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cover of episode Trump Doctrine: A New Era of Gunboat Diplomacy | Stephen Walt

Trump Doctrine: A New Era of Gunboat Diplomacy | Stephen Walt

2025/7/3
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Hidden Forces

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Stephen Walt:我的书的核心论点是,国际关系领域存在一些简单且常见的概念,这些概念被学者广泛认可,并被各国领导人理解。例如,安全困境指的是,我为增强自身安全所采取的行动可能会降低你的安全感。权力平衡指的是,当一个国家变得过于强大或具有侵略性时,其他国家会联合起来遏制它。民族主义也是一股强大的力量。理解这些概念并在外交政策中加以运用,可以避免重大错误。反之,忽视或不理解这些概念可能会导致麻烦。例如,美国在北约东扩时未能充分理解安全困境,导致俄罗斯做出反应。同样,普京入侵乌克兰时,未能理解权力平衡和乌克兰的民族主义。

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In Episode 426) of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Stephen Walt, Professor of International Affairs at Harvard University's John F. Kennedy School of Government, about American grand strategy, the Trump Doctrine of Coercive Primacy, and the implications of Washington’s new Gunboat Diplomacy in the Middle East. Stephen is a prominent member of the realist school in international relations. He’s been a long-time critic of American adventurism and an advocate for a more restrained approach to U.S. foreign policy. In the first hour, Stephen provides his assessment of recent events in the Middle East, how U.S. policy in the region improves or worsens America’s global position, and what we can say with certainty about the Trump administration’s approach to foreign policy. In the second hour, he and Demetri discuss: (1) America’s policy in the Middle East (2) Iranian intentions and the potential for regime change (3) Solutions to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict (4) American grand strategy (5) The long-awaited U.S. pivot to Asia that has failed to fully materialize Subscribe to our premium content—including our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Intelligence Reports—by visiting HiddenForces.io/subscribe). If you’d like to join the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces Genius community—with benefits like Q&A calls with guests, exclusive research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners—you can also sign up on our subscriber page at HiddenForces.io/subscribe). If you enjoyed today’s episode of Hidden Forces, please support the show by:

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Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe and support the podcast at https://hiddenforces.io). Join the conversation on Facebook), Instagram), and Twitter) at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas) Episode Recorded on 06/25/2025