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cover of episode Betting coins on the conclave

Betting coins on the conclave

2025/5/6
logo of podcast Marketplace Morning Report

Marketplace Morning Report

AI Deep Dive Transcript
People
A
Amy Scott
D
David Brancaccio
E
Elizabeth Troval
F
Father Tom Daley
J
Jennifer Pak
N
Nova Safo
Topics
David Brancaccio: OpenAI,这家全球领先的人工智能公司,在其向营利性公司转型的过程中遭遇了重大阻碍。最初,OpenAI作为非营利组织成立,旨在将人工智能技术用于造福人类。然而,巨额的投资需求迫使公司寻求外部投资,这引发了与早期投资者,例如Elon Musk,之间的冲突,最终导致诉讼。为了解决这一问题,OpenAI计划将其盈利部门设立为一家公共利益公司,以平衡商业利益和社会责任。这反映了人工智能公司在发展过程中面临的复杂挑战,即如何在追求商业成功的同时,确保技术不被滥用,并为社会带来积极影响。 Nova Safo: 德国政坛近期发生剧烈震荡。保守党领袖Friedrich Merz在议会第一轮投票中未能当选为新任领导人,这在二战后尚属首次,对Merz本人以及德国政局都造成了不小的冲击。虽然Merz仍有机会在后续投票中胜出,但这起事件凸显了德国政治格局的复杂性和不确定性,也对德国的经济和社会稳定带来了一定的影响。 Elizabeth Troval: 全球范围内,人们对即将到来的教皇选举投注了巨额资金。这一现象反映了人们对这一重大事件的关注,以及预测市场在预测未来事件中的作用。虽然美国体育博彩公司不允许此类投注,但许多美国人通过Kalshi等金融交易平台参与其中。预测市场对教皇选举结果的预测可能具有一定的参考价值,但同时也需要注意,一些无法量化的因素,例如圣灵的作用,是市场无法预测的。 Father Tom Daley: 教皇选举是一个神圣的仪式,圣灵在其中扮演着至关重要的角色。教廷的选举过程并非单纯的政治角逐,而是寻求上帝的旨意,选择最适合领导教会的人选。这种神圣的因素是任何预测市场都无法完全捕捉到的,也是理解教皇选举结果的关键。 Jennifer Pak: 中国政府为了应对日益严峻的低生育率问题,出台了一系列鼓励生育的政策,包括提供现金补贴和延长产假。然而,这些措施的效果并不显著,许多女性仍然不愿生育更多孩子,因为养育孩子的成本高昂,而且她们担心生育会影响自己的职业发展。中国女性在职场中面临着性别歧视,这使得她们在生育与职业发展之间难以平衡。 Amy Scott: 气候变化投资领域经历了起起伏伏。曾经,华尔街似乎致力于解决气候问题,但随后遭遇了强烈反弹,导致气候投资的努力受挫。这反映了气候变化问题在政治和经济领域的复杂性,以及不同利益集团之间的博弈。 supporting_evidences Nova Safo: 'The key stock index in Frankfurt, Germany, is down 1.1 percent right now after a political thunderbolt today from Berlin.' Elizabeth Troval: '133 Catholic cardinals are expected in the Sistine Chapel tomorrow to start choosing the next pope, and people around the world are placing millions of dollars in bets over who they think will get the two-thirds majority required to be the Catholic Church's next leader.' Father Tom Daley: 'A really big factor that no one talks about because it's hard to talk about and you certainly can't bet on is the role that the Holy Spirit plays.' Jennifer Pak: "China's offering cash and more parental leave to encourage people to have more kids there." Amy Scott: 'Five years ago, it seemed like Wall Street was working on it until a backlash upended everything.'

Deep Dive

Shownotes Transcript

On Wednesday, 133 Cardinals are expected in the Sistine Chapel to start choosing the next pope. And people worldwide are placing millions of dollars in bets over who they think will get the two-thirds majority required to become the Catholic Church’s next leader. Also on the show: OpenAI hits a roadblock in trying to become a for-profit company, and China's offering cash and more parental leave to encourage a baby bump.