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cover of episode The Podcast Election, Why Markets Predict Trump Victory, Trump Goes To McDonald's, Daniel Penny Trial

The Podcast Election, Why Markets Predict Trump Victory, Trump Goes To McDonald's, Daniel Penny Trial

2024/10/25
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Pirate Wires
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People
B
Brandon Gorrell
管理编辑和共同出版人，专注于技术、政治和文化话题的播客和文章。
J
John Coogan
M
Mike Solana
创办《Pirate Wires》，以独特观点和分析影响技术、政治和文化领域。
R
Riley Nork
活跃的播客主持人和评论员，主要参与《Pirate Wires》播客的制作和播出。
Topics
Mike Solana：本届大选的一个显著特征是候选人大量使用播客平台进行宣传，这反映了媒体格局的分裂以及候选人为了接触更广泛的受众而采取的策略。候选人积极参与播客节目，可以接触到新的选民群体，但其效果还有待观察，因为播客听众的投票率可能较低。特朗普选择在距离选举只有两周的时候参加Joe Rogan的播客节目，可能并非明智之举，因为Rogan此前对特朗普持批评态度，而且特朗普目前已经领先，不需要再寻求Rogan的支持。Polymarket的预测结果可能反过来影响选民的投票行为，但这种影响力的大小尚不明确。特朗普到麦当劳的举动是一次成功的公关活动，它巧妙地利用了美国文化元素，引发了广泛关注，而对手的负面回应反而适得其反。 Brandon Gorrell：虽然候选人积极参与播客节目可以接触到新的选民群体，但其效果还有待观察，因为播客听众的投票率可能较低。Daniel Penny案反映了社会对性别角色的模糊认知，以及由此带来的社会混乱。 Riley Nork：Daniel Penny案将成为一个重要的社会事件，其结果可能对选举产生影响。骑自行车的人在城市道路上的行为举止常常不遵守交通规则，对其他交通参与者构成威胁。 John Coogan：播客是一种比辩论更有效的了解候选人的方式，因为长时间的播客访谈难以预先准备，能更真实地展现候选人的个性和想法。他预测特朗普和哈里斯都会参加Joe Rogan的播客节目，并以此预测选举结果。Polymarket对特朗普的胜选预测并非一定准确，其结果可能受到各种因素影响，包括公众对百分比的误读、市场操纵的可能性以及市场本身固有的不确定性。

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Shownotes Transcript

EPISODE #75: This week, we take a look at how podcasts are shaping this years election. Our guest this week, John Coogan, called this out months ago when predicting election season. But has it actually been a net positive for the candidates? Polymarket has been heavily favoring a Trump victory. However, there’s something here that everyone is missing. Trump visits McDonald’s in an Americana scene out of a Normal Rockwell painting. Liberal women cope and seethe after men no longer protect them in major cities (see: Daniel Penny). And we tell you why cyclists are the worst people

Featuring Mike Solana, Brandon Gorrell, Riley Nork, John Coogan

We have partnered with Polymarket! Download the Polymarket: Election Forecast app https://apps.apple.com/us/app/polymarket-election-forecast/id6648798962

  • Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice, For Entertainment Purposes Only.

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Topics Discussed:

Pirate Wires Twitter: https://twitter.com/PirateWires

Mike Twitter: https://twitter.com/micsolana

Brandon Twitter: https://twitter.com/brandongorrell

Riley Twitter: https://x.com/rylzdigital

John Twitter: https://x.com/johncoogan

TIMESTAMPS:

0:00 - Welcome Back To The Pod!