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cover of episode The Record-Setting Rally 12/5/24

The Record-Setting Rally 12/5/24

2024/12/5
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People
A
Angelica Peebles
A
Anthony Scaramucci
曾任白宫通讯主任,现为SkyBridge Capital创始人和管理合伙人,知名金融和政治评论家。
B
Bill Baruch
创始人和首席投资官,拥有丰富的金融行业经验,专注于商品和股票交易。
D
Dom Chiu
J
Josh Brown
金融分析师和评论家,专注于金融市场趋势和经济预测。
L
Liz Young-Thomas
M
Mike Santelli
Topics
Liz Young-Thomas认为自大选以来的市场上涨是顺周期反弹,主要受益于放松管制,但对2025年的预期较为温和。 Josh Brown认为市场上涨并非仅仅是情绪驱动,而是由基本面因素,例如超出预期的季度盈利增长所推动,这使得许多投资者措手不及。 Bill Baruch认为纳斯达克指数的突破以及苹果、Meta和亚马逊等科技股的强劲表现,表明科技股正在引领市场轮动,并基于此进行了相应的投资调整。他还看好Workday和Oracle,认为Workday的盈利能力增强,Oracle的云业务增长被低估。 Anthony Scaramucci认为比特币突破10万美元标志着其作为资产类别发展的开始,未来潜力巨大,并对特朗普政府的对加密货币的友好态度表示赞赏。他认为民主党对加密货币投资者的忽视是一个错误。 其他嘉宾也分别就各自关注的股票、行业和市场趋势发表了看法,例如对特斯拉、Uber、亚马逊、医疗保健板块、能源板块、大宗商品等市场走势的分析和预测。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why did the Investment Committee buy more Meta and Apple during the tech resurgence?

The committee saw a bullish technical pattern in the tech sector, with both Meta and Apple breaking out above a significant resistance level. This breakout was seen as a strong signal to increase positions in these stocks.

What are the key reasons for the record-setting rally in the stock market since the election?

The rally is driven by a combination of strong earnings reports, particularly in tech, and a sentiment boost post-election. Earnings expectations were too low, leading to significant upward revisions, and the election results fueled further excitement and optimism.

How does Anthony Scaramucci view the future of Bitcoin?

Scaramucci sees Bitcoin as an emerging asset class with significant potential. He believes it could trade up to $18 trillion, similar to the market cap of gold, and recommends a strategic allocation in portfolios.

What regulatory environment does Anthony Scaramucci expect under the new administration for cryptocurrencies?

Scaramucci expects a more favorable regulatory environment, with potential for stable coin legislation and a more supportive stance from the government towards the crypto industry. He believes the U.S. needs to get regulation right to maintain its financial services leadership.

What are Josh Brown's new additions to his 'Best Stocks in the Market' list?

Josh Brown added Johnson Controls (JCI), Ferrexpo Enterprises (FXPO), and Cloudflare (NET) to his list. These companies are seen as undervalued with strong potential for breakout performance in the coming year.

How does Bill Brewster view the outlook for gold and silver in 2025?

Bill Brewster is bullish on gold, expecting it to benefit from central bank actions and retail interest. He sees potential for more upside in gold and silver, particularly in mining stocks like Core Mining (CDE), which he recently added to his portfolio.

What is the significance of the record-setting rally in the tech sector?

The tech sector's rally is significant as it includes major players like Apple, Amazon, and Meta hitting record highs. This resurgence is seen as a positive sign for the broader market, indicating strong fundamentals and investor confidence in tech's future growth.

Why did Bill Brewster sell Marathon Petroleum (MPC) and buy Core Mining (CDE)?

Bill Brewster sold Marathon Petroleum (MPC) due to unfavorable seasonality and underperformance. He bought Core Mining (CDE) for its strong upside potential, particularly after the acquisition of SilverCrest Mining, which enhances its gold and silver mining capabilities.

How does Josh Brown view the health care sector under the new administration?

Josh Brown believes the health care sector has already baked in a lot of bad news and could see a repricing upward if anti-health care policies don't materialize. He notes strong earnings growth expectations for health care in 2025.

What is the Investment Committee's view on Tesla's future growth?

The Investment Committee is bullish on Tesla, seeing it as a vital name in their portfolio. They believe Tesla will continue to grow, benefiting from regulatory support and technological advancements in the electric vehicle space.

Chapters
The panel discusses the significance of the Dow reaching 45,000 and Bitcoin hitting $100,000, noting the post-election rally and the potential for continued market growth.
  • Post-election rally driven by deregulation expectations.
  • Earnings expectations were too low for the recently announced quarter.
  • Tech sector resurgence with Apple, Amazon, and Meta hitting record highs.

Shownotes Transcript

Scott Wapner and the Investment Committee debate the record-setting rally and how to play it from here. Anthony Scaramucci joins us to discuss the crypto surge and his new book “The Little Book of Bitcoin” Plus, the desk discusses the latest Calls of the Day on Toast, Abbvie and Berkshire Hathaway. And later, Josh Brown shares some stocks on his market watchlist. 

Investment Committee Disclosures)