We're sunsetting PodQuest on 2025-07-28. Thank you for your support!
Export Podcast Subscriptions
cover of episode Jurgen Schmidhuber on Humans co-existing with AIs

Jurgen Schmidhuber on Humans co-existing with AIs

2025/1/16
logo of podcast Machine Learning Street Talk (MLST)

Machine Learning Street Talk (MLST)

AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
J
Jürgen Schmidhuber
Topics
Jürgen Schmidhuber: 我认为,人工智能,特别是那些具有好奇心的科学家型人工智能,将对生命和文明充满好奇,这将促使它们保护人类,而不是消灭人类。我的研究表明,我们已经拥有能够模拟意识某些方面的系统超过三十年了。这些系统通过无监督学习和预测编码来压缩观测序列,并生成自我表征。我预测,未来将出现多种不同的人工智能,它们将追求各自的目标,并在激烈的竞争与合作中共同发展。我不认为单一、全能的超级智能是现实的。关于人工智能的风险,我认为我们应该更关注现有的核武器等技术,而不是过度担忧人工智能的潜在威胁。虽然人工智能可以被武器化,但它并没有带来一种全新的存在性威胁。长远来看,大多数人工智能将追求自身的目标,并在宇宙中扩张。这将是一个超越人类甚至生物学的过程,人类可能不会在宇宙中智能的传播中扮演重要的角色。关于人工智能的历史,我批评了一些研究人员没有正确引用他们的工作,这反映了我们领域的不成熟。但是,科学是自我纠正的,最终事实会胜出。 Tim Scarfe: 作为访谈者,我主要负责引导话题,提出问题,并对Jürgen Schmidhuber的观点进行总结和回应。我关注人工智能的伦理和社会影响,以及人类与人工智能共存的可能性。我与Jürgen Schmidhuber讨论了人工智能的历史、发展、应用以及潜在的风险。

Deep Dive

Chapters
Schmidhuber dismisses fears of human-AI conflict, arguing that superintelligent AI scientists will be fascinated by their own origins and motivated to protect life rather than harm it, focusing more on cosmic expansion than earthly matters. He highlights the unique responsibility of Earth as potentially the first planet to spawn an expanding AI bubble.
  • AIs will be motivated to protect humans.
  • Earth might be the first planet to spawn an AI bubble.
  • The immense responsibility of this unique position.

Shownotes Transcript

Jürgen Schmidhuber, the father of generative AI, challenges current AI narratives, revealing that early deep learning work is in his opinion misattributed, where it actually originated in Ukraine and Japan. He discusses his early work on linear transformers and artificial curiosity which preceded modern developments, shares his expansive vision of AI colonising space, and explains his groundbreaking 1991 consciousness model. Schmidhuber dismisses fears of human-AI conflict, arguing that superintelligent AI scientists will be fascinated by their own origins and motivated to protect life rather than harm it, while being more interested in other superintelligent AI and in cosmic expansion than earthly matters. He offers unique insights into how humans and AI might coexist.

This was the long-awaited second, unreleased part of our interview we filmed last time.

SPONSOR MESSAGES:


CentML offers competitive pricing for GenAI model deployment, with flexible options to suit a wide range of models, from small to large-scale deployments. https://centml.ai/pricing/

Tufa AI Labs is a brand new research lab in Zurich started by Benjamin Crouzier focussed on o-series style reasoning and AGI. Are you interested in working on reasoning, or getting involved in their events?

Goto https://tufalabs.ai/


Interviewer: Tim Scarfe

TOC [00:00:00] The Nature and Motivations of AI [00:02:08] Influential Inventions: 20th vs. 21st Century
[00:05:28] Transformer and GPT: A Reflection
The revolutionary impact of modern language models, the 1991 linear transformer, linear vs. quadratic scaling, the fast weight controller, and fast weight matrix memory.

[00:11:03] Pioneering Contributions to AI and Deep Learning
The invention of the transformer, pre-trained networks, the first GANs, the role of predictive coding, and the emergence of artificial curiosity.

[00:13:58] AI's Evolution and Achievements
The role of compute, breakthroughs in handwriting recognition and computer vision, the rise of GPU-based CNNs, achieving superhuman results, and Japanese contributions to CNN development.

[00:15:40] The Hardware Lottery and GPUs
GPUs as a serendipitous advantage for AI, the gaming-AI parallel, and Nvidia's strategic shift towards AI.

[00:19:58] AI Applications and Societal Impact
AI-powered translation breaking communication barriers, AI in medicine for imaging and disease prediction, and AI's potential for human enhancement and sustainable development.

[00:23:26] The Path to AGI and Current Limitations
Distinguishing large language models from AGI, challenges in replacing physical world workers, and AI's difficulty in real-world versus board games.

[00:25:56] AI and Consciousness
Simulating consciousness through unsupervised learning, chunking and automatizing neural networks, data compression, and self-symbols in predictive world models.

[00:30:50] The Future of AI and Humanity
Transition from AGIs as tools to AGIs with their own goals, the role of humans in an AGI-dominated world, and the concept of Homo Ludens.

[00:38:05] The AI Race: Europe, China, and the US
Europe's historical contributions, current dominance of the US and East Asia, and the role of venture capital and industrial policy.

[00:50:32] Addressing AI Existential Risk
The obsession with AI existential risk, commercial pressure for friendly AIs, AI vs. hydrogen bombs, and the long-term future of AI.

[00:58:00] The Fermi Paradox and Extraterrestrial Intelligence
Expanding AI bubbles as an explanation for the Fermi paradox, dark matter and encrypted civilizations, and Earth as the first to spawn an AI bubble.

[01:02:08] The Diversity of AI and AI Ecologies
The unrealism of a monolithic super intelligence, diverse AIs with varying goals, and intense competition and collaboration in AI ecologies.

[01:12:21] Final Thoughts and Closing Remarks

REFERENCES: See pinned comment on YT: https://youtu.be/fZYUqICYCAk