In this episode, we explore what it means to invest in a non-ergodic world—where time, not averages, determines outcomes. We unpack concepts like volatility drag, ensemble vs. time averages, and the implications for portfolio strategy, while also reflecting on how AI and zero-click search are reshaping business and investor behavior.
Topics covered include:
- What is ergodicity and why it matters
- How path dependency and emerging phenomena disrupt the long-term
- How podcasting and blogging has changed
- What is the future of Money for the Rest of Us
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Show Notes
Wayback Machine: jdstein.com)
Probabilities and Payoffs: The Practicalities and Psychology of Expected Value by Michael J. Mauboussin and Dan Callahan, CFA—Morgan Stanley)
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb—Penguin Random House)
The 60% Problem — How AI Search Is Draining Your Traffic by Tor Constantino, MBA—Forbes)
Hollywood Is Cranking Out Original Movies. Audiences Aren’t Showing Up. by Ben Fritz—The Wall Street Journal)
How Late Night TV Is Downsizing by Alex Weprin and** **Rick Porter—The Hollywood Reporter)
‘Severance’ Surpasses ‘Ted Lasso’ To Become Apple TV+’s Most Watched Series With Season 2 Launch by Nellie Andreeva—Deadline)
List of most watched television broadcasts in the United States—Wikipedia)
Tao te Ching by Lao Tzu (Author), Marc Mullinax (Translator)—fortress press)
Why AI Might Not Take All Our Jobs—If We Act Quickly by Justin Lahart—The Wall Street Journal)
Elon Musk and the Dangerous Myth of Omnigenius by Gautam Mukunda—Bloomberg)
Related Episodes
492: The Power of Optionality: Small Bets, Big Payoffs)
484: 7 Steps to Living a Longer Life)
482: Unlocking the Power of Positive Skewness: Strategies for Investing, Business, and Creativity)
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