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cover of episode Trump Ends Trade Talks With Canada, Threatens to Set Tariff

Trump Ends Trade Talks With Canada, Threatens to Set Tariff

2025/6/27
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Bloomberg Businessweek

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A
Alli McCartney
H
Harold Krantz
J
Josh Wingrove
M
Michael Loeb
P
President Trump
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Josh Wingrove: 特朗普政府对加拿大实施数字服务税表示不满,认为这是加拿大在利用贸易漏洞。这一举动导致美加贸易谈判终止,并威胁对加拿大商品征收新关税。我分析认为,特朗普政府可能采取三种策略:一是将此作为谈判策略,二是提高非USMCA商品的关税,三是取消USMCA贸易的豁免。取消USMCA贸易的豁免可能会遭到美国工业界的强烈反对,尤其是汽车行业。特朗普可能在利用关税作为谈判策略,就像他之前在“解放日”所做的那样。加拿大希望在30天内达成协议,包括USMCA的豁免以及汽车、钢铁和铝等行业的关税问题。特朗普可能将数字服务税纳入与加拿大的全面贸易协议中,作为谈判筹码。特朗普设定的七天期限和加拿大提出的三十天期限都没有实际约束力,而其他国家面临的7月9日关税上调是确定的。欧盟和美国有望在7月9日截止日期前达成贸易协议,这是一个积极的信号。尚不清楚欧盟和美国将达成框架协议还是更全面的协议,且美国可能采取双轨策略。财政部长贝森暗示可能在9月1日前与部分贸易伙伴达成协议,但特朗普可能在7月9日前提高关税。特朗普可能对较小的贸易伙伴提高关税,并暗示可能设定25%的关税。美国在贸易方面有很多变数,包括与中国、加拿大和墨西哥的协议,以及钢铁协议的传闻。美国可能在贸易方面取得进展,但特朗普倾向于单方面提高关税,因此关税总额可能会增加。市场应该意识到,由于特朗普的倾向,关税数量可能会增加。

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President Donald Trump said he was ending all trade discussions with Canada after claiming the country moved to implement a digital services tax, and threatened to impose a fresh tariff rate within the next week.

“Based on this egregious Tax, we are hereby terminating ALL discussions on Trade with Canada, effective immediately. We will let Canada know the Tariff that they will be paying to do business with the United States of America within the next seven day period,” Trump posted Friday on social media.

The Canadian dollar dropped more than 0.5% almost immediately. Canada’s benchmark equity index fell, and the shares of companies that rely on trade across the border, including General Motors Co. and apparel maker Canada Goose Holdings Inc., also took a hit. 

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney’s office and the country’s finance ministry did not immediately respond to requests for comment. 

Dozens of countries face a July 9 deadline for Trump’s higher tariffs to kick back into place, and have been engaged in negotiations with the US. That group does not include Canada and Mexico. The president imposed tariffs the US’s North American neighbors earlier this year over fentanyl trafficking and migration concerns and talks with them are being handled on a separate track.

Today's show features:- Bloomberg New Senior White House Correspondent Josh Wingrove on the latest US trade deal negotiations- Harold J. Krent, Professor of Law at the Chicago-Kent College of Law on Friday’s Supreme Court decisions- Alli McCartney, managing director of Wealth Management at UBS on the investing outlook for the second half of 2025 amid geopolitical uncertainty- Michael Loeb, founder & CEO of Loeb.nyc on the venture capital landscape and the value of the Uncharted Summit

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