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cover of episode The Record Setting Rally 6/27/25

The Record Setting Rally 6/27/25

2025/6/27
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Halftime Report

AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
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Brian Belsky
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Bryn Talkington
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George Kurtz
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Kevin Simpson
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Scott Bauer
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Stephanie Link
首席投资策略师和股票投资组合经理,曾任职于Nuveen和TheStreet,现任高塔威尔财富管理公司首席投资策略师。
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Kevin Simpson: 自四月以来,市场表现出色,波动率降低,现在是让“骏马”自由驰骋的时候。波动率与市场表现通常呈反比关系,目前的情况支持继续享受市场上涨,但这不会永远持续。我会选择观望,并享受上涨的红利。 Brian Belsky: 我不认为我们代表着害怕错过交易,因为我们自四月份以来一直保持着看涨的立场,并且取得了超过20年来最佳的季度业绩。市场策略师的目标应被视为学术实践,投资者不应盲目跟随策略师的市场目标进行投资。 Bryn Talkington: 真正的“害怕错过”情绪体现在某些中等市值的超增长股票上,这些股票在过去六个月到一年内上涨了50%到200%。尽管个别股票有“害怕错过”情绪,但整体指数水平的上涨是稳健的。 Stephanie Link: 市场在四月和五月达到了极端水平,且这次反弹一直不受欢迎,这表明有7万亿美元的现金在场外观望。我们正在逐步获得一些答案,贸易和地缘政治方面都在取得进展。密歇根大学的调查显示,一年期通胀预期低于去年,同时美联储的态度似乎更加温和。亚特兰大联储的GDP追踪显示GDP为2.9%,通胀可控,盈利也在增长,预计未来盈利将实现两位数增长。 Scott Bauer: 金融板块的盈利将因交易量增加而表现出色,私人财富管理人士一直在投资和配置股票。市场正在扩大,不仅限于大型科技股,这对于市场来说是非常健康的。

Deep Dive

Chapters
The Investment Committee discusses the record-setting rally in the stock market, with both the S&P and Nasdaq hitting new highs. The conversation explores whether the rally is driven by fear of missing out (FOMO) and whether it's sustainable.
  • S&P and Nasdaq hit new highs
  • Wolf Research predicts rally to continue into mid-to-late July
  • Inverse relationship between volatility and market performance
  • Debate on whether the market is in the FOMO stage

Shownotes Transcript

Scott Wapner and the Investment Committee discuss the record setting rally as both the S&P and the Nasdaq hit new highs.  Plus Brian Belski defends his $6,700 price target on the S&P. And later, the desk debate what to do with Nike after the stock surges following their Fiscal Q4 report.

Investment Committee Disclosures)