Apple's Vision Pro, despite its advanced features, remained too expensive for widespread consumer adoption. While it sparked renewed interest in VR as a productivity tool, it did not replace traditional computers or laptops in office settings. Developers experimented with it, but it failed to gain significant traction as an office tool.
X (formerly Twitter) did not die or get sold off as predicted, but it lost significant market value to competitors like Blue Sky and Threads. Blue Sky gained momentum, especially among scientists, journalists, and niche communities like hockey fans, while Threads attracted influencers due to better monetization opportunities. However, X remains active, though its user base is increasingly fragmented.
AI played a significant role in healthcare, particularly in vaccine development and combating antibiotic resistance. It was used to recommend effective treatments based on patient data, predict the efficacy of new compounds, and identify antibacterial agents. While it didn't lead to a new pandemic vaccine, it advanced research in these areas, making healthcare more efficient and data-driven.
YouTube Shorts not only survived but thrived in 2024, with its duration extended to three minutes. Its popularity grew due to its alignment with shorter attention spans and its effectiveness as a quick-hit content format. Creators used it to promote long-form content, and it became a key platform for gaming tips and other quick tutorials.
AI significantly advanced scientific research in areas like quantum physics and protein structure, with AlphaFold winning a Nobel Prize. However, in medical diagnosis, AI amplified negative biases, often providing correct answers but flawed reasoning. While it increased discovery rates, its reliability in critical medical applications remained questionable.
The video game industry faced a 'bloodbath' of layoffs in 2024, affecting developers worldwide, including traditionally safe regions like Canada. The downturn was attributed to post-COVID overexpansion, economic pressures, and studios cutting back on projects. Indie developers were particularly hard hit, with many projects abandoned before completion.
Search engines like Google introduced features to filter out AI-generated 'sludge,' such as a web tab for text-only results. However, users still had to manually select these options, and browser extensions became popular for further filtering. Despite these efforts, the problem of AI-generated misinformation and low-quality content persisted.
Specialized large language models, known as 'agents,' gained popularity in 2024 as alternatives to monolithic models like ChatGPT. These agents, trained for specific purposes, could run locally or on devices, offering more tailored and efficient solutions. Companies like Google and OpenAI announced significant developments in this area, marking a shift toward more focused AI applications.
It’s the 2024 DTNS Predictions Results episode. This is where we look back on the predictions we made about technology and the tech industry in the year 2024 back in December of 2023 to see how they actually turned out! Who came out on top and who was just too early?
Starring Tom Merritt, Sarah Lane, Tasia Custode, Dr. Nicole Ackermans, Jenn Cutter, Roger Chang.
Link to the Show Notes).