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Sharon Parrott
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Sharon Parrott: 我认为这项法案在财政、经济以及对总统和国会议员承诺服务的人民和社区方面都失败了。该法案包含大幅度的、偏向高收入人群的减税措施,同时大幅削减医疗保险、基本食品援助、清洁能源和清洁能源创新,并增加国防和国土安全方面的支出。总的来说,这项法案导致更高的赤字,根据国会预算办公室的评估,赤字将增加3万亿美元,如果去除所有的时间安排和虚假的临时条款,赤字将增加到5万亿美元。该法案会导致1600万人失去医疗保险,数百万人失去基本食品援助,其中包括200万儿童。长期来看,更高的赤字很可能对经济增长产生下行压力,对利率产生上行压力。总的来说,这项法案对高收入人群有利,而对其他人不利。这项法案造成了巨大的伤害和破坏,并减少了对我们未来劳动力的儿童的投资,因此我认为这项法案是高度错误的、非常有破坏性的,并且令人非常沮丧。公众不支持这项议程,民意调查显示,在没有太多背景信息的情况下,大多数人对这项法案持否定态度,并且在解释法案内容后,支持率会进一步下降。

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Sharon Parrott, President of CBPP joins the Inside Economics team to consider the big package of tax and government spending provisions making its way through the legislative process. She explains why she’s not a fan, from its implications for the nation’s already dire fiscal situation to its hit to programs benefitting lower-income Americans, such as Medicaid and food assistance.

Guests: Sharon Parrot - President of the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities) and Justin Begley - Economist and U.S. fiscal policy SME, Moody's Analytics 

 

Additional resources from Center on Budget and Policy Priorities

By the Numbers: House Bill Takes Health Coverage Away From Millions of People and Raises Families' Health Care Costs)

2025 Budget Impacts: House Bill Would Cut Assistance for Children, Raise Costs for Families)

House Republican Reconciliation Bill Would Hard Rural Households, Communities, and Economies)

 

Hosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics, Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody’s Analytics

Follow Mark Zandi on 'X', BlueSky or LinkedIn @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn

Questions or Comments, please email us at [email protected]). We would love to hear from you. 

 

To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View).