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cover of episode Will the U.S. Dollar Survive the Breakdown of the International System? | Paul Blustein

Will the U.S. Dollar Survive the Breakdown of the International System? | Paul Blustein

2025/4/28
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Hidden Forces

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Demetri Kofinas
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Paul Blustein
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Paul Blustein: 我认为美元的国际地位很大程度上取决于美国国债市场的深度、广度和流动性。这是美元在危机时期保持其价值的关键因素。虽然美元曾经面临过许多挑战,例如布雷顿森林体系的解体和通货膨胀,但它始终能够克服这些挑战,这主要是因为美国国债市场能够提供足够的流动性,让投资者能够快速地将资产转换为现金。此外,美国政府的政策和行动也对美元的国际地位起着至关重要的作用。如果美国政府采取措施来破坏全球金融体系,那么美元的国际地位将会受到严重威胁。 但是,我认为美元的国际地位并非不可动摇。如果美国政府采取措施来破坏全球金融体系,那么美元的国际地位将会受到严重威胁。此外,其他国家也可能试图挑战美元的主导地位,例如通过发展自己的数字货币或加强国际合作来削弱美元的影响力。 总的来说,我认为美元的国际地位是多种因素共同作用的结果,包括美国国债市场的深度、广度和流动性,以及美国政府的政策和行动。未来,美元的国际地位可能会面临越来越多的挑战,但它仍然是全球最重要的货币之一。 Demetri Kofinas: 我对美元的未来以及它在全球金融体系中的作用感到担忧。虽然美元目前仍然是全球主要的储备货币,但其主导地位正在受到挑战。例如,一些国家正在发展自己的数字货币,这可能会削弱美元的影响力。此外,美国政府的政策和行动也可能会影响美元的国际地位。例如,如果美国政府采取保护主义政策,那么其他国家可能会减少对美元的需求。 我认为,美元的未来取决于美国政府的政策和行动,以及全球经济形势的变化。如果美国政府能够采取措施来维护全球金融体系的稳定,并加强与其他国家的合作,那么美元的国际地位将会得到巩固。但是,如果美国政府采取措施来破坏全球金融体系,那么美元的国际地位将会受到严重威胁。 此外,我认为技术进步也可能会影响美元的未来。例如,数字货币的出现可能会改变国际支付和结算的方式,这可能会对美元的主导地位构成挑战。总的来说,我认为美元的未来充满了不确定性,其国际地位可能会面临越来越多的挑战。

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In Episode 412) of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with financial journalist and economic historian, Paul Blustein about the U.S. Dollar’s historical resiliency in the face of international shocks and crises, and whether Dollar hegemony can survive the breakdown of the international capital and trading system. In the first hour, Kofinas and Blustein trace how the U.S. dollar became the de facto currency for global trade, savings, and investment and what recent policy shifts in Washington—and how they have been perceived abroad—may mean for the future value and status of the Greenback. The second hour builds on this foundation as Paul and Demetri speculate about what the future holds for dollar hegemony in a world characterized by growing trade protectionism, a breakdown in international cooperation, and a potentially irreparable loss of confidence among foreign investors in U.S. leadership and in the strength and reliability of U.S. capital markets. This could not be a timelier conversation about a subject whose ramifications will continue to play out over many years if not decades to come. Subscribe to our premium content—including our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Intelligence Reports—by visiting HiddenForces.io/subscribe). If you’d like to join the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces Genius community—with benefits like Q&A calls with guests, exclusive research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners—you can also sign up on our subscriber page at HiddenForces.io/subscribe). If you enjoyed today’s episode of Hidden Forces, please support the show by:

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Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe and support the podcast at https://hiddenforces.io). Join the conversation on Facebook), Instagram), and Twitter) at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas) Episode Recorded on 04/23/2025