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cover of episode Did one in 10 Greeks die in World War Two?

Did one in 10 Greeks die in World War Two?

2024/12/7
logo of podcast More or Less: Behind the Stats

More or Less: Behind the Stats
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Charlotte McDonald
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Professor Vlassis
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Charlotte McDonald介绍了关于二战期间希腊死亡人数的讨论，特别是关于“十分之一的希腊人死亡”这一说法是否准确的疑问。节目探讨了这一说法背后的历史背景、数据来源以及可靠性。通过对战争期间各种死亡原因（军事冲突、处决、饥荒等）的分析，节目指出，虽然战争给希腊带来了巨大的损失，但“十分之一人口死亡”的说法可能夸大了实际情况。节目中引用了1945年希腊政府的报告以及其他研究数据，对不同死亡原因造成的死亡人数进行了估算，并指出了这些数据中存在的不确定性和局限性。最终，节目得出结论，虽然准确的死亡人数难以确定，但“十分之一人口死亡”的说法缺乏充分的证据支持，更合理的估计是希腊人口的5%左右在二战中死亡。 Professor Vlassis作为专家，对1945年希腊政府的报告进行了分析，指出该报告的数据虽然在当时条件下已经尽力做到客观，但由于数据收集的局限性，其准确性值得商榷。他强调，该报告中的一些数字，特别是关于饥荒死亡人数的估算，由于采用了不恰当的推算方法，导致结果存在偏差。此外，他还指出，报告中关于“未出生人口”的计算方法也不合理，不能作为支持“十分之一人口死亡”这一说法的依据。Professor Vlassis还提供了自己对饥荒死亡人数的估算，认为这个数字应该低于报告中的数字。

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Chapters
The episode investigates the claim that 10% of the Greek population died during World War Two, starting with the historical context of Greece's involvement in the war.
  • Greece entered World War Two after rejecting an ultimatum from Italy's dictator Benito Mussolini.
  • The war in Greece was brutal, involving battles with Italian and Nazi forces, occupation, and a devastating famine.

Shownotes Transcript

When World War Two came to Greece, a period of terrible human suffering followed. There was a brutal battle with Italian and then Nazi forces, followed by an occupation in which thousands were executed and a terrible famine swept the nation.

There’s an often repeated number that appears to capture the brutality of this time – that 10% of the Greek population died during the war.

We investigate where this statistic comes from and whether it is true.

Presenter: Charlotte McDonald Producer: Tom Colls Production co-ordinator: Katie Morrison Sound mix: Neil Churchill Editor: Richard Vadon