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Key trends on the frontline - with Gustav Gressel
2025/2/14
Explaining Ukraine
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Gustav Gressel
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Volodymyr Yermolenko
Volodymyr Yermolenko：我认为当前战争的局势从军事角度来看是一场消耗战，双方的战斗力都在下降。同时，心理战在其中扮演着重要角色，俄罗斯试图通过心理战从内部瓦解乌克兰。
Gustav Gressel：是的，这是一场消耗战。俄军的目标是通过持续攻击削弱乌军，最终使其崩溃。而乌军的目标是尽可能对俄军造成更多伤亡，同时保存自己的实力。西方对乌克兰的支持至关重要，减少支持将使俄军更容易取胜。我认为西方对乌支持的心理问题比乌克兰国内更严重。
Deep Dive
This chapter analyzes the military situation in Ukraine, focusing on the war of attrition, minimal territorial gains by Russia despite information suggesting otherwise, and the importance of psychological warfare in influencing public perception and the will to resist. The chapter highlights the need for continuous material support from Ukraine's Western partners.
- War of attrition is the dominant characteristic of the conflict.
- Russia's minimal territorial gains are not their primary objective; their focus is on eroding Ukrainian forces.
- Maintaining the cohesion and ability to resist is crucial for Ukraine.
- Psychological warfare is a significant factor, impacting public morale and trust in the government and Western allies.
- Continuous supply of ammunition and armored vehicles are vital for Ukraine's defense.
Shownotes Transcript