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cover of episode Sharing the Angst

Sharing the Angst

2025/3/7
logo of podcast Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

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C
Chris deRitis
D
Dante DeAntonio
M
Marisa DiNatale
M
Mark Zandi
Topics
Dante DeAntonio: 二月份的就业报告显示就业增长为151,000,主要来自私营部门。政府部门减少了10,000个就业岗位,这可能是由于人员自然减员而非裁员造成的。就业增长的行业集中度有所提高,主要集中在医疗保健行业。休闲和酒店业以及公共部门的就业增长放缓。制造业、建筑业和采矿业就业增长强劲。工资增长保持稳定,平均每周工作时间仍然较低。家庭调查显示失业率上升至4.1%,劳动力参与率下降,就业人口比率下降。未来几个月就业增长能否保持稳定是一个重要的问题。 Mark Zandi: 对劳动力市场潜在的疲软迹象感到担忧,认为就业增长可能会持续下降。 Marisa DiNatale: 尽管表面数据看起来不错,但深入分析后发现劳动力市场正在显现疲软迹象,一些关键行业的就业增长正在放缓,这令人担忧。 Chris deRitis: 同样对劳动力市场感到担忧,并指出兼职工作增加、自营职业减少以及多份工作持有者增加等迹象表明,人们的财务压力可能正在增加。 supporting_evidences , }]}]}

Deep Dive

Chapters
The February jobs report showed 151,000 jobs added, mainly from the private sector. While job growth is broadening in some ways, it's concentrated in healthcare, with weakness in other sectors. Wage growth remains steady, but average weekly hours are low, and the household survey shows a less positive picture with an increased unemployment rate and decreased labor force participation.
  • 151,000 jobs added in February, mainly private sector
  • Job growth concentrated in healthcare; weakness elsewhere
  • Wage growth steady at around 4%
  • Average weekly hours remain low
  • Household survey shows increased unemployment rate and decreased labor force participation

Shownotes Transcript

Moody’s Analytics colleague, Dante DeAntonio joins the podcast to discuss the February jobs report, and the team shares their angst about potential cracks in the labor market. The conversation then turns to the potential impact of DOGE cuts to the federal workforce and the economic implications of the on-again, off-again tariffs that has developed in recent weeks. Finally, Dante celebrates his clean sweep in the stats game and Mark and Cris revise their recession probabilities.

 

Guest: Dante DeAntonio, Senior Director of Economic Research, Moody's Analytics

Hosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody’s Analytics

Follow Mark Zandi on 'X', BlueSky or LinkedIn @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn

Questions or Comments, please email us at [email protected]). We would love to hear from you. 

 

To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View).