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cover of episode Tariffs on the EU & Consumer Tastes 5/27/25

Tariffs on the EU & Consumer Tastes 5/27/25

2025/5/27
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Squawk Pod

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A
Andrew Ross Sorkin
美国知名金融记者和作家,担任《纽约时报》金融专栏作家和CNBC《早间交易》共同主播。
B
Becky Quick
以其财经新闻专长和独特采访风格而闻名的CNBC电视记者和新闻主播。
K
Katie Kramer
K
Kevin Hassett
R
Ray Washburne
Topics
Katie Kramer: 预计本周会有更多贸易协议达成,一些协议已接近完成。 Ray Washburne: 我认为消费者债务处于历史新高,令人担忧。在我的零售、购物中心和Sunoco业务中,汽油销售额与去年相比有所下降,消费者对经济感到担忧,因此减少了驾驶。信用卡债务是一个很大的担忧。高端购物中心表现良好,但消费者需要良好的购物体验。社区银行是国家经济的驱动力,需要合并。 Becky Quick: 由于变化迅速,很难认真对待市场。特朗普总统考虑对除美国制造以外的任何地方生产的iPhone征收25%的关税。特朗普总统考虑取消对哈佛的数十亿美元拨款,并将其重新分配给美国的职业学校。迪士尼的《星际宝贝》重制版在假日周末票房中名列前茅。柴油销售是美国经济的晴雨表。 Kevin Hassett: 与欧盟的谈判进展不大,欧盟由多个国家组成,每个国家都有不同的目标,难以达成一致。预计本周将达成更多协议,特朗普总统希望美国优先。欧盟是美国盟友中最难啃的骨头。我们可以尝试简化非关税壁垒,例如互相承认汽车法规。特朗普总统与贸易谈判的领导人建立了牢固的关系。我们的目标是尽可能多地将生产转移到美国,以确保美国不依赖中国的进口。CEO们夸大了关税的影响,以试图降低关税。我们不希望损害苹果,如果苹果必须出售一定数量的iPhone,那么苹果将承担这些关税,而不是消费者。如果他们提出足够好的提议,关税可能会保持在10%或以下。外国市场对美国商品的开放程度令人惊讶,这些协议正在以前所未有的方式开放市场。与印度的谈判接近尾声。尽管消费者有些担忧,但硬性经济数据仍然非常强劲。如果众议院没有通过税收法案,那将是美国历史上最大的增税,并导致经济衰退。市场开始预期参议院通过税收法案,一旦通过,经济将加速发展。

Deep Dive

Chapters
The US imposed a 50% tariff on EU goods, impacting markets. Negotiations are ongoing, with hopes for more deals, but the EU's internal complexities pose a challenge. The impact on Apple and the potential for onshoring are discussed.
  • 50% tariff on EU goods starting July 9th
  • Ongoing negotiations between US and EU
  • Impact on Apple and potential for onshoring production
  • Challenges in reaching a deal due to EU's internal complexities

Shownotes Transcript

After a whiplash weekend of trade news), the U.S. will institute a 50% tariff on goods from the EU), starting in July. National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett discusses the goals for ongoing negotiations and offers a hint at new trade deals coming soon. Ray Washburne sits on the boards of Sunoco and Red Lobster, and he’s invested in luxury retail centers, offices, and restaurants. Based on his exposure to the American consumer, Washburne warns about consumer debt and suggests watching diesel as a barometer for U.S. economic and consumer health. Plus, Disney’s live-action remake of “Lilo and Stitch” led the box office over the long weekend, Japan’s long-dated bond yields have fallen), and Elon Musk will now be “super focused” on X, xAI, and Tesla). 

 

Ray Washburne - 14:20

Kevin Hassett - 31:37

 

In this episode:

Becky Quick, @BeckyQuick)Joe Kernen, @JoeSquawk)

Andrew Ross Sorkin, @andrewrsorkin)

Katie Kramer, @Kramer_Katie)