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cover of episode Belief Over Fear: Markets Defy Gravity Amid Uncertainty

Belief Over Fear: Markets Defy Gravity Amid Uncertainty

2024/11/25
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On The Tape

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People
D
Dan Nathan
知名金融分析师和评论员,常在 CNBC 上提供市场分析和评论。
E
Elizabeth Young Thomas
G
Guy Adami
经验丰富的华尔街交易员和金融分析师,知名媒体人物。
Topics
Guy Adami认为市场近期上涨是由于对新任财政部长提名的积极反应,并指出这是历史上罕见的因人事任命而导致市场剧烈波动的情况。他还提到市场对财政部长人选的预期反应强烈,金融类股票表现尤其突出。 Dan Nathan指出新任财政部长提名是市场参与者关注的焦点,并可能影响其与美联储的合作方式。他认为未来几周债券市场走势将对明年初市场方向有重要影响,并表示个人认为收益率将继续上升,但市场对通货膨胀的担忧有所缓解。 Elizabeth Young Thomas认为市场预期准确,对财政部长人选的积极反应推动市场上涨。她指出对更低监管和更高增长的预期,以及对财政部长人选的积极评价,增强了市场对未来增长的信心。她还提到长期来看,减税可能会刺激消费,从而导致通货膨胀反弹,需要关注通货膨胀的来源和驱动因素。

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Chapters
The discussion focuses on the market's reaction to the announcement of a new Treasury Secretary, with expectations of lower regulations and cyclical growth into 2025.
  • Market participants were most focused on the Treasury Secretary pick.
  • Expectations of lower regulations and higher growth are driving market enthusiasm.
  • The rally in the market is seen as a continuation of the existing momentum.

Shownotes Transcript

Guy Adami, Dan Nathan, and Elizabeth Young Thomas discuss market movements in reaction to a new Treasury Secretary) pick and expectations of lower regulations and cyclical growth into 2025. They delve into the impacts of inflation, the potential re-ignition of inflation due to policy changes, and the behavior of the bond market. The hosts also assess market reactions to interest rates, the significance of personnel decisions, and the enthusiastic retail response to the treasury secretary pick. They wrap up with an analysis of recent Nvidia stock movements and upcoming retail earnings amidst the backdrop of economic uncertainties and holiday spending.

Further Reading

  • RBC sees the S&P 500 rising to 6,600 in 2025, but expects a 5%-10% correction near term (CNBC))

  • Trump threatens John Deere with 200% tariffs if production moves to Mexico (Reuters))

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About the Show:

On The Tape is a weekly podcast with CNBC Fast Money’s Guy Adami, Dan Nathan and Danny Moses. They’re offering takes on the biggest market-moving headlines of the week, trade ideas, in-depth analysis, tips and advice. Each episode, they are joined by prominent Wall Street participants to help viewers make smarter investment decisions. Bear market, bull market, recession, inflation or deflation… we’re here to help guide your portfolio into the green. Risk Reversal brings you years of experience from former Wall Street insiders trading stocks to experts in the commodity market.

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