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cover of episode 14: The Crash Predictors Are Wrong, Here’s Why w/Logan Mohtashami

14: The Crash Predictors Are Wrong, Here’s Why w/Logan Mohtashami

2022/6/27
logo of podcast On The Market

On The Market

Shownotes Transcript

The housing market is confusing, to say the least. In 2020, at the start of lockdowns, nearly everyone you spoke to had the opinion that the housing market was headed straight for a crash. Not only was this wrong, but it was the opposite of what the data was saying. While mainstream news outlets and “2008 crash) bros” were painting a picture of foreclosures, price drops, and bottomed-out demand, Logan Mohtashami was singing a far different tune

Logan had been looking diligently at the data (like he does most days over at HousingWire) and he saw patterns that didn’t at all reflect the last recession. Instead, Logan predicted a runup in prices, hot buyer demand, and **very low rates of **foreclosures). In a time when almost everyone with a public voice was calling for an apocalyptic housing scene, Logan predicted much differently. 

Now, two or so years later,** we can see just how right he was**. We’ve brought this beloved data-first housing market deep diver onto the show to answer some of our most burning questions. Logan hits on** how housing inventory got so low**, what will force demand back down, why new property taxes) are bad news for buyers, and the smartest move an investor can make in 2022

In This Episode We Cover

How to dig ourselves out of the housing inventory hole we’ve created

The “forbearance)**” myth **that most housing market forecasters missed

Why buying a home may be the smartest hedge against inflation) of the decade

**Property taxes **and why homeowners should (or shouldn’t) start to worry about them

Housing markets to look out for that may see demand drop after huge appreciation pumps

Why investors need to** look at data “the right way” **instead of relying on prominent internet forecasters

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

BiggerPockets Forums)

BiggerPockets Agent)

Join BiggerPockets for FREE)

On The Market)

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise)

Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums)

Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile)

Dave’s Instagram)

Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile)

Kathy's Instagram)

Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey)

Nearly 1 in 5 Sellers is Dropping Their Price)

Get 50% off HousingWire+ Using Code “LoganVIP50")

Is The Housing Market About to Collapse? What Investors Need to Know)

Connect with Logan:

Logan's HousingWire)

Logan's Twitter)

Logan's Website)

Logan's Instagram)

Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-14

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