We're sunsetting PodQuest on 2025-07-28. Thank you for your support!
Export Podcast Subscriptions
cover of episode ICYMI: Tit for Tat Strikes in the Mideast

ICYMI: Tit for Tat Strikes in the Mideast

2025/6/24
logo of podcast Bloomberg Businessweek

Bloomberg Businessweek

AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
T
Tony Capascio
主持人
专注于电动车和能源领域的播客主持人和内容创作者。
Topics
主持人:特朗普总统声称美国对伊朗的袭击完全摧毁了目标,但我和我的父亲都对轰炸机向西飞行感到困惑,这似乎不是袭击伊朗的正确方向。我好奇美国、以色列和伊朗之间是如何协调行动的,以及美国军方在多大程度上愿意冒险袭击核设施,他们对情报的掌握程度如何?此外,美国到底有多少 GBU-57 巨型穿透炸弹?为什么B-2轰炸机部署在密苏里州而不是迪戈加西亚岛?美国公民应该如何理解美国军方及其能力? Tony Capascio:目前无法确认美国袭击伊朗的地点是否被完全摧毁,战损评估需要时间,总统关于袭击地点完全被摧毁的说法是夸大其词。这次联合行动在指挥和控制方面执行得相当完美,武器瞄准很大程度上依赖于以色列情报部门的评估。五角大楼在武器瞄准方面非常精确,至少知道武器的落点。在这次事件中,情报相当准确,伊斯法罕设施没有受到大型穿透炸弹的袭击,而是被战斧巡航导弹击中,造成的破坏可能不如大型穿透炸弹,但仍然可能导致核材料泄漏。美国拥有的巨型穿透炸弹数量在二十几个左右,具体数字高度机密。部署B-2轰炸机在密苏里州是为了展示美国的实力,并且避免在迪戈加西亚岛降落时被发现,从而泄露行动安全。这次行动是空军版的“肉馅行动”,向西飞行的轰炸机机组人员故意暴露行踪,而向东飞行的轰炸机则保持无线电静默。美国每年花费巨额资金采购的武器装备确实在发挥作用,尽管可以争论战争的原因,但美国的硬件设备一直运行良好。B-2轰炸机在参与的每次行动中都非常有效。B-21“突袭者”轰炸机将能够控制无人机,并且比B-2更隐形,在隐身材料方面有了质的飞跃,并且能够携带更多的弹药,将成为空中的四分卫。

Deep Dive

Chapters
Initial reports claimed the destruction of Iranian sites were total, but battle damage assessments require time. The president's claim of total destruction was premature, and experts like General Kane offered measured assessments. The Pentagon press conference provided additional insight into the situation.
  • Battle damage assessment takes weeks for a measured analysis.
  • President's claim of total destruction was premature.
  • General Kane's assessment was more measured.
  • Pentagon press conference offered additional insights.

Shownotes Transcript

Translations:
中文

This is an iHeart Podcast. When you're with Amex Business Platinum, going the extra mile for your business pays off.

With five times membership rewards points on flights and prepaid hotels booked through amxtravel.com, you can earn more points to help grow your business. And with access to more than 1,400 lounges globally through the American Express Global Lounge Collection, including the Centurion Lounge. Can I get you a refill? You can stay fresh wherever your business travel takes you. That's the powerful backing of American Express. Terms apply. Learn more at americanexpress.com slash amxbusiness.

At GSK, we believe that to get ahead of disease, you need to understand its root cause. And that's why we combine our deep understanding of immune science with cutting-edge technology. It helps us to create targeted therapies that match the right treatment to the right patient, transforming the lives of millions. By uniting science, technology, and talent, we work tirelessly to get ahead of disease together.

Visit gsk.com to discover more. How can you free your team from time-consuming office tasks? Amazon Business empowers leaders to not only streamline purchasing, but better support their teams. Smart business buying tools enable buyers to find and purchase items fast so they can focus on strategy and growth. It's time to free up your teams and focus on your future. Learn more about the technology, insights, and support available at amazonbusiness.com.

Bloomberg Audio Studios. Podcasts. Radio. News. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Tim Stenevek on Bloomberg Radio. Well, on Saturday afternoon when news broke that B-2 bombers, these are the only jets that are capable of deploying those 30,000 pound bunker busting munitions, were heading west from their base in Missouri across the Pacific to

I spoke to my dad on the phone. He's an aviation enthusiast. He grew up on Air Force bases. And we were both kind of puzzled. Like, why would bombers be heading west in order to mobilize for a strike on Iran? It seemed like the wrong way. Well, it turns out, as we know now, these were decoy B-2 bombers. Well, those planes got all the attention. Another group of B-2s flew east, literally flying.

under the radar. For more on the operation, we bring in Tony Capascio, Bloomberg News Pentagon and national security reporter. He writes about the 37 hour operation, so-called Midnight Hammer. He joins us from our Washington, D.C. bureau. We're going to get to the operation details in a second. And the planes, the

aircraft that were used, the submarine, the ordinance in a minute. But I want to get to what the president said on True Social a couple hours ago. He said, "The sites that we hit in Iran were totally destroyed and everyone knows it. Only the fake news would say anything different in order to try and demean as much as possible." Is that what our reporting tells us, that the sites that were hit in Iran were totally destroyed? Do we know that yet?

No, we don't know that yet. Battle damage assessment takes sometimes weeks for a measured, informed analysis. He was shooting from the hip. There's no way he would have known that. General Kane, the Joint Chiefs of Staff chairman on Sunday, was pretty measured in that area.

in his assessment, the president was exaggerating. There's no way he would know that. Totally obliterated. It's just off the charts wrong at this point. It may be in two weeks from now, but

yeah he was blowing smoke and you know he takes a shot at the fake media but we some of us remember the iraq war going in the reasons why and all the intelligence was kind of leaning in george bush's favor maybe possibly could be they have it it turns out they didn't so there's always a measure of skepticism when somebody claims

battle damage assessments were spectacular like an hour or two after the operation. So sorry. - I was watching the press conference yesterday live, Tony, on Bloomberg Television, our special coverage, and I think I saw you in the audience at the Pentagon. Were you there? - I was there. I had an off-purple shirt in the front row next to Jennifer Griffin of Fox. - So you heard it straight from the horse's mouth, essentially, about the battle damage assessment.

Right. This is very nascent, though. It was like hours after the operation. He was measured. I thought his answers were good. I thought Defense Secretary Hexit, while he gave an advertisement for Trump early on, he did a good job of stage managing and fielding questions.

So to be fair, right, like I always wonder like how good is really our intelligence in terms of where things are, where they are on the ground. And I also do think about, Tony, what's going on behind the scenes because nobody wants nuclear material floating out in the atmosphere. And so I just wonder, again, going to kind of the orchestration aspect.

of the moves that we are seeing, this fine dance, you know, Israel, Iran, the U.S., Iran back in Qatar. So I don't know, how are you looking at how all of this has kind of been carried out?

Well, it's been carried out fairly flawlessly in terms of the mechanics of command and control in a combined operation. Your question's a good one, but I think the weapon-earing was informed greatly by Israeli intelligence in terms of their assessment of what their weapons could do and how deeply buried the enriched uranium material was. That had to all be factored into.

the way the U.S. calibrated our bomb drops in terms of the GPS coordinates, the aim points, how deep they were going to go. I mean, the science of weapon earring, while it's a black art, is pretty precise within the Pentagon. This is one thing they do pretty well, at least knowing where their weapons go. Thank goodness for GPS. Yeah, absolutely right. What I wonder is how much

Was the U.S. military possibly willing to take the risk that they might hit a nuclear facility and that there might be uranium or nuclear unleashed into the atmosphere? I'm just curious how good the intel was that they knew exactly what they were doing.

In this case, I think the intel was pretty good. I mean, one indication, the Istafan facility was not hit by massive ordnance penetrators. It apparently has more sensitive nuclear materials in there. And I'm not going to act like I'm a total expert on this, but it was struck by Tomahawk cruise missiles fired from the Arabian Sea from the submarine with the Carl Vinson Group. Those don't penetrate deeply, but my assessment is

that they at least followed damage caused by Israeli weapons. They didn't go as deep, but they caused damage at that facility that could have been more significant in terms of a release of nuclear materials. Again, I don't want to overplay what I know, but that's my impression.

Tony, the GBU-57s, the massive ordnance penetrator bombs that have the first time they've ever been used in combat that were dropped on Fordow and other areas, 14 of them. Do you know how many the U.S. actually has of these? I've seen reporting that indicate that only 20 of these are.

existed, but I understand this stuff is obviously classified. What do we know? Yeah, it's a handful in the 20s, maybe mid-20s. I've been writing about this bomb for quite a number of years, and it's very, very classified. In fact, I've got some of the emails that were leaked to me about people not wanting to talk to me about the bomb.

But, interesting enough, there's a base in, there's an ammunition facility in Oklahoma, McAllister Ammunition Base. They make Army 155 rounds. Well, they're being retooled this year to help build more of these MOPS at a more rapid pace so that we can build up our inventories. So deep in the heart of Oklahoma, I'm sure they're working overtime to pull together the barrels that will be filled by Boeing in the coming months to replenish the supply.

What is considered a fully replenished supply? I'm thinking in the 20s there, 20s, 30s. Okay. There's now like hundreds of these things. Hey, you know, one thing that was puzzling to me also was why the B2s were or are right now based in Missouri rather than at Diego Garcia. The trips wouldn't have been as long. And why didn't they land at Diego Garcia? Why did they go all the way back to Missouri? The whole landing sequence there, they would have been spotted there at Diego Garcia.

The whole point of this was to show the long arm of the United States. Landing, they could have done that, but then there would have been pictures of it. There would have been more operational security issues. I think the brilliance of this one and this aspect of it was the feint to the west, while those B-2s that actually hit Iran, they took off at midnight Saturday morning.

The stories about the B-2s going west started breaking about 11:30 a.m. Eastern time Saturday. So this was their version, the Air Force's version of Operation Mincemeat in the Sky. You guys are off Broadway, so you know the play. Well, how do you fly six or 12 of these from Whiteman in Missouri at midnight without people around the airport, plane spotters, realizing this is happening?

There's no planes. This is not a this is an isolated base. They're not like sitting in their cars waiting for these things to fly off. This is this is our grand jewel bomber. And online and they can't be tracked online because they don't use the they don't send out the signal that is being tracked. That's right. Irrespective of the radar.

The point here is that these plane trackers, they were fooled. The crews on those bombers going west were talking. They wanted to be spotted. They wanted to be detected. That's all part of the mincemeat ruse in this case. Going east, the bombers were doing their thing. They were being radio silent and talking.

So nobody could pick him up. I mean, it was a pretty smart move on the Air Force's part. You know, I don't know whether it's I'm just thinking a lot about the U.S. military, the military parade that President Trump had on his birthday. And I'm just thinking about what just happened over the weekend. What is it that kind of I think U.S. citizens need to understand about U.S. military and our capabilities? Well, the capabilities that you spend like one hundred sixty billion dollars a year on procurement often work.

While the optics of the president and his parade are disheartening to many, many, the weapons that we have actually have been working pretty well in the last few years. You can fight about the war. You can argue about the war, the cause. But the hardware has been working well. The B-2, you may remember 20 some odd years ago, it was reviled heavily.

on the myth that it can't fly in the rain, it can't do an operation in the rain. Well, the Air Force debunked that. It's a $2 billion bomber. It was criticized at the time. Every operation it's been involved in, though, it's been pretty darn effective. It's perhaps

going to be continue to be in service until the 2030s but it's supposed to be replaced by the b-21 raider which had its first flight in november of 2023 how close is this to replacing the capabilities of the b-2 and what are the differences the main difference with the b the the current the b-21 it's going to be able to control drones basically it's going to have wing wingman

it's going to be able to have unmanned wingman. That's a big difference. It's stealthier. The B-2 is decades old. Its skin has to be highly touched up. It has a lot of problems with skin, with the blisters and stealthy materials, low observable materials, maintaining that. The B-21s is a quantum leap better than that, and it's going to be able to carry large...

more ordinance than the B-2. But it's going to be a quarterback in the sky, so the Air Force says. We don't know much about it because it's highly classified. Every little twist of this thing they keep secret, except some of the broad cost figures and some of the very...

measured pictures that come out of flight tests. We love getting inside your brain, man. Come on anytime. Tony Capasio, he is Pentagon and national security reporter at Bloomberg News. He's there in our D.C. bureau. Do you want to mention a headline crossing the Bloomberg? A divided U.S. Supreme Court lifted a judge's order that required President Trump's administration to give people 10 days notice and a chance to object before they are deported.

courted to a so-called third country. Over three dissents, the high court granted an emergency request from the administration, which said the order from a Massachusetts federal judge usurped presidential authority and interfered with diplomatic efforts again. That is a win for the Trump administration.

How can you grow your business from idea to industry leader? Bring your vision to life with smart business buying tools and technology from Amazon Business. From fast, free shipping to in-depth buying insights and automated purchase approvals, they deliver everything you need to achieve your goals. It's not easy to stand out from the crowd. Simplify how you stock up to get ahead. Go to AmazonBusiness.com for support.

Thank you.

Whatever challenge comes next, let Microsoft help you keep pushing forward. For more details, visit Microsoft.com slash challengers. Thrivent can help you plan your finances for the people, causes, and community you love. What makes Thrivent different? Financial services and generosity programs are combined to help you build the financial roadmap for the future.

while also creating opportunities to give back along the way. Visit Thrivent.com to learn more. Thrivent, where money means more. This is an iHeart Podcast.