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cover of episode Unintended Consequences Impact Everything

Unintended Consequences Impact Everything

2022/8/24
logo of podcast Money For the Rest of Us

Money For the Rest of Us

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David Stein
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我观察到凤凰城的房租在过去一年上涨了30%,空置率极低,这导致许多人无家可归。 政府的量化宽松政策和经济刺激计划虽然旨在帮助民众,但却意外地导致通货膨胀,进而推高了房租和房价,最终导致更多人无家可归。低利率和刺激计划使得更多人能够购买房屋并支付更高的价格,从而进一步推高了房租。 此外,价格管制、枪支立法、大麻合法化以及气候变化相关的政策都可能产生意想不到的负面后果。例如,价格管制可能导致商品短缺;枪支立法的初衷是减少枪支暴力,但却可能导致枪支盗窃增加,从而加剧枪支暴力;大麻合法化可能导致生育率下降;而气候变化相关的政策也可能产生一些意想不到的经济和社会影响。 我们需要采取渐进式的变革,而不是激进的变革,以便更好地监测和应对意外后果。同时,我们也应该认识到,意外后果并非总是负面的,有时也可能带来积极的改变。

Deep Dive

Chapters
This chapter explores the connection between increased homelessness and government policies. Rising rents in Phoenix, driven by factors like quantitative easing and stimulus, are highlighted as a potential cause.
  • 30% rent increase in Phoenix in one year
  • 3% apartment vacancy rate (average is 6%)
  • 80% rent increase in Metro Phoenix between 2016 and 2021
  • Quantitative Easing (QE) and stimulus as contributing factors
  • Lack of updated homelessness data due to COVID-19

Shownotes Transcript

We explore examples of positive and negative unintended consequences, what causes them, and how to navigate a world where unanticipated things happen all of the time.

Topics covered include:

  • What leads to unintended consequences
  • What are some unintended consequences of QE and stimulus, price controls, tax incentives, gun legislation, and marijuana legalization
  • How positive unintended consequences and order can arise from the bottom up
  • How recent climate legislation could lead to unintended consequences
  • Why customers don't always know what they want

For more information on this episode click here).

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Show Notes

Large rent increases squeeze metro Phoenix tenants by Associated Press—The Journal Record)

Unintended Consequences by Karras Lambert and Christopher J. Coyne)

The Seen, the Unseen, and the Unrealized: How Regulations Affect Our Everyday Lives by* *Per L. Bylund)

Norway reconsiders electric car privileges by Chris Randall—electrive.com)

More Guns, More Unintended Consequences: The Effects of Right-to-Carry on Criminal Behavior and Policing in Us Cities by John J. Donohue, Samuel Cai, Matthew Bondy, and Philip J. Cook)

Marijuana Legalization and Fertility by Sarah Papich)

Japan’s latest alcohol advice: please drink more by Leo Lewis and Kana Inagaki—Financial Times)

The Poverty of Historicism by Karl Popper)

How the New Climate Bill Would Reduce Emissions by Nadja Popovich and Brad Plumer—The New York Times)

Democrats Designed the Climate Law to Be a Game Changer. Here’s How. by Lisa Friedman—The New York Times)

Economists’ Statement on Carbon Dividends; The Largest Public Statement of Economists in History—Climate Leadership Council)

Why We Don't Have a Carbon Tax by Paul Krugman—The New York Times)

Lean Startup and the Business Model: Experimentation Revisited by Teppo Felin, Alfonso Gambardella, Scott Stern, and Todd Zenger)

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