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cover of episode Is the UK seeing a Christian revival?

Is the UK seeing a Christian revival?

2025/7/2
logo of podcast More or Less: Behind the Stats

More or Less: Behind the Stats

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C
Catherine Haymans
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Louise Murphy
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Rhiannon McAleer
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Robert Cuff
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Tim Harford
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Tom Coles
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Tim Harford:YouGov为圣经协会做的一项调查显示,英国教会礼拜人数正在恢复,从2018年的8%增加到2024年的12%。然而,基督教信仰和教会礼拜人数长期以来一直在下降,并非所有人都相信教会礼拜人数正在恢复。 Tom Coles:人们实际去教堂的次数比他们声称的要少。圣经协会网站上的一些数据有些难以置信,例如年轻女性去教堂的比例增加了四倍,年轻男性增加了五倍。英国社会态度调查显示,教会礼拜人数实际上有所下降。教堂自身并没有报告出席人数的增加。但圣经协会的调查是在其他数据点之后进行的,而且自疫情以来,教会出席人数每年都在增加。2018年圣经协会的8%的出席率数据异常低,这可能意味着第二次调查显示了令人惊讶的上升,而这可能只是恢复到疫情前的水平。称之为复兴有些奇怪,而且感觉我们似乎在寻找论据来适应证据,没有绝对具体的事实可以支持与疫情前相比,实际教堂出席人数大幅增加的观点。 Rhiannon McAleer:圣经协会的数据中确实存在一些奇怪之处,但没有足够的证据表明它是完全错误的。这些调查规模很大,并使用了一个在线小组,该小组旨在以特定方式与英国人口相匹配,但它不是一个随机小组,你无法对误差幅度充满信心。我相信它指示了一个趋势。

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Tim Harford looks at some of the numbers in the news and in life. This week:

Is church-going making a comeback in the UK?

Is it true that every day, 1000 people begin claiming personal independence payments, or PIP?

When the government talks about how it “returns” illegal immigrants, what does it mean?

Can a new telescope really see golf balls on the moon?

If you’ve seen a number you think looks suspicious, email the More or Less team: [email protected]

More or Less is produced in partnership with the Open University.

Presenter: Tim Harford Producers: Lizzy McNeill, Nicholas Barrett, David Verry Series producer: Tom Colls Production co-ordinator: Brenda Brown Sound mix: Gareth Jones Editor: Richard Vadon