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cover of episode The AI Trade Enters Its 'Show Me' Era with Jeff Richards

The AI Trade Enters Its 'Show Me' Era with Jeff Richards

2025/3/20
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On The Tape

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Jeff Richards: 我观察到市场投资策略正在发生重大转变。过去,投资者热衷于投资大型科技公司,例如所谓的"MAG7"。但现在,这种趋势正在转向对黄金和欧洲银行的投资。虽然我仍然在私募市场进行投资,但我认为这种转变值得关注。市场对少数几家大型科技公司的集中度令人担忧。许多基金经理仍然高度依赖这些公司,这在今年对他们的投资回报产生了负面影响。 我认为现在是寻找被低估的科技公司的好时机,这些公司未来可能获得高增长。许多中小型科技公司将从人工智能技术中受益。市场已经转变为一个更需要选股的市场,投资者需要进行深入研究,发现那些有潜力获得10倍、20倍甚至30倍回报的公司。 我个人偏好长期投资。最近的市场波动为一些优质资产提供了逢低买入的机会,例如私募股权投资管理公司。这些公司在长期内有望获得稳定的增长,并且在市场波动中能够更好地抵御风险。 人工智能的定价模式是软件行业面临的一个挑战。成熟的软件公司需要适应新的定价模式,因为人工智能技术将逐渐成为软件产品的标准配置。私营科技公司在人工智能领域的收入增长强劲,但这种增长尚未体现在上市公司的数据中。这部分原因是由于定价模式的转变,以及创新主要发生在初创公司层面。 我认为,随着人工智能技术的发展,投资机会将从芯片和基础设施转向软件。一些被低估的软件公司,例如Datadog、Snowflake和CrowdStrike,有望从这一趋势中受益。 医疗保健行业是人工智能技术应用的一个巨大机会。该行业规模庞大,并且存在大量提高效率和改善患者护理的机会。人工智能技术可以用于优化医疗流程、改善患者体验以及提供个性化的医疗服务。 虽然医疗保健行业受到严格监管,但它仍然是一个充满潜力的领域。我相信,随着人工智能技术的不断发展,医疗保健行业将发生翻天覆地的变化。

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Chapters
This chapter discusses the shift in investor sentiment from focusing on large tech companies ('MAGA7') to gold and European banks. Jeff Richards shares his observations on market concentration and the search for new investment opportunities in a changing market landscape.
  • Shift from investing in 'MAGA7' to gold and European banks
  • High concentration of investments in 'MAGA7'
  • Opportunities in undiscovered tech names
  • Impact of ETFs on market movements

Shownotes Transcript

Dan Nathan and Guy Adami welcome back Jeff Richards, Managing Partner at Notable Capital. The discussion covers a wide range of topics, including the shift from investing in tech giants like the 'Mag 7' to gold and European banks. Jeff shares insights on market concentration and the importance of discovering new tech opportunities. The conversation also delves into the AI revolution, its impact on private markets, and the evolving pricing models in the software industry. Jeff highlights the significant potential of AI in healthcare and stresses the value of taking a long-term investment approach amidst market volatility. The podcast concludes with some discussion on the NCAA tournament and Jeff's picks to make a run.

Further Reading

  • Top Developers Want Nvidia Blackwell Chips. Everyone Else, Not So Much (The Information))

  • Why AI Isn’t Giving Salesforce a Boost (The Information))

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